Buffalo Bills
2014 Record: 9-7 | 2015 Proj. W: 8.0 | Playoff Odds: 33.1% Off. Rank: 24th | Def. Rank: 2nd | S.T. Rank: 18th
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/tom-brady-and-the-patriots-take-on-the-dolphins-bills-and-jets/
Has them ranked 3rd in the AFCE only ahead of the Jests.
Let the hate begin!
Cortana, FWIW, picked right 67% of the time over the last season. Now it shows the Colts winning chance at 53.3%. Well within the margin of error, particularly week 1. So like CBS and seemingly all non-Bills fans, Cortana sees the game as pick'em.
CBS with Spread (Bills + 2.5): 4 pick the Bills, 4 pick the Colts (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/1)
CBS Straight Up: 4 pick the Bills, 4 pick the Colts (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/1)
ESPN: 7 take the Bills. 6 and the computer take the Colts. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks/_/week/1/seasontype/2)
Microsoft Cortana: Colts win, 53.3% chance. (FYI Cortana was correct 67% of the time last season) (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/cortanax27s-predictions/week-1-picks-are-here)
FiveThirtyEight: 52% Bills 47% Colts (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/)
Might not be a bad thing for Taylor, but there is no way in hell it is a good thing for Manuel. He has seen how Cassel has performed all during camp and the preseason. To have the Bills list Manuel as #3 behind Cassel, who the Bills let go confident that no one would offer him even league minimum so they could save some money, tells Manuel exactly what Rex and Roman think of his abilities.
FiveThirtyEight's take on the Colts. They are doing articles on each of the divisions, this is from the one on the AFCS. They haven't done the AFCE yet.
Indianapolis Colts
2014 Record: 11-5 | 2015 Projected Wins: 10.5 | Playoff Odds: 84.0% Offensive Rank: 2nd | Defensive Rank: 20th | Special Teams Rank: 17th
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2015-nfl-preview-the-texans-jaguars-and-titans-will-try-to-rein-in-the-colts/
Maybe this explains why SONY isn't worried about actions from the NFL. They apparently pussified the movie.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/02/sports/football/makers-of-sonys-concussion-film-tried-to-avoid-angering-nfl-emails-show.html?ref=sports&_r=1
That "got out" on purpose since it was a popular move and they were hoping it cancel out at least some of the hate they knew would come from cutting #22.
I will feel much better about the Fred situation if he ends up on a contender such as Seattle. The Bills aren't likely to win the big prize within his shelf life and a player of his character deserves a ring.
47.5% which makes it basically a wash with the extra point at the new distance. Not a coincidence I suspect. IMO that's the reason they picked the distance that they did for the extra point.
Assuming the Boston Globe is correct and the 2 point conversion rate has been 47.5% and the 33 yd FG rate has been 93%, that would create an expected point total of .930 points per attempt for the extra point from that distance, and .950 points per attempt for the 2 point conversion. So it slightly favors the 2 point conversion but not enough to cut your kicker, who you would need anyway for actual 3 point field goals.