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Everything posted by CodeMonkey
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A Few Random Thoughts ... (a Tribute to Dick Juron)
CodeMonkey replied to CSBill's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Not just inaccurate, but bad decisions. He throws to receivers that have a freight train heading their way far too often. Reference 4: Bush is returning kicks because the Bills can't afford to get any more WRs or RBs hurt. -
CBS with Spread (Bills +7): Seattle 5 and Bills 3. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/9) CBS Straight Up: Seattle 6 and Bills 1 with 1 not in yet.. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/9) ESPN: Seattle 7 and Bills 0 with 2 not in yet.. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana: Went 8-5 (tie counted as a loss) week 8. Bills 45% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/) FiveThirtyEight:. Went 9-4 (tie counted as a loss) week 8. Bills 31% chance of winning (but, gave Seattle a 70% chance of beating NO this past Sunday). ELO point spread 5.5. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/) Amos: Went 31% week 8. Bills 45% chance of winning. (http://trevorbischoff.com/2016-amos-nfl-predictions/) FiveThirtyEight has the Bills 2nd in the AFCE with a record of 9-7 (Pats 13-3) and a 31% chance of making the playoffs Amos has the Bills in 2nd in the AFCE behind the Pats with a record of 8-8 (Pats 12-4).
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Low scoring really bad game to watch. 10-3, either team could get the W. Depends on who gets the break that leads to the TD.
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No chance in my opinion. The Bills need to decide if they want to pay TT 27 mil for 3 years after this season or move on. Plus Rex is still in fear of his job so he will try and get to at least 8-8 if at all possible.
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Actually I have hope against Seattle. Their defense is pretty good but their offense really sucks. I expect a really boring game, like 10-3. But the Bills could get the W, particularly if Shady magically heals before then.
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We are going to so get rolled on Sunday...
CodeMonkey replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Big fan of Greggy and all the bounty BS were you? -
We are going to so get rolled on Sunday...
CodeMonkey replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The players came out and said they couldn't win? I've never seen that before. -
"Experts" Picks week 8 versus the Pats
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Shady is the offense. What's Lynn going to call without him that will be effective? He was under that same restriction last week. -
We are going to so get rolled on Sunday...
CodeMonkey replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I always chuckle at this. Have you seen a professional sports team where the players didn't believe they can win? -
We are going to so get rolled on Sunday...
CodeMonkey replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think Shady would be 1A in your scenario, but I can see the other way as well. Look at the difference between the first half last week with Shady and the 2nd half without if you want to see what difference he makes. Shady was in last week, but also a good point that he was not himself in the first half and missed pretty much the entire second half. -
We are going to so get rolled on Sunday...
CodeMonkey replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Shady isn't the Bills best player in your opinion? -
We are going to so get rolled on Sunday...
CodeMonkey replied to eball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
What's weird about that? Vegas adjusts to keep the betting fairly even. Just means John Q. Betting Public was betting on the Bills a little more than expected. -
Lots of other threads about this, have a look. But make sure you dress warm and prepare for rain
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"Experts" Picks week 8 versus the Pats
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yeah that's the big weakness for the data driven models in a sport like football in particular where injuries are common and one player can make a HUGE difference. Plus such a short season. -
Anyone want Spiller over Bush?
CodeMonkey replied to Dragonborn10's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
No. -
"Experts" Picks week 8 versus the Pats
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
What do you mean, this says the IS hope! Amos: Went 67% week 7 (and called the Bills game correctly). Bills 51% chance of winning -
"Experts" Picks week 8 versus the Pats
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yeah I have to believe the models are still biased by the NE data without Brady. -
CBS with Spread (Bills +6) : All 8 take the Pats. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/8) CBS Straight Up: All 8 take the Pats. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/8) ESPN: 8 and Pick'em take the Pats and 1 Bills. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana: Went 7-8 week 7. Bills 47% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/) FiveThirtyEight:. Went 8-7 week 7. Bills 48% chance of winning. ELO point spread 0.5. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/) Amos: Went 67% week 7 (and called the Bills game correctly). Bills 51% chance of winning. (http://trevorbischoff.com/2016-amos-nfl-predictions/) FiveThirtyEight has the Bills 2nd in the AFCE with a record of 9-7 (Pats 12-4) and a 50% chance of making the playoffs Amos has the Bills in 2nd in the AFCE behind the Pats with a record of 10-6.
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Should Landry Get Suspended? Update: Fined 24k
CodeMonkey replied to fridge's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It was a clean hit with his shoulder. Sucks that it happened and sucks more that it was on Williams. But it was clean. -
"Experts" Picks week 7 versus the Fish
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It picked the Bills last week and by more than the other models. It also kicked the crap out of the other models getting 80% last week as well. We'll see! -
CBS with Spread (Bills -3) : 5 Bills and 3 Fish. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/7) CBS Straight Up: 7 Bills and 1 Fish. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/7) ESPN: 6 and PickEm take the Bills and 3 take the Fish. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana: Went 8-7 week 6. Bills 66% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/) FiveThirtyEight:. Went 9-5 week 6 with one no-pick. Bills 64% chance of winning. ELO point spread 4. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/) Amos: Went 80% week 6. Bills 44% chance of winning. (http://trevorbischoff.com/2016-amos-nfl-predictions/) USA Today - Jeff Sagarin: Bills are a 4.66 point favorite. (http://sagarin.com/sports/nflsend.htm) FiveThirtyEight has the Bills 2nd in the AFCE with a record of 10-6 (Pats 11-5) and a 72% chance of making the playoffs Amos has the Bills tied for first with the Pats in the AFCE with a record of 10-6.
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McCoy asks Bills fans to be respectful of Kaepernick
CodeMonkey replied to Yeezus's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
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Shady, Shady, Shady and Chip Kelly. Chip's play calling was superb today, for the Bills
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Can Chip shake **** this year?
CodeMonkey replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Chip sucked today to be sure. How many runs up the gut for no gain or maybe a yard? Several after checking off and everyone getting the play from the sideline. I was laughing my ass off. -
"Experts" Picks week 6 versus the Niners
CodeMonkey replied to CodeMonkey's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Added most of ESPN, Updated Amos and added the Amos season prediction for the Bills.