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2025 Bills are similar to which Superbowl champion?
billsfan89 replied to Kelly to Allen's topic in The Stadium Wall
I probably would say they most closely resemble the 2011 Ravens with a better QB and a worse defense. 2011 Ravens were a 12-4 team but did win on the road in the playoffs. But the Bills if they should make a run will probably make it off of Josh and the ground game and a defense that “gets hot”. Who knows the AFC Isn’t exactly having a power house team you really fear even on the road -
Week 14 games with AFC playoff implications
billsfan89 replied to JÂy RÛßeÒ's topic in The Stadium Wall
Baltimore is badly banged up and underperforming. Lamar is very limited and can’t run; Henry is still a very good back but he’s not the elite monster he once was and the defense is lackluster due to injury and other factors. With a limited WR core, Henry losing a quarter step and Lamar with limited legs their offense goes from elite to Ok and with a below average defense they aren’t the juggernaut you think they might be. -
I felt like last year teams respected Cooper a bit so there was more openness to the passing offense. But the turnovers are the biggest difference overall.
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They had not only the worst Special Teams unit in the league that year but one of the worst special teams units of all time in 2010. So much so that giving up the least yards per game defensively and gaining the most yards on offense they still managed to only be 9-7 and miss the playoffs. The Special Teams unit contributed to their turnover margin not being that great (at +6 it wasn't bad but just above average) and the Special Teams frequently gave opposing offenses short fields to work with so the defense yards allowed was somewhat inflated by not having that many yards to give up (although they still ranked 10th in terms of points per game). That team was best on offense and defense in the league that year but freaking historically awful on special teams. Their average margin of victory was 14 points their margin defeat was 4.4 points. All of their losses were by one possession margins. Shows you how important special teams are...
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Its OK for the Bills to be a run-first team
billsfan89 replied to First Round Bust's topic in The Stadium Wall
The easy answer is it depends on what the defense is giving you -
I think Ben Johnson probably doesn't come here as the expectations would be way too high right out the box and for a first year HC Chicago was an excellent fit. Chicago had this off-season a QB with 3 years plus an option on a rookie deal, an extra high second round pick, tons of cap space, a solid level of overall talent, and all he had to do was win 8-10 games his first year to be a success. That's far better than Buffalo who would have Super Bowl expectations and limited cap and draft capital to implement what Ben Johnson would have wanted to do. So even had the Bills moved on from McD it isn't 100% they would have taken on Johnson. Overall I do agree that there's not many coaches that got hired since 2022 (the only time I think you could have reasonably fired McD was after 13 seconds) that I would have hired over McD. There's been a lot of bad hires since 2022.
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Week 14 games with AFC playoff implications
billsfan89 replied to JÂy RÛßeÒ's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm rooting for KC over the Texans. The Chiefs at 7-6 don't dramatically up their playoff odds and the Texans losing puts them most likely out or near out of the race for their division and gives the Bills better margin for error for a wildcard spot. Plus I genuinely think the Texans are the only true bad matchup for the Bills in the AFC. -
Let’s talk about this Drake “marvelous “ Maye 😅
billsfan89 replied to Italian Bills's topic in The Stadium Wall
Maye is good but I do want to see him do it against better defenses. We've seen guys burst out in year 1 or 2 in recent years and comeback down to Earth. CJ Stroud set the rookie record book ablaze in 2023 and he's not been bad but he's regressed a bit in years 2-3. Jayden Daniels this year same thing. Bo Nix has also regressed from a strong rookie year. Credit to the Pats for winning on their schedule but there's a long way to go for Maye. -
Credit Joe Brady for running the play until they proved they could stop it. So many times OC's even good ones will stop running a successful play for no reason. The Bills had an unstoppable play and just kept running it. No reason to do anything more complex.
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If we beat the Bengals, we’re winning the AFC
billsfan89 replied to No_Matter_What's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think if the Bills can take care of the Bengals they will at least very likely be a wildcard team. I can't see the Bills not beating the Browns and Jets in must situations to get to 11 wins. There is an outside shot 11 wins does not get you in but I think it will. I think the Chargers will fall off or if the Texans lose to the Chiefs that puts them at zero margin of error. Either way I can't get wrapped up in how the rest of the conference is just win against Cincy and get to 9 wins. -
For as much as the fanbase critiques Brady's playcalling this season this was a masterfully simple gameplan that was executed well. It got the Bills out of there with a win and from what I understand no major injuries other than Bosa who had what was at worst a mild hamstring pull (and most likely was just cautionary pulling a guy with some tightness in a late game that was in control). The Bills needed a dominant win esp from the defense and they got just that.
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I think the Bills need to do a LB rotation when Bernard gets back. Milano much like Po and Tre seems to still be a capable players when they don't play hefty snap counts (although Po has been playing more and more despite initially giving Handcock some snaps). Milano played 80% of the days snaps but the Bills only had about 43 total defensive snaps so his total count of 35 was more in line with a guy playing 65-70% of snaps in a more snap heavy game. Bernard, Shaq, Milano, and Williams should all split snaps at LB to keep each other healthy.
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Hard to see this team not dropping a game they should win also away against a solid Pats team and home against the Eagles aren't gimmies either. Bengals with Burrow back is suddenly not an easy game either. Overall, I think I am just focusing on one game at a time, just beat the Bengals and hope KC beats the Texans look to secure your playoff spot and then see how everything else works out.
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Beane needs his credit for oline depth ...
billsfan89 replied to Kelly to Allen's topic in The Stadium Wall
I agree I don't think they are resign both nor given the tight cap and pretty solid options waiting in the wings should they. My worry is if they let both walk. I think if they resign one they will be fine. McGovern or Edwards being back allows the team to retain continuity along the O-line while still incorporating a younger player. Both Edwards and McGovern will be 29 next season. O-line plays at or near prime level into their early 30's until around age 32/33. Locking in one of those spots for the next 3-4 years would be very good. I think with Anderson, SVPG, and Grabel you have options to swap in one new guy but having to swap out two would be hard.
