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Everything posted by Magox
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From watching the Cover 1 Breakdown, I think Milano is getting close. Some of those missed plays are just very slight hesitations that leads to having those missed tackles. It appears that if his processing can speed up just a tad, he'll be really close to where he was. He should definitely play a lot this week against the Patriots.
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You're right, I must have misheard him say it on his show.
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Broussard does have a vote and even though he is a Ravens fan, he pretty much indicated through his methodology that Allen will get his vote
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12/29/24 GAMEDAY Week 17 Bills vs Jets Post Game Thread
Magox replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
PFF is not the end all but it is a metric and hopefully this accurately depicted Milano's performance and is a harbinger of things to come from him. Also, if the Bills start their starters, they should absolutely still play guys like Cole Bishop and Milano so that there is another weeks worth of evaluation to determine if these guys should get significant snaps in the post season. -
12/29/24 GAMEDAY Week 17 Bills vs Jets Post Game Thread
Magox replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
We’re going to need Coleman and Amari to make plays from now on out. -
12/29/24 GAMEDAY Week 17 Bills vs Jets Post Game Thread
Magox replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
He knew -
I don’t trust these sports writers to make this decision properly, they awarded Lamar last year when he truly didn’t deserve it and now they will look at his stats and probably give him the award when last year they pretty much ignored the stats. Josh is the clear favorite but I just don’t trust they will look at what the criteria calls for which is Most VALUABLE player.
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Von Miller proves the doubters wrong
Magox replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Sounds familiar, almost to a tee Rounding into form. He’s on a good 5 game stretch -
“Only four of those 15 showed up in the top 20 – CeeDee Lamb (53.8%), Jayden Reed (68.5%), Amon-Ra St. Brown (58.8%) and Christian Kirk (80.0%, most in the league).” https://ftnfantasy.com/nfl/slot-vs-wide-2023-wide-receivers You know what percentage of snaps he had in the slot CeeDee had as a rookie? 90% https://www.rotowire.com/football/player/ceedee-lamb-14411 I do agree that at the heart of it all is if Ladd can win on the boundary as well and I think he will demonstrate that throughout his career provided he can stay healthy.
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CeeDee Lamb plays more snaps from the slot than boundary and he is at the top, Kupp was at the top. Keenan Allen who signed a $20m a year contract back in 2020 who plays alot more snaps from the slot than boundary was at that time a top 3 WR pay. Chris Godwin who has had lots of injury issues and will be turning 29 is expected to get a $25m plus contract. Puca Nacua who had his best year from the slot when it comes his time will get a mega top tier contract. Devante Adams who plays lots of slot snaps was paid as a top WR. This isn’t black or white, many of the receivers who are paid at the top plays lots of snaps from the slot. McConkey has demonstrated both collegiately and in the pros that he can win both inside and out. Provided he stays healthy which I do have some concerns, he will be considered on par with guys like Amon ra st brown and prime Kupp, even though McConkey is much faster and explosive than those two. It’s not even close.
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Here are some stats that may surprise people. Stefon Diggs played from the slot 60% of the time this year and nearly half the time as a Bills receiver in 2023. Keenan Allen played from the slot nearly 60% of the time as a Charger from 2020-2023 Devante Adams played from the slot 40% of the time over past few years. Godwin has played nearly 60% of his snaps from the slot over past few years. Ceedee Lamb has played from the slot 54% of the time. Nacua in 2023 played 56% of his snaps from the slot. Mcconkey as a rookie has excelled and his slot percentage is 67%. McConkey has demonstrated he can win both on the outside and the slot. Provided he can be a durable player, you’ll see in the coming years that he will be viewed as one of the elite who wins no matter where he is matched up and the contract he will be offered will reflect that.
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I didn’t say that, however I can agree that he fits very well in the slot, but if there were other competent receivers on the team that could also play the slot than his percentage of snaps from the slot would be less than 67%. Either way, people attempting to pigeon hole players as “just” slot receivers are wrong on substance/facts and that characterizing players as slot guys as some sort of pejorative are outdated in their thinking in todays NFL offenses. Elite receivers who constantly win in the slot are valued by GM’s just about as much as guys who win on the boundaries. That’s just a fact
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I had a huge draft crush on McConkey, hearing and watching how he was dominating DB’s with their 1 on 1’s one after another really is what convinced me that he was as close to be a sure fire NFL high producing WR as anyone in the draft class. I knew his floor was high but wasn’t sure how high his ceiling was. After seeing his 4.39 40, it raised my views of his ceiling. The only things where I had concerns was his lack of college production (in part due to injuries) and his semi slight frame, wasn’t sure if he would have durability concerns and if press jammed he would have some struggles.
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There are quite a few misconceptions about both “slot” receivers and Ladd McConkey. The outdated way of thinking was that there was a huge gulf of value disparity between an elite boundary receiver vs a slot receiver. As the NFL continues to evolve we are seeing lots more usage of offensive game planners using their receivers to get more targets in the slot than the past. Which is why more and more receivers are getting their production from the slot than ever before. This is why receivers who are primarily slot receivers that are playing at an elite level are getting paid almost as much as elite boundary receivers. Among Ra St Brown is getting paid $30m a year. Cooper Kupps contract back in 2022 was right at the highest ever for any WR at nearly $27m a year. Ceedee Lamb was just given an NFL record contract, I bring him up because over half his snaps come from the slot. Even a guy like Christian Kirk who was considered a decent slot was awarded a couple years ago with an $18m a year contract. The point is that NFL GM’s and offensive play callers are seeing that the value of receivers who excel from the slot are considered more valuable than they were a few years ago and that the value disparity from boundary to slot is tightening and tightening rapidly. That is clearly the case by both percentage of targets increasing to the slot and the contracts being offered to guys who can win from that spot. As far as Ladd McConkey is concerned, he’s been type cast by many as just a “slot” guy and you can’t help but think that it’s primarily due to his skin color. I mean, how many white boundary receivers are there in NFL? Ladd McConkey’s speed is in the high 4.3’s and you know what? His play speed matches his timed speed. He blows past defenders with the ball in his hands and on deeper routes. His route running is already at an elite level. He is already separating from DB’s at a high level and has a full route tree. His footwork is insane. He has played from the slot 67% of the time so far this year, which if he was given the opportunity to play more from the boundary he could do that. The reason why he plays as much as he does is because the Chargers next two best receivers are purely boundary guys in Palmer and Johnson. McConkey played 70% of his college snaps from the boundary, so this notion that he can only play from the slot is silly and flat out not true. Most of his career snaps have been from the outside and even a 1/3 of his NFL snaps are from the boundary as well. I like Coleman a lot and the Bills offensive play calling calls for their receivers to do a lot of blocking and having McConkey to go along with Shakir probably would split a lot of their snaps and wouldn’t have made the most sense. On the other hand I believe good play callers find ways to get their best players on the field. McConkey as I was saying through the draft process I believed was going to be one of the best receivers from this deep draft, I strongly believed he was going to excel, my only hesitancy was that he never had big numbers in college but everything else checked out aside from his thin build. The way the NFL is trending towards, McConkey won’t have to have a high snap count from the boundary to be highly successful against opposing defenses and to be rewarded a mega contract nearly on par with the elite boundary guys.
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Pure nastiness Best rookie route runner. Can win so many ways.
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There are so many good players to bring back, I don’t see how there is any money left to bring in someone like that. The only way I would break the bank is if it’s for a wrecking machine on the defensive line like a Myles Garrett
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And that isn’t his greatest motivator either. Obviously that is an award that will go towards his legacy, but this award is also for his teammates and the city of Buffalo. Everyone can see that it has been highly contentious over the past couple weeks and I guarantee you he wants to win it for the city of Buffalo. I expect the Bills to be fired up, I just hope Brady calls a good offensive game plan against the Jets.
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I do think this will be a motivator. It's not just a legacy piece of hardware, which I think is important but it's also a sense of pride for the Bills players. They see this heated MVP debate that's going on and they love Josh. I think the players will play hard this week, I just hope Brady schemes up a good game against this Jets defense.
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I understand the argument that some make that all that matters is the Superbowl, but winning the MVP is a nice piece of hardware and it is without doubt the most prestigious individual award in the NFL that is also a reflection of the teams regular season success. Plus I think it's important for Josh's legacy, it is an argument used by some in the media to not place Josh as a sure hall of famer or one of the elite elite. Obviously the Superbowl is more important, it's not close or debatable but it's not a zero sum matter, the MVP award brings a sense or pride to the Bills and adds to Josh's legacy, those things matter.
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Cole Bishop should start the final two games of the Regular Season....
Magox replied to Special K's topic in The Stadium Wall
That’s exactly what they should do for Milano. If he can regain form he should get the majority of the playoff snaps then Dorian Williams should -
Sort of reminds me of McKelvin, he was always right there step for step but he was never looking back at the ball so even though he was in the near vicinity he rarely was able to make a play on the ball or bat it down. He is a bit too handsy and lacks the proper technique to be in a position to both stay with the receiver and to be able to look back at the ball. If you can’t look back at the ball as often as he does then he will continue to get penalties called against him.
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I'm really starting to love this WR room. We quietly got better
Magox replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
“Desperate” -
I'm really starting to love this WR room. We quietly got better
Magox replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
Just like most debates on message boards, it's all black or white. Truth is, even if we hadn't had traded for Cooper this offense would be somewhere in the top 5 to 10 range. With Cooper, they are a top 3 unit. Cooper without doubt makes opposing defenses have to account for him whereas before they didn't have to quite as much. The team has plenty of effective weapons that are capable of making impacting catches, it truly is "everyone eats", it's not just some saying that they spout, it's backed by facts and everyone on this planet can see it except the hard headed dopes. Also, there seems to be this revisionist history that the Bills could have had a quality weapon like Cooper going into the season. Really? With what money? Could they have gotten creative and freed up money and committed $15 - $20 Mill a year to someone? Sure, but the Bills addressed it with their top pick and believed that they had enough weapons to still have had a good offense, in which they were right with that assessment. It turns out that the Bills were looking a lot better than they had hoped and were competitive with an AFC east landscape that was there to be easily seized. Beane worked his magic, got a competent #1 boundary WR for peanuts which fit into the salary cap without having to commit anything down the line and it cost them a third to do it, which is well worth it when you are in the hunt to win it all. -
Von Miller proves the doubters wrong
Magox replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Von Miller Top 15% pass rush grade and top 25% run grade according to PFF https://www.pff.com/nfl/players/von-miller/6154#latestNewsWidget Miller averages a pressure 13.9% of his pass rush reps. That's just behind Greg Rousseau's 14.8% for the highest pressure rate on the team. https://atozsports.com/nfl/buffalo-bills-news/buffalo-bills-von-miller-crucial-role-greg-rousseau/#:~:text=Miller averages a pressure 13.9,pressure rate on the team. And there were some who didn’t think he played well against the Rams, when he was out there he was getting lots of pressure and stopping runs. For that game he had by far the highest rated game on defense and it wasn’t even close. With an 84 rating and next highest was Benford in the high 60’s https://sports.yahoo.com/pff-highest-graded-bills-players-144500820.html When the defense as a whole struggles and there are no sacks or splash plays from defenders it’s difficult to find any good from anyone on defense. Doesn’t take away from the fact that when he’s been out there, he’s been doing his job well. His snap count has been in the low 20’d per game, to put that into perspective Epenesa is getting in the low 30’s, Smoot is around 30, Rousseau is in the mid to high 40’s Even Toohill is getting almost as many snaps per game. His sack per snap rate is by far the highest on the team. The Bills are purposely managing his snap count and I fully expect him to be getting snaps in the mid 30’s in the playoffs.