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saundena

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    From Jet Nation: Wk 1 gameplan

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by saundena

    Thought I'd share this with everyone.  Most of their posters seem to sense a Jet victory (no surprise there), but there is healthy respect for our D, Beasley and even a few who are worried about how to stop Josh (ie using a spy opens up the field for big plays).

     

    They also acknowledged their atrocious secondary.

     

    Me, I'm concerned with big Q and their stout D line making is too one dimensional early in the game (bottling the run and flustering Josh).  I also like Darnold a lot and worry that he can pick us apart with short throws which in the best case scenario will keep drives alive, tire our D and help their field position.  We seemed so awful last year giving up big completions on 3rd and 6+.

     

    Anyway here it is:

    https://forums.jetnation.com/topic/146258-jets-bills-can-we-start-talking-game-plan-yet/

    What do you think the Bills record will be this season?

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted

    I expect about 8 wins.  Honestly, I'd love to say we get 9 or 10, but the Jets are similar to us, they are young and improving (on paper).  Their coach might be a bit of a question mark, but they do have real talent and Darnold was marvelous against us in the 4th quarter. 

     

    And then there's the Pats.  Until Brady/Belicheat go, they are the class of the league and probably will beat us both times.

     

    I've said all along that 2020 is our year.

    The number of blowout losses under McBean is astounding

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted

    On 10/22/2018 at 1:02 PM, Shaw66 said:

    I read somewhere that Bill Belichick's single greatest skill is film study.   He's a master at reviewing film, figuring out what a team is doing and figuring out his team has to do to counter it.  

     

    I think if you're Jekyl and Hyde like the Bills - competitive some days and not others, it says you're bad at film study.   By the seventh game of the season, teams have begun to show their tendencies.   The films will show which plays they run regularly and why those plays work for them.  By this time in the season, your team should be identifying those tendencies and adjusting offensive and defensive schemes to neutralize what the opponent does well and to take advantage of what the opponent does poorly.

     

    Getting blown out by a mediocre team like the Bills did Sunday means, I think, that either the coaches (1) aren't learning what they should from film study or (2) aren't designing effective counter measures to attack the opponent or (3) aren't effectively teaching the players those counter measures.  So maybe the Bills were surprised by what the Ravens did, and maybe even what the Chargers did, but I doubt it.   In any case, they shouldn't have been surprised by what the Colts did.  And they shouldn't have been surprised in mid-season last year, when they were blown out three games in a row.  

     

    One reason the Patriots don't do so well in September is that Belichick doesn't have enough film on the teams to understand and attack their strengths.   And film study is why the Patriots, more so than most teams, look different from week to week.  If the film says a defense is weak against the run, the Patriots become a running team for the week.  If the study says passing is the way to go, that's what the Patriots do.  

     

    You can have all the character you want; if your aren't teaching your players what they need to do, you aren't going to win. 

    Excellent post!

    McDermott and Beane have done a Very Good job.

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by saundena

    1.  Yes, but with help.  But they could have screwed the pooch so I'll give you that one.

    2.  I don't see a franchise QB yet.  They drafted an incredibly raw player who needs a considerable amount of refinement before we can be considered even a middling qb; and, they brought this raw QB onto a team with practically zero offensive talent so it's basically impossible to properly evaluate him.  

    3.  I don't believe we are a top 10 defense.  Stats may say it, but it doesn't pass the sniff test.  Just about any time we've played a top qb, we've folded like a blanket.  We're probably in the 13-17 range and after yesterday, I'd say we are closer to 20.  The Colts lit us up like a house on fire.  Our ranking is most certainly the result of getting lucky bounces and turnovers.  The D can win us games, but ultimately not good enough to stop the better QBs in the league.

    4.  Yes they have.  But do you trust their eye for talent?  I don't.  Not yet at least.  I certainly don't trust them to weight talent in par with "the process" when selecting players.

    • Like (+1) 6
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    The number of blowout losses under McBean is astounding

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by saundena
    Spelling

    I've been slow to criticize and cast too much doubt on McBean le given the talent that comprises this team. I've been a "trust the process" guy since after the Atlanta game last year.  Being in a position to get into the '17 Playoffs even if we had a lot of help makes we want to give McBeane the benefit of the doubt. 

     

    But, I'm finding that hard to do any more especially when looking at their body of work as a whole.  Including the playoff game last year, they have been the head honcho for 24 games.  8 of those games have been blowout losses.  Seriously, 1/3 of of all games that we've played in since last season have been horrific losses where we look totally outclassed and I'll prepared. 

     

    That's on Beane and McDermott.  Yes, we don't have a lot of talent, but part of the reason why that is is due to the personnel decisions we've made. Although I agree with some of their moves, it does seem like they put character and mindset above raw talent in many cases.  It's just so unbelievable how Jekyl and Hyde we are. We look so prepared for MIN, let look like a bunch of clowns playing grab@ss in GB. 

     

    They talk about the Process as if they have significant experience doing this, but really they are greener than "Crayola Green" in their respective roles. 

     

    I think we could see management decisions forced on McBeane at the end of this year if we continue to be blown out in such spectacular fashion (ie forcing a new OC, hiring a football czar... something).

     

    Both are safe this year, but if we don't make the playoffs next year, I think they are both gone.

     

    PS any of you stats guys/gals care to take a look at the ratio of points for : points against for all of last year up through today?  I'd be interested to see where the bills are at.  I bet we are last by a wide margin.

     

     

     

    • Like (+1) 10

    Getting a little concerned with the frequency of blowout games we are completely overmatched from the get go under McDermott

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by saundena

    This is what happens when you give carte blanche to a first time coach and a first time GM.

     

    They either need to fix "the process" and figure out what works, or they will be gone.  (The process, by the way, always pissed me off, as if together McBeane had so much repeatable success in the past that they could demand such conformity to the system as if it were a magical pancia).

     

    If they win 6+ games they will be given a 3rd season. Winn less than 4 games, especially with several blowout losses then I think we will have another change in management unfortunately

     

     

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