Hapless Bills Fan

Haha it's not mine to give away. Most you could get outta me is a St Louis style pizza and a gooey butter cake.

Did you see the Twitters when Sam Darnold got traded? Sam's Cali friends including Josh Allen and Kyle Allen threw him a surprise party, with a Panthers hat sitting on the the table and a bunch of blue and silver and black balloons

Holy smokes who is this team in Green and Yellow? runrunrun Pass runrun Pass runrunrun Pass

https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/04/26/ron-rivera-washington-football-culture/ Some backstory on Haskins:

There are phenomena called "Recency Bias" and "Confirmation Bias" which are common fallacies. The idea is that people have a conclusion, and then look for evidence that confirms their conclusion; they also look at what they've heard or seen recently, and weight it far more strongly than what they may have heard or seen in the past. In other words, without context and care, our eyes can "trick" us. I'm respectfully suggesting that may be at play here, at least to some extent.

If the Chiefs had to worry even a little bit about a run game and misdirection, Chris Jones couldn't pin his ears back and run over Feliciano. If Allen were taking some of the short dump-offs, the ball would be gone before he got there. I saw Singletary and sometimes Knox with enough green around them to plant a sod farm and harvest it. Why? Because it was on tape all season that Allen couldn't or wouldn't take those throws, so defend the guys he does seek.

You're a Bad Man(tm) So which method did the Poe-Birds use?

That's part of it, especially that last. As far as the O-line, I would say Allen's aggressivness instead of taking what the D gave him and possibly the game plan (maybe by then it was too late for anything else) were strong contributors - not to be interpreted as saying the O-line wasn't a big factor, but I think the game plan and the read choices did hang them out to dry a bit

Cash me out back, howboutat?

Maybe we could kinda loosely keep this thread for discussing the upcoming game with the WFT, and use another thread to discuss whether or not Allen sucks if he doesn't perform to your satisfaction, and how we as fans should "Demand" more? Just a thought, but I did split some responses off to create one....if you are looking for a post that's not here, it moved there: You might need a subscription or at least to sign up to read this WaPo article: https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/09/20/svrluga-washington-football-team-taylor-heinicke/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/09/20/washington-football-team-defense-penalties/ Apparently, WFT has a defensive penalty problem:

Judging by the tone of the gameday threads, it's apparently a snap-to-snap thing 🙄

Psssst: Shhh. Don't tell Mahomie's brother or mom, I don't wanna get trashed on Insta. Mahomes had 4 regular games with 58% or less completion last season. One was 51%! He had 4 games less than 58% and a fifth 59% in 2019! That's with Kelce the truck, Cheetah Hill, and apparently one of the best offensive minds in the game calling plays. It happens to Mahomes too.

Let's take a factual look at Allen. 19 games last season, so how about games 10-13? He wasn't injured or recovering from injury then AFAIK comp-att-% comp- yds-TD-INT-rating-sacks-yds-Y/A-AY/A Last 2 weeks: Maybe even a record-setting offensive season isn't quite the panacea of unvarying excellence you all seem to expect. Earlier in the season, Allen passed for this against NE: We went into that game with another run heavy game plan One step further: 95% of data in a normal distribution lie within 2 standard deviations of the mean. If we look at regular season 2020, this range is between 53-85% completions, 107-461 ypg, 0-5 TD/game, 0-2 INT/game, and a rating between 62-151 I'm not trying to say Allen's been good the last two weeks, but his data isn't even factually outside the range of what we saw in a number of games last season to work yourself into a froth about "last year could have been an outlier and he's the same guy we saw in 2019 and and and and" spluttering. "We have a right to demand better as fans" Geeze Louise, what exactly right do you think you have, who gave it to you, and where is this QB tree you think Beane can stroll up to and pluck an improved QB who never has a down game from? One more time: Pittsburgh was missing 5 of their starting 11 on defense yesterday. Tuitt (IR), Haden (CB) and Bush (LB) were inactive going into the game. Alualu (DT) and Watt (DE/LB) were injured during the game. Maybe...when you're missing almost half your starting defense, the quality falls off a bit? Congratulations, you're achieving an unstated goal. For numbers, see above

So this is saying that we didn't take advantage of deep enough self-scouting over the summer - OR that we self-scouted, but thought we execute well enough to make it work even if they know it's coming.

You mean this: Geesh, plenty of blame to go around there. Allen appears to be staring down Diggs all the way. Whether or not they knew what was coming earlier, they certainly do at this point. He could at least be glancing at Beasley to the bottom L, although Beasley would be lucky to get 4 yards on it. Feliciano and Dawkins have been beaten like drums, meaning there would be no time for a deeper route or more separation to develop with Davis. And Davis is not doing as much as he could to "sell" his route as a realistic option - he slows up before Allen throws and I don't believe he thinks the ball is coming his way. But yeah, the Dolphins are 100% like "we've seen this movie before and we know how the Bills want it to end"

I think like most fans, including Bills fans, for the most part they're tolerant of reasonably behaved fans of other teams. With 70,000 people mostly drunk out of their minds, though, even a 0.2% rate of belligerent #######s is 140 or so, which is certainly enough to give a visitor a bad day if you're unlucky in who your neighbors are.

This. The Bills arguably beat themselves vs. Pittsburgh, with the D pitching a 1st half shutout, the two offenses scoring equal points, and the difference in the game being a special teams OhShit! When it's 35-0, you had help

"I'm fining you for being kidnapped -Adam Gase" Oh, that's classic!

How about if stadium security didn't see it, but the person boasted about it on Twitter and later defended it: Since when does "making more money" make it OK to assault someone, and when does his "making more money" brother need to be defended from people who are nowhere near him with assault? SMDH

So there we have it. A strong why it appears our WR are getting less separation, Allen is taking more time to try to find someone open, and the OL can't hold up. It's rather disappointing that Daboll had all summer and didn't come up with new or less predictable combinations.

Why, what has she done lately? I believe his fiancee/babymama (didn't know they actually got married) was attacking the networks for showing pics of Mahomes looking dazed and dejected during the process of losing the Superbowl. She took it personally, but as we know from pics of Allen that are out there, it's something the networks do. But I don't know of anything else she's done. What would the NFL do to an ordinary fan who did this?

🤷‍♂️ If a defense is predictable, and therefore can be identified/neutralized - I think it may be a semantic issue as to whether it's "solved" or "stifled" I feel the same about our offense right now, I feel we have become too predictable in our routes, and that (coupled with being unable to hold protection long enough for deeper routes in the absence of any doubt that we're passing) is effectively "solved" or "stifled" Becoming less predictable by effectively running the ball "enough" to exploit dime and 7 DB coverage and get it off the field should help.

Last year early in the season, we were winning at times in spite of the offense. Week 1: we won handily against the Jets, because, Jets. Week 2: we were leading 17-7, and our D let the Dolphins back in it, scoring 10 unanswered points to take the lead before we buckled down and put them away Week 3: we were leading the Rams nicely 28-3 before our D let the Rams back in it with 29 unanswered points to take the lead before we clawed our way back to a final TD on an ugly drive that featured a facemask penalty by our QB (!!!), among other things. Week 4: leading the Raiders 17-6 until the Raiders scored 10 unanswered to cut our lead to a single point. Josh Allen got hurt just before halftime in the game, and people were talking about how the first 4 weeks were a "flash in the pan" and he was back to the "old Allen" until Week 9. Going into the season, we were expecting to see a dominant D as we'd had in 2019 (#2 overall), and were hoping the offense would take enough of a step from 23-24th overall to maybe 10th, enough to give us a shot to go somewhere. Overall, at that point in the season everyone was "whoaoah Allen's on Fire" but "where TF did our D go?" Some, @Buffalo716 among others but he sticks out in my mind because he had some very specific things to say about how our secondary coverage had becomepredictable, pointed out that our D had been "solved" to some extent and needed to be revised. And over the season, the D started to improve until by week 12 and on, it was pretty damned good. Going into this season, we were expecting to see "Allen on Fire Part 2" and instead it looks like we're seeing the 2019 D Reprise but the offense has been "solved", and that's probably true in part. It sounds simple that if your offense has put down too much film, just do something else, but what that "something else" is can only be guessed until you're actually in real games. I think Daboll thought our OL would hold up better than it has (Feliciano told him "he'd be fine" against Cam Heyward) and that the solution would feature 4 WR with both Sanders and Beasley running option routes and Diggs running deep (or Sanders and Diggs running option routes and Sanders running deep. And maybe it will, eventually; it should be remembered that both Diggs and Sanders were on Injury Report and not practicing, through most of training camp and pre-season, which was good for developing the other WR but bad for Allen developing timing with them. Instead, defenses seem to have figured out how to bracket our option routes and get Allen and his option receivers on different pages, the timing on deep routes is off, and Allen is struggling to have good technique under pressure. So the offense is a bit of a mess, but I think we'll keep plugging and working on it. As McDermott and Frazier kept telling us last season, the goal is to play your best football in November and December and then January

That was my feeling too Sure, he could do much worse I think if the coaches felt Brown could outplay Williams right now at RT, he'd be out there. It's not as though they're insisting on keeping Rousseau on the bench or giving him less snaps than Hughes. He played well preseason, he dresses and earns more snaps.

https://www.buffalobills.com/news/leslie-frazier-earns-national-coach-of-the-week-recognition-bills-today