Hapless Bills Fan

Before we get all discursive about why Beasley is getting "less snaps", I'd just like to point out that last year, Beasley got 63% of the offensive snaps. So far this season, he is getting....63% of the offensive snaps. Last season his snap counts in games where he played ranged from a low of 30% (LVR) to a high of 85% (LAC) So far this season, his snap counts range from a low of 39% to a high of 91% I'm really not sure anything is that much different. I think different WR get fed differently based upon what Daboll thinks will succeed that week and the defense we see on the field. By the way, last season per Sharp Football Stats, we ran a set with at least 1 TE 93% of the time. This season it's actually down a bit so far, 82%. The main thing is last season TE snaps were divided between Knox, Kroft, and Smith. This season, it's pretty much all Knox. Most of the difference is that our use of (1,1) set is down this season vs last season, 63% vs 71%. Anyway, 1) factually, on average, Beasley is not actually getting less snaps this season so far. He got less snaps the last 2 games but that could easily be matchup-driven. 2) Knox has gotten lots o' snaps in games where Beasley has too (Miami) so overall not sure they're coupled. It may be true that Beasley got fewer snaps and Knox more last night (again, matchup driven).

I kind of knew the general idea because he was HC in StL for 3 years. There was general excitement when he arrived because he was a Superbowl winning DC, they drafted Sam Bradford his 2nd year, and the feeling was long-time QB coach Pat Shurmur (getting his first shot as OC) would be the right guy to develop him. (I've never been a Rams fan but when you live in a city, it's kind of hard to escape the coverage.

I think we agree more than we disagree, but just a little point that it's more than nuance to the route running. Knox was simply not very physical in his release or his route running. It was pretty easy to neutralize him.

No, I'm sorry, I see where I was confusing. I am skeptical of Bridgewater's ability to stay healthy through the season. He did OK in Carolina (15 games), but I think they have a better OL than Denver. And if Bridgewater goes down again, I don't think Lock can get 'er done.

Firing Spagnuolo is already being suggested in the KC media. https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/should-the-chiefs-fire-steve-spagnuolo-for-this-defense/ar-AAPmb32

Still, after last night? This seriously surprises me.

2007 (#2 on yds) and 2008 (#5 pts and yds) with the Giants 2016 (2nd stint with the Giants, #2 pts #10 yds) 2019 and 2020 with the Chiefs, #7 and #10 on points which Got the Job Done in 2019 and got to the Dance in 2020.

I don't think there was ever drywall to start with. And the fluorescent lights have bad balasts and flicker.

Not quite. The difference is that previously, Knox was no Kelce. When Knox had his opportunities, he couldn't take advantage of them. He wasn't physical enough to beat press coverage or to get off the line and get separation downfield. Now though....

This. Those short passes were always there to be had. Josh just consistently turned his nose up at them and teams knew it. Knox wasn't physical enough to get separation on deeper routes. I gotta watch it again, but this game looked like Josh's "coming out party" on taking the hot read/checkdown AND on hitting the deep pass successfully. I didn't just love that we won, I loved HOW we won, and you're right - another game or two like this on tape and the WR will find that their lives have become easier.

I'm not ready yet. I need more than 1 game where he contributes more than 5 receptions, and more than 1 game where he contributes more than 50 yds (don't have to be the same game, aren't so far) But yes, so far so good. I'm actually more impressed with Knox improvement in blocking. It doesn't show on the stat sheet but he no longer looks "lost in space".

Without Bridgewater, I dunno about the Broncos. We'll see how he looks when he comes back and whether he stays healthy. Call me cray-cray, but if Burroughs stays healthy, I think the Bengals actually have a fighting chance. Fun fact, the Chiefs have actually scored the 2nd most points in their division. Problem is, their defense has given up more than they've scored, and is leading the division by a good clip on that metric.

I think when the all-22 comes out, it will be seen that the Chiefs were playing to take that away. And why wouldn't they, that's where Josh feasted last season It also looked, from the first few games and his limited YPA, as though he was struggling with the deep ball especially in wind and rain Steelers (17 mph winds): WFT (21 mph winds): Texans (rainy): Week 2 against the Dolphins: That's like completing 4 passes over 20 yds, out of 12 attempts in 3 games. Week 2 against the Dolphins didn't tell a different story (make that 6 out of 16) IIRC (he was HC in StL) Spags is a pretty big stats guy. So he looks at prev. games and says, front coming through (wind), gonna rain - above all, take away the 5-20 yd stuff, he might hit a couple deep shots but So What" Spags looks at Allen's historical tendencies and says "he hates to check down and he's not very good at it, don't worry about the passes in the flats." It's what he did successfully in the AFCCG after all - Singletary typically had enough green space around him to cultivate a Christmas tree farm. Last Spags looks at Knox historically and *snorts*, while he schemes to double Diggs with a safety over the top. He's not as worried about Sanders because Sanders catch percentage was crap the way the Steelers and Miami were playing him. KC had them a great little 'ol plan on paper. Football games are played on grass or turf. 6 of Josh's 26 attempts were >20 yds, and he completed 5 of them (I think the 6th was uncalled DPI on Diggs and so did Allen and McDermott) 6 of Josh's 26 attempts were behind or at the LOS and he completed 5 of them This is Big. Now that teams know that they can still get whupped if they take away the stuff Josh and the Bills historically do well and leave them the stuff they historically do badly, it's a Whole New World. Anyone who might beef because Josh didn't throw more than 26 attempts or complete more than 58% of his passes, simply doesn't appreciate the execution of a fine game plan that took what the defense was giving them. Who is "they" in this post? Because factually, the Bills did not "punt twice" on their first couple drives. They scored a TD right out of the gate, then again on their 3rd drive. Neither did the Chiefs for that matter, so that can't be referring to them, either

It wasn't just the hurdle, he hurdled, got the first, then immediately got down in the face of an onrushing defender who, baulked of his chance to plaster the opposing QB, reached down and touched Josh before jumping harmlessly over him. Beautiful And yes, frankly, Josh "giving himself up" and sliding such a good percentage makes him deadlier, because it's in the back of a defenders mind "watch for the slide, watch for the slide, can't hit him if he slides" - you can see that with our guys and Mahomes, they don't want that roughing penalty. I LOL at Mahomes going headfirst for more yards and looking ticked when he didn't get the roughing flag after a couple of defenders tackled him.

I thought the "yelling on the sideline" was debunked. McD was yelling at the refs about a penalty, and Bease was in the wrong place at the wrong time. The Dumb Twitter Nonsense is true, and I don't think it made McD happy. At least, when asked about fans booing and Beasley's tweets last night, McD looked like he'd swallowed an August persimmon. I think Beasley got told "no more" I think the "statement" is more coming from other teams and how they're covering us. Beasley was one of the few aspects of our offense that "worked" in the AFCCG so naturally he got more attention from Spagnuolo

This doesn't exactly answer your question, but I posted this in another thread and it may be a good starting point They had a plan ready for us. Their plan was 1) take away the stuff over the middle and the 10-20 yd stuff where Josh was deadly last season (this has been the plan from several teams) 2) know where Diggs is at all times and take him away as best you can, Josh hasn't built the chemistry with Manny Sands yet 3) pressure Josh, he can't hit the deep stuff when he's pressured 4) take away the runs between the tackles, our backs don't have the speed to bounce outside In order to do this they made the following assumptions: 1) Dawson Knox is not much of a receiving threat, especially deep 2) Josh won't check down or take the short stuff, he's just not wired that way 3) The Bills won't be using the $258M man on designed run plays or letting him expose himself on scrambles 4) Josh has trouble hitting the deep shots, focus on taking the 10-20 yd stuff away Surprise! Knox came through Big Time as a downfield receiving threat Josh steadily "took the bunnies" - the hot read throwing into a blitz, the checkdown to the HB in the flat Bills said "you gonna dare Josh to run, Surprise! he's got $258M legs (and he knows how to use them) We threw a double-shot of Z-MO at them, and he's a harder back to stop than Motor. I can't answer the details of the coverages without the all 22 and frankly, it's so challenging to use for me - but I'm sure Cover1 and others will do a good job explaining

Indeed, and I was jumping up and down screaming whenever Josh successfully hit the hot read to the RB or receiver in the flat in the face of a blitzer. Two years ago he NEVER did that. Last year he did it, but not enough. Amazing how, when a QB is harried and hurried and has balls being batted, he just doesn't look all-world

Just a point that 22 snaps is still a significant percentage as we didn't have that many offensive snaps.

They had a plan ready for us. Their plan was 1) take away the stuff over the middle and the 10-20 yd stuff where Josh was deadly last season (they did) 2) know where Diggs is at all times and take him away 3) pressure Josh, he can't hit the deep stuff when he's pressured 4) take away the runs between the tackles, our backs don't have the speed to bounce outside In order to do this they made the following assumptions: 1) Dawson Knox is not much of a receiving threat, especially deep 2) Josh won't check down or take the short stuff, he's just not wired that way 3) The Bills won't be using the $258M man on designed run plays or letting him expose himself on scrambles 4) Josh has trouble hitting the deep shots, focus on taking the 10-20 yd stuff away FAIL Because at best, arguing on social media is as useful as a Screen Door on a Submarine At worst, it makes him and his SM a focal point instead of the rightful focal point on the team

I doubt that Cole is being disciplined. I think he, and the slot routes over the middle he runs so well, were what KC gameplanned to take away.

I wouldn't read too much into it. Kumerow started the game because our plan was clearly to show we could and would run. 6 run plays 2 pass plays on the first drive. 2 run plays 1 pass play on the 2nd Kumerow can actually level a guy blocking both downfield and in the backfield. Beasley is a great blocker - for a Smurf, but Smurf vs Honeybadger who wins?

That's not the governing factor. After all, Kim Pegula forewent the adamantium fittings on the Pegula yacht loo, in favor of a magnificant remodel of the locker room and training facilities. I think the visitor facilities got a new coat of battleship grey paint or something

Permit me to offer you an assistive device:

Part of Allen having a good game is that while we didn't gain a lot of yards running in the 1st half, we gained ENOUGH that KC needed to respect our run threat. They also needed to respect our TE and our short passing game, which they didn't need to last AFCCG. Allen TOOK the checkdowns and the "hot" receiver when he needed to this game. And I can't tell you how happy that made me to see.

Good place to put this "Josh Allen Jumping Over Things"