Hapless Bills Fan

Agreed that it was a highly entertaining read, and it was a great explanation of how Daboll set the Bills up to "solve" or stymie the Chiefs. Just don't take what he says about the Bills offense historically or earlier this season too seriously.

Obada played 26% of the snaps against Pitts and 40% against KC. So far no action, but if McDermott and Frazier are kept him out there that much vs KC he musta been doing something they liked. He's been listed as "questionable" on several of the previous weeks' injury reports - vs. Miami and vs. the Texans for sure, not sure about WFT

I have to believe that the weather will play a role. Right now the forecast for next Monday in Nashville is good - low chance of rain, light winds, probably about 60 degrees at game time. If the forecast is for a slippery field in any way, expect Milano's hammy to get another week of vacation.

How many mushrooms do you consume daily? Go eat a snack and purge yourself of these delusions that anyone who recommends something they enjoy must be paid.

We're leading the league in points scored. What kind of statistical production you lookin' for? I agree with you completely. We have a reasonable run game (currently 9th for ypa and 5th for total yards), that teams have to at least consider. And we have a passing game to the TE who can also stay in to run block decently or to protect decently. That's also huge in allowing us to operate. Agree. Just crossing my fingers and spinning the 'ol Prayer Wheel that Hard Knox and the "Moss Motor Company" sustain what they're doing (and avert injuries). PS I agree that one wouldn't call our run game "elite", but at present, the Ravens have 744 rushing yds and we have 704. That's not a typo; we have 40 less rush yards than the Ravens, an amount that could easily have swapped on a couple lovely runs that were neutralized by penalties.

What's really impressive in the chart he shows is where Sanders is in his route when Allen throws. He's like at the 12 yd line, and the DB is right on his hip.

OK read it now. I think his assessment of the Chiefs game formations itself is very good. When he starts talking about the Bills in previous years, or what Allen likes to do, or Daboll's "simple" playbook which John Brown called "the most complicated he'd seen", it's shallow as an August stream in Missouri. And of course, he makes it sound like there was a philosophical transition between 2019 and 2020 due to realizing Allen was a bad QB: "And then they woke up and realized that Allen was a bad college player. So why were they trying so hard to run all that heavy personnel and deep play-action stuff? If he was bad within that setup in college could they really be surprised that he was just as bad in the league? In 2020, Daboll took the hand brake off, and – hey presto – Allen became an MVP candidate." This is 1) insulting to Allen and Daboll 2) blind to the fact that in 2020, the Bills acquired Stefon Diggs and drafted Gabe Davis, giving them the WR personnel to actually operate with Brown and Beasley out of 4 or 5 WR sets. In 2019, the Bills really had Brown Beasley and ?who? at WR, and they had a true fullback and a great blocking TE on the roster, and they were tenuous at RT - so it makes sense they would operate out of more heavy sets. But they also still ran 70% (1,1) with 3 WR. They didn't change sets because of this fantasy of the authors that "the Bills woke up and realized that Allen was a bad college player". They changed sets because they parted ways with DiMarco and acquired a great vet WR and a very good rookie (and McKenzie leveled up his route running as well). And Allen improved because he worked his ass off to improve his passing technique, not because the Bills changed the offense. For example, he says "Most quarterbacks like crisscrossing routes because they can spring open throws. Not Allen. He likes to bounce one, to two, to three independently. And then he launches." This just reads like a guy who really isn't very familiar with Daboll or the Bills at all. Last year and in some games this season, the Bills thrived on crossing routes. Daboll used them to great effect to ensure someone or another was open. Beasley feasted. I haven't forced myself back through the all-22 of the first 3 games yet, but vs WFT where Beasley collected 98 yds, I'm pretty sure I'm going to find crossing routes. Then there's his initial assessment of the Bills offense "Outside of Arizona, no team has embraced the principles of the spread more than the Bills. And we’re not talking about spread-option, hat-counting football here. We’re talking about old-fashioned, spread-to-throw, true Air-Raid stuff. They plant as many wide receivers on the field as possible, chuck them in as much space as possible, and then throw to the open man. Whether that’s 50 yards, 15 yards or 5 yards downfield depends on the defensive alignment and coverage." I'm like C'Mon Man. The Bills ran a lot of empty set (13%) 5 WR and 1 back 4 WR (29%) against the Steelers, and only 52% (1,1) 3 WR that was their bread-n-butter last year, but in the Miami game and even more the WFT game, their predominant set was last year's predominant set, (1,1). Against Miami we ran 14% (2,1) 2 WR, 2 back sets and 8% against Washington, with almost no 4 or 5 WR sets against Miami and no 5 WR, 8% 4 WR against WFT. Then against the Texans, we were 55% (1,1) sets, 7% (1,0) 4 WR set, 0 5 WR set, but 20% (2,1) with 2 WR and 2 backs, and 13% (1,2) with 2 WR, 2 TE. My point is when the guy talks about formations overall in the first 4 games being 76% (1,1) or (1,0), that's true on average but there was actually a lot of game to game variation. Of course, being a total homer, I love it when he says "But all throws are high percentage throws to Allen", however last season, and so far this season, that simply hasn't been true. Before this game, Allen was 7 for 20 on throws at or beyond 20 yards. 1 of 8 vs Pitts, 2 of 5 vs Miami, 2 of 5 vs WFT, and 2 of 2 vs Texans. Hitting 1 or 2 deep throws to an open receiver in the Pittsburgh game may well have swung the game, because Tomlin knew bloody well where Allen is deadly (those 10-20 yd throws in the middle of the field) and he did everything he could to take those away. Anyway, nice analysis of the Chiefs game but take his comments about Allen, the Bills offense, and Daboll in general with a large salt shaker to hand.

I had trouble accessing the actual article. Here's a direct link: https://readoptional.substack.com/p/bills-josh-allen-daboll-offense-scheme The author, Ollie Connolly, says he is "Previously: NFL/CFB Scout, recruiting analyst"

Who is this guy? Because the quote in his tweet doesn't seem to resemble some of the analysis Cover1 and Jim Kubiak and others have done of the Daboll offense. It's said to accompany a huge thick playbook, to have lots of variations on a play depending upon what the defense does (that the receivers and Allen must interpret the same way), and if anything, to be excessively complex - not "boom or bust and pare it down to concepts his QB can boom" I guess I should read the article but...

But What About Nutella? Shouldn't Nutella be in the convo? It's jelly....kinda...jelly made of chocolate berries

Y'know, it just might be a point that folks these days want Champagne journalism on a Free Beer journalism budget Print newspaper subscriptions have gone way down, but folks want equal or better journalism to what their subscriptions and advertisments used to support, without paying a dime. And if someone who enjoys it says "y'know, I get some quality journalism at TBN and at the Athletic, and it's drinkable at Korbel Brut type prices for a 6 month trial", then they get dismissed as "influencers" I could be wrong, I am an old fogey, but I THINK "influencers" are social media types who get free product and then get paid to display it or talk about it on their social media accounts. Rachel Bush is an "influencer" or used to be. Brittney Williams is an "influencer". I neither get free product, nor pay. I'm just not complaining about how sucky sports journalism is with my subscriptions. Well, except Gamepass. If that counts as "sports journalism" (uncertain) I'm sure AF complaining about it! That's....sarcasm?

McDermott at the end: "I'll take that first down. He can jump over me if he wants that first down." (with a grin) I came here to post that Kern had been out the previous two games due to a groin injury. Hopefully the trainers treating him were following NFL protocol to wear masks and face shields while providing any treatments.

Um, in the manner of calculating offensive snaps, he was in on 39% Either way, the point is, 63-64% would be more typical for Cole the last 2 years and overall this season.

Buffalo 38, KC 20. And here. Above in this thread, I predicted that we would see more Siran Neal/Dime with Milano out. From Skurski in TBN: I just want to come back here and show my receipts

FWIW McDermott had this to say about Beasley's snap count, as quoted by Jay Skurski in TBN: So according to McD, Nothing to See Here, Move Along

I once knew someone whose bloodhound swallowed her Rolex watch. It came out in 2 days, still ticking. Something tells me Rolex wouldn't consider that an advertising point to its target market

Oh, yeah, Daboll definitely uses personnel groupings early in the game to set up plays later in the game and personnel groupings/plays/playcalling tendencies in one game to set up the next game.

I put it to you that a PB&J sandwich, per its very name, requires jelly. If it contains 0% jelly, it's not a PB&J sandwich, it's a PB sandwich. Logic Is anyone else deeply disturbed at the thought this guy scrutinizes his poop in enough detail to determine this? Buddy, if you can see peanuts or anything else in the loo when you poo, you're examining the stuff too carefully. What are you, a re-incarnated pooch?

Except I believe Kumerow was in the game on the Sanders TD pass, so....

Several ways to check playing time: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/buf/2021.htm Click on the relevant game "boxscore" https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/202110100kan.htm Scroll down About halfway down you'll see a list of Snap Counts for both teams Find your guy Or just go to the site https://www.pro-football-reference.com Type your guy's name into the search button on the upper Rt side Snap counts for this season are in the game listings at the top Kumerow had 7 snaps, or 12% of the snaps He had more snaps in the Hou and Was games, albeit possibly for different reasons (like being comfortably ahead and sitting the starters late) I think Kumerow and Sweeney both saw snaps in the Chiefs game to help with run blocking. I don't think Kumerow blocks in-line, but he's pretty good downfield and from the backfield.

I mean, it IS the same people who thought it was a good idea to hire Gruden and Mayock in the first place still in charge, yes? What you say would make sense, but these aren't necessarily sensible people

Hello, "Zero" is <10% so your choice is included

I think you need to add some options to your poll per issues raised by Drew Brees: -what kind of jelly (grape, strawberry, other - apricot? raspberry? lingonberry? apple butter?)? -how is it cut? 4 pieces or 2, rectangular/square or diagonal? Also, -whole wheat bread, white bread, or sandwich skinnys? I think the point stands that you can't have PB&J with Almonds. That would be AB&J. Same point may exclude apple butter as a jelly equivalent 🤷‍♂️

Except for the corporations that don't. In fact I've never heard of an "absolute two year retention policy". The large corporation I worked for, emails were Forever. There's a reason that the investigation into the WFT was able to access 11 year old emails.

That is essentially my explanation given above. In no narrative, ever, has it been a good idea to be in a career covering in a business and use derogatory language about the head with one of the high-ups. Agreed They can check the public posts, but they need to be given access to check the private posts.