-
Posts
48,720 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Everything posted by Hapless Bills Fan
-
4 seconds, try 3
-
The easiest change (because the test and its accuracy are already vetted and accepted by the NFL and NFLPA) would be to just re-implement daily testing as done last season. By the time they get done discussing the antigen test and its sensitivity and selectivity and choosing a vendor and assuring supply, the season would be done.
-
COVID-19 - Facts and Information Only Topic
Hapless Bills Fan replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in Off the Wall
Really good plain-language discussion of Omicron and the above paper from "Your Local Epidemiologist", blogger Katelyn Jetelina https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/omicron-were-getting-some-answers Questions: Is Omicron more contagious (transmissible)? -So far in both South Africa and UK, the answer appears to be "hell to the Yes", with an Rt of 2-3 in South Africa (limited testing) and Rt of 3.47 in UK, and Omicron went from 0.01% to 2% of the positive cases in UK in just over 2 weeks. Is it less severe? -That's "we don't know yet". YLE does a good job of spelling out the possibilities: I'd like to point out a different way of looking at it, from Cornell president Martha Pollack in an email that was just sent regarding Cornell's Tuesday closure of in-person events and transition to online finals. Cornell is 97% vaccinated and Omicron was spreading fast (but not causing any serious disease, sniffles or nothing). In fact, if Cornell weren't testing every student every week, they would have no idea they had an outbreak, because most of the cases are either asymptomatic or milder than the cold/flu that is going around (in vaccinated students). Here is Martha Pollack's explanation of why we still care (Pollack is a computer and information science professor and knows her maths): Math sez: A Variant that is twice as infectious, but 10x less cases of serious disease, unchecked, will produce 100x more serious illness after 10 iterations of transmission. -
COVID-19 - Facts and Information Only Topic
Hapless Bills Fan replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in Off the Wall
OK, we have our first data on Omicron. First of all, lab study from South Africa. This is a peer-reviewed, accepted publication from a lab that has been in the forefront https://secureservercdn.net/50.62.198.70/1mx.c5c.myftpupload.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/MEDRXIV-2021-267417v2-Sigal.pdf Bottom line: both immunity from previous infection and immunity from vaccination have decreased effectiveness against Omicron, as shown by testing for neutralizing antibodies. Vaccination PLUS previous infection maintains higher protection. Bear in mind: antibodies are only one arm of the adaptive immune system, and may not be the most important aspect of immune response to prevent severe disease. As the authors note "protection against severe disease, requiring lower neutralizaton levels and involving T cell immunity, would likely be maintained" This is from Pfizer/BioNTech about vaccination and Omicron (the overall facts are likely to be true, but the numbers may be more favorable than an independent study): https://www.pfizer.com/news/press-release/press-release-detail/pfizer-and-biontech-provide-update-omicron-variant -two doses of Pfizer vaccine are 25x less protective against Omicron (note that above, real life SA study said 40x) -"According to the companies’ preliminary data, a third dose provides a similar level of neutralizing antibodies to Omicron as is observed after two doses against wild-type and other variants that emerged before Omicron. These antibody levels are associated with high efficacy against both the wild-type virus and these variants. A third dose also strongly increases CD8+ T cell levels against multiple spike protein epitopes which are considered to correlate with the protection against severe disease. Compared to the wild-type virus, the vast majority of these epitopes remain unchanged in the Omicron spike variant." This would be consistent with the South African data that 2 doses of vaccine PLUS a prior infection provided good protection, saying 2 doses plus a booster provide good infection. It is not unknown for vaccines to require 3 or 4 doses to provide consistent protection - for example, many childhood vaccines have a 3 or 4 dose series and a booster is recommended in the teenage years. Years ago, when I was vaccinated against Hepatitis B with the original vaccine as a condition of my employment and they took blood and checked for antibodies 3 weeks after each shot, it took me five (5) doses to seroconvert. -
This is what I meant when I said upthread "batten down the hatches for Covid" I've seen it suggested "Oh well, drop the protocols, who cares?" Keep in mind the players are young and fit but even there, some are apparently fine (Brown, Boettger) and others struggling (Dawkins, Lotulelei). Then there are the coaches, who mostly are....Not young and fit. For right now, the NFLPA went into the season with the position that they care about preventing Covid and its spread among players, and the coaches and staff signed on to the season with the idea the NFL cared about preventing Covid. That isn't going to be changed mid-season, and frankly, to change the rules mid-season would be horribly unfair to guys like Ron Rivera (immunocompromised, Cancer) and Bruce Arians (3 time cancer survivor).
-
To me it means "enhanced protocols" in the facility to prevent inside facility spread, and ask players to resume last year's protocols outside Yes, I think it can be prevented by doing this, it's just an airborne contagious disease. But players would have to take it seriously - no "chin diapers" and "mouth muzzles" As far as the "disaster heading into playoff time", you're probably not wrong because I don't see teams and players being proactive on this. They will wait until one by one the hosses have left the barn (like the Browns and the Rams)
-
https://www.cnn.com/2021/12/12/entertainment/megan-thee-stallion-graduation/index.html?fbclid=IwAR142GU5oUojoTriFZizoBBg-hMxbCJZOmNFizjE_CnuI16HEyDCooLJOyI Classy bougie ratchet?
-
https://www.nfl.com/news/odell-beckham-tests-positive-for-covid-19-rams-entering-enhanced-protocols Browns are also in "Enhanced Protocols": Bills better batten down the Hatches on Covid protocols and try to get ahead of it. Whether or not one agrees with the Rules, the NFL's Rules are if you test positive, you're not playing.
-
Change Pass Interference to 15 yd penalty (edited title)
Hapless Bills Fan replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall
Didn't the NFL try that a couple years ago, and abandoned it because they were never, but never, overturning the ruling on the field? Not once. Edit: yes, they introduced it for the 2019 season and didn't make it permanent https://www.nfl.com/news/owners-make-pass-interference-non-calls-reviewable-0ap3000001024371