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Everything posted by JESSEFEFFER
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13 dropped balls all season?????
JESSEFEFFER replied to Billsfan1972's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Clay probably could not track that ball as it was a bullet on a low trajectory and he has just cleared the defender and the ball is almost there. Face it, having an arm like that means that Josh can beat the defense anywhere on the field but also means his intended targets get less time to track and adjust to the ball and will have more difficulty actually catching it. Learning when it's not necessary to drill the ball to the target and instead it's better to lead the receiver into an open area with a touch pass that is easy to track and lands softly is a lesson that experience will teach. I thought our receiving corps looked much better when catching Matt Barkley's soft tosses, for instance. Also, we as fans tend to ignore a play the DB makes on the ball. If a DB gets a pbu on a play, we shouldn't view it as a "drop." Since we want the ball caught regardless of the circumstances, it tends to get recorded in our collective memories as another "*^%&$^%# dropped ball instead of "credit to the defender." -
I walked into Vic's barber shop in Stallings, NC a few years ago and there was a poster of the Electric Company on the wall. Turns out Joe D lives near there and used the same barber.
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Passer Rating vs. Total QBR (Matt vs. Josh)
JESSEFEFFER replied to JESSEFEFFER's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Supposedly this is true only of the NFL's passer rating formula. Supposedly, ESPN's Total QBR looks at every play in its comparable context and has some regard for clutch play. Maybe it's the result of a meaningless fumble on a 4th down play that did not gain enough for a first down, one bad sack (really poor block by Mills, I think Josh was rolling to avoid A but got sacked blindside by B who Mills didn't even slow down) and an almost interception? I suppose those were his three worst plays. -
Comparing Rookie QB Seasons
JESSEFEFFER replied to BuffaloHokie13's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don't believe that for 3 reasons. 1) The predraft belief that Whaley would be gone after the draft and he was only still there because he and his staff had done all the prep for it and he was the one with connections to other draftrooms. 2) The widely held narrative that McDermottt was calling the shots. and 3) That it is usually up a newly hired GM to take the shot at a new franchise QB not the lame duck GM that failed on his attempts. -
Passer Rating vs. Total QBR (Matt vs. Josh)
JESSEFEFFER replied to JESSEFEFFER's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Fans generally felt good about this game. No need to look for the glass half full analysis to cheer us up. Some claimed to like it more than the previous 3 (which TQBR really liked. ) I just find it odd that Stafford was considered better by such a wide margin and, umm, the Lions lost. -
Passer Rating vs. Total QBR (Matt vs. Josh)
JESSEFEFFER replied to JESSEFEFFER's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Those two numbers in context say that Matt Stafford had a much more positive effect on the Lions behalf than Josh did for the Bills. That's a statement that is unsupported by the game I watched. -
The passer rating formula has some huge flaws in that it does not account for the effect of QB run plays, sacks/ lost yardage and fumbles lost. Basically everything a QB does when the ball doesn't leave his hand. All of these are plays that can have a huge effect on the outcome of a game. Enter Total QBR. Anything that attempts to quantify a QB's production in all situations should be better in my mind and I generally would think favorably of such an approach. Most of us saw yesterday's game, it's safe to assume. I have heard some comment about how much they liked how Josh played as it was more of a conventionally played game from the pocket with few obvious mistakes and a number of impressive throws. He took one sack, had an inconsequential fumble on an unsuccessful 4th attempt and made some big plays to help win the game. Here's the thing. His total QBR was 19.6, #27 on the week. What's an even bigger head scratcher is Matt Stafford was rated #2 at 81.5. That's not the same game I sat and watched from section 228. This could be exhibit A for those of you who have been saying that QBR is a bunch of crap and you now have my attention.
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Bills vs Packers 4 years ago today
JESSEFEFFER replied to Ice bowl 67's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I was at Tavern on the Tracks in Charlotte, NC with my wife as were there for a potential relocation visit. I doubt there is a better Bills Backer Bar anywhere else in the USA. -
That run reminds me of Alan Alda's portrayal of George Plimpton's TD in the movie Paper Lion. Classic.
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Tanner Gentry is the exact WR Bills should sign
JESSEFEFFER replied to MAJBobby's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This idea has kicked around awhile and I say I'm keen on it. Think how many times Gentry caught an Allen throw in their time together. His hands are probably trained to do it. He is used to the power and he probably knows not to quit on his routes and where to be on a scramble. Get him on the active roster and see if there is any chemistry there to exploit at this level. Logically there must be something there to justify the experiment. Gentry is 6'2' 200+ so he is not small. -
Anthony Barr and now Kiko. Josh Allen is the cause of much LB film room embarrassment.
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What is Clay doing 8 yards deep in the end zone?
JESSEFEFFER replied to Billsfan1972's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
With all due respect, we have no idea what the actual play call was. What Josh managed to turn it into was way off script but damn close to a win on a totally busted coverage. -
What is Clay doing 8 yards deep in the end zone?
JESSEFEFFER replied to Billsfan1972's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
A baseball analogy I see is when a slugger takes a big swing but makes contact with the ball outside the sweet spot. Based on the launch angle the outfielder may tend to stay deep or even drift toward the fence but then realize it was mishit and then suddenly try to reverse direction toward the ball. It's tough to overcome the misread and the false steps. The Bills receiving corp has probably learned to get and stay deep on his broken play throws because Josh Allen has a uniquely powerful arm. That flutter ball which traveled 50 to 55 yards was tough to read and react to. Blame shared equally, imo. -
Anyone have a video of Allen overthrowing foster?
JESSEFEFFER replied to Hebert19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Ever hear of Pythagoras? -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - “Get Aboard the Josh Allen Train”
JESSEFEFFER replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I can objectively say this with the caveat that I have not paid too much attention to Cam Newton's highlights: Josh Allen in his brief NFL career has shown on multiple occasions physical traits that I have never seen before. The Dive, The Hurdle and The Stiff Arm against Anthony Barr (and the one on Yannick Ngakoue.) I said in another thread that Josh has the wingspan of a condor and could stiff arm a T-Rex to the dirt. Even that int he threw against the Chargers where he dragged Ingram for 15 ft. and still made a decent, though ill advised throw was something of a wow play. Can't say that I have ever seen an NFL QB throw an interception quite like that before. Consider that leaping over the los with ball extended for a TD against the Vikings. That was done so easily and quickly that the defense had no chance to react. Usually there is a risk to expose the ball like that. Not so for him. Maybe we should sticky a thread full of videos of these type plays. We may be seeing many, many plays like these over his career and will need a library of them for future reference. -
My brother mentioned this to me last Sunday. I hadn't bothered to read up on him and this is very concerning to me. Three of those six were lost, they were all on just 21 punt returns and I'd be interested to know how many were actually muffed. Catching punts at New Era Field is about as tough as it gets. Just about every return I see a Bill make, I repeat out loud "Hold on to the ball, hold on to the ball, hold on to the ball......" until the play is over. Now I know why McDermott said he was concerned about the play that was ruled a fumble but easily overturned. He likely knows the history and wants this kid to demonstrate that it's no longer an issue.
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Josh Allen Nominated for Angry Runs
JESSEFEFFER replied to Haplo848's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Josh Allen has a wingspan like a condor and could stiff arm a T-Rex to the dirt. Just ask Anthony Barr or Yannick Ngakoue. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - “Get Aboard the Josh Allen Train”
JESSEFEFFER replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I will go look at the replay tonight. These kind of plays happen way more often than we notice live. Fitz and EJ had passes like this that we fans as a group ripped them for based mostly on their reputations. Unless the TV guys notice it, you have to suspect that it may have happened and then look for the evidence. The ball is moving at over 80 ft/sec so it's just a blur of a ball before and after the tip with the ball having more wobble than usual and having been slowed down a bit. All that is enough for a ball to miss its target badly, especially on a crossing route. -
I think some TV broadcasts amplify the crowd noise thinking it lends to a better game atmosphere. I always thought Fox was most guilty of that.
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I do not remember a "best ever" tag. I remember it as a "can't miss/sure thing" label. That's a totally different idea.
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I probably need not point this out but Colt's OC is Southwestern grad Nick Sirianni, part of a successful football coaching family from the Jamestown area. He was with Reich on the Chargers as a receivers coach when Frank was the OC there. He is a fairly young guy with a bright future. Here's a nice article: IndyStar
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The next 6 games... I expect
JESSEFEFFER replied to SuperBills12's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
There was a consensus before the season that the schedule favored a strong finish as the team improved over the course of the first half and the back end was filled with weaker teams and a bunch of home games. I think so many blowout losses have managed to blur that picture. But hope is a good thing. -
Kelvin Benjamin needs to be cut
JESSEFEFFER replied to TwistofFate's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yes it was. Bill Polian was faced with a decision about either extending Edgerin James or Reggie Wayne who both mainstays of a great Colts offense. He signed Wayne and let James go with the reasoning that it took more time to develop Wayne as player than James and that Wayne was therefore tougher for the offense to replace. This is to make the point that it used to be the norm that WRs took more time to become good pros than most any other position and you shouldn't rush to call a rookie WR a bust. Eric Moulds seems like the best example of this from the Bills history.