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Everything posted by JESSEFEFFER
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2019 NFL Draft Wide Receiver Prospect Primer
JESSEFEFFER replied to blacklabel's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
These highlights showed lots of body control at the point of the catch and sort of define him as more of a big play threat rather than a possession guy. He supposedly had the largest wingspan ever measured (for any player or just for WR?) at just under 7ft. The 20+ ypc says the same but most of these passes in the clip are pretty soft tosses and are not much like what JA typically throws but with the ball in the air longer it gives him more time to adjust his body position and track the ball. I wonder what sorts of passes characterized his drops that I have read about. Those don't make highlight videos. I'd like him in the 2nd and then another guy in the 4th. -
UB Pro Day should be more interesting this year. Tyree throws to his guys, Anthony Johnson's 40, Hodge w/o the combine invite and something to prove and c James O'Hagen looks to be in line for an NFL shot. Probably some others I did not mention. I wonder if it will be at Ad Pro per usual or if it will be in the new fieldhouse on campus. I would think the latter could accommodate it but their may still be advantages to One Bills Drive hosting. It's a week away on 3/13 and I hope we get some better coverage of it than we usually see.
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2019 NFL Draft Wide Receiver Prospect Primer
JESSEFEFFER replied to blacklabel's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Hakeem Butler is a contested ball specialist with a huge wingspan @ 6'5" and 228 lbs. and good YAC ability that helped him average over 20 ypc. He may be everything they hoped Kelvin Benjamin would be but he actually showed more athletic ability at the combine with a 4.48 s 40 and 36" vertical he outperformed Benjamin at every measurable beside weight. They definitely do not have anyone like him on their roster. He'd be a nice target to have at the other end of a Josh Allen scramble. He doesn't seem to be in many top 10 lists and I'm not sure why, but, that might be changing post combine. -
Bills have interest in TE Dwayne Allen; visited 3/6
JESSEFEFFER replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Maybe some ST upside. He could be a Butch Rolle type TE. -
I can see the post game press conference now. The Bills just lost by giving up a FG as time expired, 23-21. Brady had been given the ball with just under 2 minutes to play but the Bills' D couldn't stop Brady from doing Tom Brady things. Sean McDermott opens by saying "We hit our points quota at the end of the first half when we went up 21-10 and I was convinced that 21 was all we should need to win so we decided not to try anything risky to score additional points."
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I think you have that right. There was a question posed by a WGR poll about which offseason is more important to the Bills future, 2018 or 2019. Tasker was waffling about it and the reason for that, in my opinion, is last year's draft was more important, mostly for the draft moves made to get Allen and Edmunds, than this year's but that the sum total of all the offseason moves, draft + FA + long term cap commitments + coaching staff changes(as you mentioned +ST) for this year will be more important to their future. Last year's dead cap space handicap is converted to bigger risk/reward opportunities for this year. One of my favorite movie quotes: Andy Dufresne in the letter to Red: Remember Red, hope is a good thing, maybe the best of things, and no good thing ever dies.
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Quotes from a press conference vs. an interview with Joe Buscalgia. Saying something similar, using slightly different words. Logically, he is not going to stop scoring once they hit 21. So.......... "at least" or "21 or more" could be inferred from however he chooses to say.it.
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The obsession with a #1 WR in the group is more of a fan thing. I do not believe that the Bills think that way. I think that in McDermott's brain a #1 WR = Diva and Divas are not process/team guys. Any WR coming from Canada should have been humbled and thankful for an NFL shot. Humbled and thankful are good WR traits.
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Scoring "21 points, at least, every game" implies that they score more than that other times. Therefore, the average is not 21, it has to be higher. If you have an offense that scores 21 as a minimum during the season, it's pretty darn good and likely averages closer to 30 than 21.
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Well the little bit we see of the bottom of the list is consistent with transplantbillsfan's rather exhaustive study that concluded that Josh Allen's accuracy "issue" is totally consistent with the accuracy "issues" of other rookie QBs both this year and of recent history. None of this seems to indicate indicate that Josh has a fatal flaw accuracy problem, quite the opposite. He is in the mix of typical rookie starters. Either he improves or they move on. Same for all the others.
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Nothing wrong with that stadium as a venue for 10, 11 or maybe 12 games a year. Paying twice the price for armrests, a cup holder and a roof can't be justified within my budget. The totality of the gameday experience should not be sacrificed to the whims of Roger's vision of what's best for us. My $.02. Thanks.
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Could the Bills be any better set up at QB for the future?
JESSEFEFFER replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think Beane has said as much. Phrases like "on me" and "my mistake." He made it sound like the Derek Anderson option was discussed late in camp and he blamed himself to waiting too long to make the call. -
Almost all the potential adjustments I can think of would hurt the defense in other areas. Afraid to play man and turn your back to him so you play more zone? Leave one or two spies near the LOS? Have your pass rush just push the pocket and fail to work upfield ala Detroit? All these things just open more space on the field or limit the effectiveness of the pass rush. Sure, take away his scrambles and suffer the consequences elsewhere. Yes, he does need to become more capable of exploiting those advantages but that's what usually happens from year one to year two.
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The OC calls a passing play. The QB has the ball in his hands and needs to do something to help his team. The question shouldn't be "How often did he throw the ball and for how many yards?" It should be "What was the ratio of good outcomes to bad ones?" For dual threat QBs, looking solely at comp%, yards and TD pass/Int ratio is only a partial analysis. I read that Josh averaged over 10 yards on runs that started as pass plays. If true, that is a huge number--a number bigger than any QB averaged per pass attempt. It would be poor work to ignore this production in any comprehensive assessment of JA's rookie performance. Many scrambling QBs also take more sacks and commit more turnovers as a result. Apparently, not so for Josh.
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You'd have to subtract runs that were 1) goal line/short yardage and 2) kneeldowns or 3) designed run plays (draws and read options.) So his sack rate per dropback (which would include scrambles runs and therefore be a larger number) would be even better vs. the league or historical averages of other Bills' QBs. I'd say QBR appreciates this ability whereas the NFL's passer rating totally whiffs.
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Bean at his Witchery, Again!
JESSEFEFFER replied to ROCBillsBeliever's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Exactly how many off seasons has Beane been through? I count one completed(as in through) and one still in the early stages. Misstating the situation does nothing to bolster your point. And that was a good trade by our GM. -
How many EJ Manuel type careers are left off the list because they are not currently a starter or even in the league? The real correlation here may be that a QB drafted high enough to start their rookie season had better show something trending upwards in their second season or they will be cycled out of the league. No longer the "benefit of the doubt" beneficiaries, their lack of second year success probably cost the people that drafted and coached them their jobs. I don't have the time to research this but other names like Ponder, Young, Smith, Locker, Gabbert are conveniently excluded from this list. There are probably lots more. I don't know why Tanneyhill is excluded. I see Thurman#1 and No Saint had already made similar points. It is silly to make your "test group" by excluding unsuccessful, highly drafted QBs and then try to make a conclusion about the trends for success looking favorable for our QB entering his second year.
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6 Potential QB coach candidates
JESSEFEFFER replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Played QB at Cornell and was on Jim Hohfer's staff at UB which is not on in the body of his Wikipedia bio. They do have it in the offset to the right. -
David Culley (former Bills QB coach) gone- to Ravens
JESSEFEFFER replied to One Buffalo's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
As an independent contractor "QB coach" he does not have to move and he can only "lose clients" rather than be fired from a team. I'd think the money would have to be big to offset that. But, if the Bills do not name a QB coach going up to the draft they could be waiting out this off season gig to name him their coach. He can work with all the QBs he wants, including Josh without those odd CBA off season contact rules. -
Baldinger on Josh Allen's Elite Athleticism
JESSEFEFFER replied to JESSEFEFFER's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I wonder if there are any advanced metrics on failure to block d-line stunts. it seemed like there were a bunch during the season and usually preceded a Josh Allen scramble.