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Everything posted by JESSEFEFFER
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Nothing wrong with that stadium as a venue for 10, 11 or maybe 12 games a year. Paying twice the price for armrests, a cup holder and a roof can't be justified within my budget. The totality of the gameday experience should not be sacrificed to the whims of Roger's vision of what's best for us. My $.02. Thanks.
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Could the Bills be any better set up at QB for the future?
JESSEFEFFER replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think Beane has said as much. Phrases like "on me" and "my mistake." He made it sound like the Derek Anderson option was discussed late in camp and he blamed himself to waiting too long to make the call. -
Almost all the potential adjustments I can think of would hurt the defense in other areas. Afraid to play man and turn your back to him so you play more zone? Leave one or two spies near the LOS? Have your pass rush just push the pocket and fail to work upfield ala Detroit? All these things just open more space on the field or limit the effectiveness of the pass rush. Sure, take away his scrambles and suffer the consequences elsewhere. Yes, he does need to become more capable of exploiting those advantages but that's what usually happens from year one to year two.
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The OC calls a passing play. The QB has the ball in his hands and needs to do something to help his team. The question shouldn't be "How often did he throw the ball and for how many yards?" It should be "What was the ratio of good outcomes to bad ones?" For dual threat QBs, looking solely at comp%, yards and TD pass/Int ratio is only a partial analysis. I read that Josh averaged over 10 yards on runs that started as pass plays. If true, that is a huge number--a number bigger than any QB averaged per pass attempt. It would be poor work to ignore this production in any comprehensive assessment of JA's rookie performance. Many scrambling QBs also take more sacks and commit more turnovers as a result. Apparently, not so for Josh.
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You'd have to subtract runs that were 1) goal line/short yardage and 2) kneeldowns or 3) designed run plays (draws and read options.) So his sack rate per dropback (which would include scrambles runs and therefore be a larger number) would be even better vs. the league or historical averages of other Bills' QBs. I'd say QBR appreciates this ability whereas the NFL's passer rating totally whiffs.
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Bean at his Witchery, Again!
JESSEFEFFER replied to ROCBillsBeliever's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Exactly how many off seasons has Beane been through? I count one completed(as in through) and one still in the early stages. Misstating the situation does nothing to bolster your point. And that was a good trade by our GM. -
How many EJ Manuel type careers are left off the list because they are not currently a starter or even in the league? The real correlation here may be that a QB drafted high enough to start their rookie season had better show something trending upwards in their second season or they will be cycled out of the league. No longer the "benefit of the doubt" beneficiaries, their lack of second year success probably cost the people that drafted and coached them their jobs. I don't have the time to research this but other names like Ponder, Young, Smith, Locker, Gabbert are conveniently excluded from this list. There are probably lots more. I don't know why Tanneyhill is excluded. I see Thurman#1 and No Saint had already made similar points. It is silly to make your "test group" by excluding unsuccessful, highly drafted QBs and then try to make a conclusion about the trends for success looking favorable for our QB entering his second year.
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6 Potential QB coach candidates
JESSEFEFFER replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Played QB at Cornell and was on Jim Hohfer's staff at UB which is not on in the body of his Wikipedia bio. They do have it in the offset to the right. -
David Culley (former Bills QB coach) gone- to Ravens
JESSEFEFFER replied to One Buffalo's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
As an independent contractor "QB coach" he does not have to move and he can only "lose clients" rather than be fired from a team. I'd think the money would have to be big to offset that. But, if the Bills do not name a QB coach going up to the draft they could be waiting out this off season gig to name him their coach. He can work with all the QBs he wants, including Josh without those odd CBA off season contact rules. -
Baldinger on Josh Allen's Elite Athleticism
JESSEFEFFER replied to JESSEFEFFER's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I wonder if there are any advanced metrics on failure to block d-line stunts. it seemed like there were a bunch during the season and usually preceded a Josh Allen scramble. -
Baldinger on Josh Allen's Elite Athleticism
JESSEFEFFER replied to JESSEFEFFER's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
We often talk about the "eye test" and my "eye test" assessment of Josh is he has done things in ways that I have never seen from a QB prior to him. The hurdle play for instance. Never seen it over a mostly upright defender who happens to be 6'5". The throw to Zay Jones in the back of the end zone that Josh makes off his back leg but without his front leg planted. That is a jump pass off of a rollout that goes 30+ yards. That's the throw a SS makes from the hole to second base but his throw is a blur of a football. The stiff arms of defenders who can't even get their hands on his torso, let alone make a tackle. Defenders do not run him down from behind. It's one thing to say a player is athletic. It's another to put together dozens of plays from only 11 games of action that fall into the realm of "never seen it done like that before." He even manages to run QB sneaks in ways that stand out. So I think Baldinger's statement about being more athletic than every other NFL QB is spot on. -
Baldinger on Josh Allen's Elite Athleticism
JESSEFEFFER replied to JESSEFEFFER's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That's not his take. He is showing how that athleticism allowed him to beat defenses when the protection failed. How he made great throws from tough circumstances. But you do you.- 67 replies
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Don't think this video has been linked previously. He is definitely impressed by what Josh has shown. These clips mostly feature what Josh did when the protection broke down. Why-Josh-Allen-is-an-elite-athlete-at-QB
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I am trying hard to remember but I do not recall Josh having any red zone TO's and the majority of TD runs were, of course, "red zone plays." So I'd think his actual red zone production would be pretty solid for a first year guy lacking a bona fide, go up and get it, red zone target. His passer rating would totally miss the quality and quantity of his red zone runs. So, I suspect, the "horrific in the red zone" statement is probably not supported by anything.
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Josh Allen advanced metrics darling?
JESSEFEFFER replied to Big Turk's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Forget about the 40 time. I'd rather measure the top end speed. Having great or poor sprinter starts has little meaning in football.. No one does that in a game. Every one plays by shifting gears into a full out sprint. I'd want to know how fast a player moves in top gear. Put the equipment on and give them a ball. -
Whatever it takes to get to Jordan Palmer a.s.a.p. he should make the investment. My impression of him as an athlete is that he is gangly rather than fluid, doesn't show much physical toughness, and is not nearly a finished college QB. The transfer flirtation is odd and now the draft declaration indicates that he is either listening to the wrong people or maybe that he had some problem with the UB coaches. I would like to see him do well but there is a long way for him to go before that can happen.
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I do not think he can do anything of substance until his legal situation is resolved. Google search said his next court date is 1/28. We still do not have the details of what he was doing there or what his intent was, if any. On the face of it, it did not seem malevolent just knuckleheaded. I suspect he will try again, it's just a matter of where that will be. He is no longer eligible for Last Chance U.
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Maybe a shotgun snap over his head that he managed to retreat to cover?
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He also talked about wanting to throw the ball out of the stadium as an exclamation point, TD celebration. The tunnel end has the scoreboards and the administration building in the way so he thought better of it. The NFL has a fine of over $6k for throwing the ball into the stands so any of us could argue that appeal. The money goes to a retired players charity so Howard and Jeremy were promoting a future GoFundMe effort and warning signs outside the stadium in the areas the ball might land.
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Should the Train Horn Stay? Or Go?
JESSEFEFFER replied to Gugny's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
If you sit anywhere near the frontside of a speaker inside the stadium, you'd probably want it gone. -
In rollouts to the right, I can think of 3 times where he was intercepted just prior to going out-of-bounds and it seems like most of his throw aways happened that way. I can think of two almost TDs against the Vikings and Dolphins both were to Ivory but he really wasn't throwing those balls to his right. More likely to have rolled right and run it in for a TD than having passed for one. As a matter of fact, if they didn't ignore his rollouts or at least isolate them, I'd think these stats would be a meaningless mess.
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I intentionally did not study the QB class although I knew the Bills would take one. I saw no point to having a favorite and then the Bills either having no chance at him or, worse yet, having a chance and taking someone different. So, I kind of understand where the Rosen people are coming from. The Josh is raw talk was like deja vu with "EJ is like a ball of clay." The NFL has no patience for QB sculpture and I am not sure there was/is the right coaching in place to develop him, so I was somewhat skeptical. Watching him play, seeing how he carried the offense, being shocked by how his size and athleticism has stood out against NFL defenders, feeling that he has improved in obvious and quantifiable ways, I think the Rosenites need to give it up. He's our guy.