JESSEFEFFER

Came in cold off the street and with a week of practice and with the first team offense on the field with him, the offense played well. I remember telling my brother that the pass catchers look much better catching his throws. It's likely a side benefit of lacking arm strength. He anticipates more because he has to, receivers adjust to the ball better because they have more time to do it and they hang on to it easier because his throws lack the power of Josh's throws. That is the first and only time we have seen him with the first team offense and a full week to prepare with a game plan.

The feelings about Barkley are pretty skewed by the 4th quarter vs. the Pats and the week 17 game vs. the Jets. As with Frank Reich, he could very well look much better with a full week of prep and the best of the rest of the offensive roster on the field with him. That's the best scenario we could hope for should he be the #2 and have to play for a few games.

Garbage in garbage out. Incomplete consideration of the inputs means that the outputs are questionable.

Actually, from what I recall, Dak had a pretty high drop% as well. It is the result of accuracy in part. But, does the "and more" include any weather adjustment? Dak played 10 games in a climate controlled venue, 8 at home, NO and Detroit. Josh played 1, in Dallas. Does the "and more" adjust for batted balls and spikes/throwaways? Maybe. It would be logical to do so. Probability = 0 for those would make sense. How about tipped passes? Those are tough to identify.

Show me anywhere drops are mentioned. No sign that it was even tracked.

It does not say that drops are factored in. They do not even list drop% among the WR/TE stats.

Well receiver separation and defender separation are accounted for. Receiver not making the catch is not, maybe. Nor is if the throw is made from a stationary position or while on the move, maybe. These could be covered under the "and more" factors in completion probability.

Supposedly protection and separation are accounted for in the XCOMP%. Some factors not accounted for would be drops, tipped passes and the weather, mostly wind effects. At least it is not stated that they are but maybe they are under the "and more" designation. Also, totally out of the mix is the decision made about where the ball went. So, there is a hodgepodge of factors that would effect both the comp% and the XCOMP%, including the accuracy of the throw. Completion Probability The probability of a pass completion, based on numerous factors such as receiver separation from the nearest defender, where the receiver is on the field, the separation the passer had at time of throw from the nearest pass rusher, and more. Expected Completion Percentage (xCOMP) Using a passer’s Completion Probability on every play, determine what a passer’s completion percentage is expected to be.

If you have a RB that is used as the lead guy, "eggs in one basket" threat then this is what happens. They appear to be a major part of the offense, especially if they are an elite in the passing game too, and will want to be paid accordingly. The thing is they are probably correct, they should be paid like they are valuable but the NFL "futures" value of any RB has gotten to be much riskier for return on investment.

I'd guess that he must have some reason to think Cam is now healthy.

His list is not a career projection. It's "If I am an NFL head coach and my job is on the line in 2020, how confident does this QB make me feel about winning enough games to keep my job. Thus, Tua's injury status is a HUGE part of this ranking and it's why other rookies are placed higher. The fact Stidham enters year two in the same offense and did well in the preseason last year gets him bumped up in the rankings over a guy who suffered a hip dislocation and fracture 7 months ago. So, I do not think this in and of itself makes Chris Simms stupid.

I'd like to know how they defined what a checkdown is. I know what I think it is but it's maybe not the same for them. Throwing short of the sticks on certain routes has no chance to make a first down. If there is a likelihood that there will be a 4th down attempt then a checkdown that improves the 4th down chances makes sense but then it may no longer be considered a checkdown. Imo, it should be a pass that whether its completed or not, has no chance to make a first down. It's really frustrating when it is thrown to a stationery target well short of the sticks. Virtually no chance to make a tackler miss. It's an easy completion though and will boost completion %. I think he is approaching 3rd and long situations with the right mindset.

Rivers 17, Brees 16, Brady 15. It appears he does a PFT version and then a different one for his Unbuttoned podcast. He does impersonations of his dad which are pretty funny. He favors strong armed, playmaking QBs but thinks QBs get too much credit and QBs in the 20s could win the Super Bowl. Called the 2015 version of Peyton Manning the worst to ever win one (or maybe that 2015 Manning was the worst starting QB of that year.)

I have been watching the pods he has been doing with Burmeister. They go into some depth there. Phil might be on the one tonight. The list is generated by posing the question that if he was a HC whose job depended on winning one game, which QB would he most trust? It's not over the next 1 or 5 years say like a stock investment. So, 18 is fair, imo, and saying that he could be much higher by the end of this season is where most of us are at, I think.

Or maybe that among the subset of human beings that are Americans of European ancestry, there is another subset, "the nonelites," who are not to be trusted with it. That's why the context of the tweets prior might matter to what was intended. She didn't release them in their entirety and at the time she called out his joke for using "elite" and not for being racially exclusive. They were apparently discussing gun control and maybe gun culture. The comment may have been within the context of the Southern White population only and not meant to be excluding the entirety of the remaining world's population. I do not get why the availability of a silencer would be funny in any context but maybe there was something texted prior that would give it some meaning. Anyways, this would be the interpretation that is the least offensive and as a Northerner I would no longer need to be moderately offended. As for the semantics of the words I offer this: Ex. I could say that I only use Heinz ketchup on my cheeseburgers That could either be exclusive of all other brands of ketchup or it could be exclusive of all other condiments.

Tyrod got injured vs the Titans making a long 3rd down conversion. I think he finished the game but it cost him time. He was very aware that it would make a difference and took a chance. EJ had to play against the Bengals and Jags in the next two.

Thanks. I think he will break one of those sometime in his career.

Think about all the kneel down, victory formation plays. There has to be at least a dozen or so of them. I don''t know who would bother to look them up. So 12 for -24 yards? That would make it 171 for 1234 and the the ypc becomes 7.21. This is fun, sort of the reverse of watching the grocery bill go down when the coupons get scanned.

But, if your the OC and you have the green light for a 4th and 1 play? Unstoppable play twice = first down? For grins I looked at Josh's career rushing attempts including the playoff game. I got 207 atttempts for 1233 yards for a ypc of 5.95. Subtracting 24 attempts and the minimum of 23 yards (we know its slightly more--he almost broke one in 2018 in a home game against the Jets or Lions for big yards, the Dallas play got 3 or 4) it maxes out at 183 attempts for 1210 yards for a ypc of 6.61.

Maybe it's been answered similarly but here's mine: Kneeling is not inherently disrespectful. Kids kneel at soccer games when one is hurt. A man might kneel during a marriage proposal, a knighting ceremony or at the altar before their God Almighty. It's likely Jesus had to kneel to wash the feet of his disciples. So, it's not the kneeling that offends. It's the act of protest. He is making a point that his emotional state of being is not the same. Question. What would it say about someone if they are more upset about kneeling as an act of protest during the anthem versus kneeling on the neck of a person in police custody until he died? The irony here is one for the history books. Brees is entitled to his opinions and emotional response to the flag and anthem. When we pledge allegiance to the flag we close with "....liberty and justice for all." We can't expect that all our fellow Americans should feel the same about the symbols of our country if are denied liberty and justice in equal measure simply by their race, religeon, gender or sexual identity. Brees equated the kneeling as disrespectful to the flag as do you. I know many who feel the same. One, who I consider to be a thoughtful person, gave Trump credit for "defending the flag." Personally, I don't think anyone who got five draft deferments, one with a phoney medical diagnosis, should be the arbiter of anybody else"s patriotism. Why his comment was a mistake is the circumstances of his team. I'd bet he has been through the issue with his teammates and peers more than once. He is more than aware of why it was done and how they feel. He could have expressed his emotional connection to the flag without crapping on those who protest and why they do it. He could have supported them and their cause as just apart from his own personal feelings.

I rewatched Ken Burns' Vietnam documentary back in January but made the mistake of binge watching it. It was overwhelmingly, depressingly educational. Too much so to do without some recovery between. That was the depth of how screwed up things could get and how poor leadership can get us there. Thank goodness despite what some wish to say, we aren't near that level of fubar yet.

Winston and Brissett? You're complaining that they lost their starting jobs to Brady and Rivers? And you're giving them credit for the production generated by the six who are keeping their jobs including Mahomes, Jackson, Wilson? How many times has Fitz been replaced? How many games does he start this year until Tua is ready and replaces him? Either you make a convincing case for being the long term answer for your team by your 4th season in the league or your're moving on. Black or white.

That's the one I was thinking of. Alphonse and Gaston lead the way.

Tyrel Dodson?

Thanks for the laughs. I needed some.