JESSEFEFFER

This is all good. I would add this: If you are a "playmaking QB" that can make off script plays, there is even more to learn. More bad plays come because there is an inclination to extend plays because they can and they have yet to develop a sense of when a play is there to be made or should be scrapped. I think of an "athlete playing QB" as being very weak at QB aptitude, as you say yet to "master the mental aspects of the game" and not likely to ever do so.

Most QBs that fail do so because they do not develop fast enough to help their team win enough games to let everyone keep their jobs. Patience is not encouraged and rarely is a virtue in the Not For Long world. Josh is on a winning team and is doing everything he can to make himself a better QB. He has made huge progress and is already better than many predicted and has a real good chance to be a long term, difference making player. I could go further but Yolo nailed it. I do feel weary of this today.

In general an interviewer"s questions should never be longer than the interviewee"s answers. There are some who never seem to grasp this concept. They are too concerned with trying to impress the audience with how much they know about the subject matter that they bury the question in a series of statements.

This was before practice squads and salary caps. The old term was "taxi squad" but I think current rules would penalize abuse of the system.

And we could add Gary Anderson to the list of "but he wasn't good enough as a rookie." You are right. There is near zero patience for any kicker that is in a slump and costs a team one or more wins. How many teams cut their kicker last year after they played the Bills and they had a rough game? Three? It's tough for a rookie to be as good as they need to be the day they walk in the door and there are not enough chances to develop any faith in said rookie's talent without letting them attempt meaningful kicks. I would like to see the data on it but I'd bet New Era is one of the tougher places in the NFL to either kick FGs or punts. Assuming the competition is close, maybe they might keep both for a spell, avoid going "all in" on a rookie and delay relying on him to decide games. If the rookie can pretty much guarantee touchbacks and mitigate the need for great ST guys to cover them, it might work as a lower risk transition strategy. Let him ease into the NFL with some less significant kicks until he demonstrates he can "hack it."

I was thinking something similar but I never understood the current limits for bringing players back off IR during the season in the first place. They are getting full pay so why have such a severe restriction to the number they can bring back and why, in your scenario, limit it to COVID-19 cases? Why not an IR system more like MLB? It would give teams more options to better maintain the quality of their gameday rosters. Just say any use of the IR means a minimum of 4 games out for whatever reason, maybe with some restrictions on practice participation and reactivate them anytime thereafter. I do not see the problem as long as teams stay under the cap.

Eventually it will come out. How many PDBs nailed the threat early on in Dec/Jan but were missed or ignored by our not so Great Leader who doesn't read or believe what's in them when it does not personally suit him? We are paying big for that now. We are worldwide pandemic losers.

Plays to be made on both sides of the ball. JB's messed up footwork at the sideline, Duke not securing the difficult catch in the end zone, missed block on JA's OT QB sweep (he might have scored) bogus PF on Cody, LB's dropped too deep on a 3rd and 17 in OT, two missed tackles on Watson's OT game deciding play. These were all big failures not on the coaching imo and I probably missed some others.

Maybe physics helped. Big forces at 180 degrees kept him on balance enough to launch.

Scramble runs vs Broncos and Bengals where he broke tackles and forced unblocked defenders to miss were very impressive. Beat multiple defenders. Because he can make plays like those means he will sometimes react his way into bad sacks.

So funny. That's one confirmed area where Josh lacks generational talent. My kids are 10 and 9 and even they laugh when they see it.

I agree with what you posted. Imo, Josh's accuracy problem(s) is/are overstated by many who still cling to their predraft evaluations of him. It's the go to explanation for lazy analysts for every errant throw he makes to the point where it becomes irritatingly tired. See the thread about Cian Fahey's video of Josh's "bad" throws where over half were tipped balls or his arm being hit mid throw. He completed 62.1% in the 8 road games and only 54.9% at home. Why is that? The Ravens, Pats and the very windy Eagles game are my first thoughts. He generally attempts tougher throws than most, often while on the move outside the pocket and was in a "go route" slump for most of the year until he began hitting some starting with the Broncos game. He plays home games in a place where passers and kickers often face extra challenges related to the weather. His power arm results in more drops just because the pass catcher has less time to adjust and the ball is tougher to secure. It probably hurts more to catch. His scramble runs can be a more productive choice than a checkdown pass attempt as long as he protects himself and the ball. Yes, he should acknowledge his deficiencies both physical and mental processing, fine tune and tweak, and become the best version of Josh Allen/Buffalo Bills QB he can be. His completion % will go up but only part of that will be due to improved accuracy.

Came in cold off the street and with a week of practice and with the first team offense on the field with him, the offense played well. I remember telling my brother that the pass catchers look much better catching his throws. It's likely a side benefit of lacking arm strength. He anticipates more because he has to, receivers adjust to the ball better because they have more time to do it and they hang on to it easier because his throws lack the power of Josh's throws. That is the first and only time we have seen him with the first team offense and a full week to prepare with a game plan.

The feelings about Barkley are pretty skewed by the 4th quarter vs. the Pats and the week 17 game vs. the Jets. As with Frank Reich, he could very well look much better with a full week of prep and the best of the rest of the offensive roster on the field with him. That's the best scenario we could hope for should he be the #2 and have to play for a few games.

Garbage in garbage out. Incomplete consideration of the inputs means that the outputs are questionable.

Actually, from what I recall, Dak had a pretty high drop% as well. It is the result of accuracy in part. But, does the "and more" include any weather adjustment? Dak played 10 games in a climate controlled venue, 8 at home, NO and Detroit. Josh played 1, in Dallas. Does the "and more" adjust for batted balls and spikes/throwaways? Maybe. It would be logical to do so. Probability = 0 for those would make sense. How about tipped passes? Those are tough to identify.

Show me anywhere drops are mentioned. No sign that it was even tracked.

It does not say that drops are factored in. They do not even list drop% among the WR/TE stats.

Well receiver separation and defender separation are accounted for. Receiver not making the catch is not, maybe. Nor is if the throw is made from a stationary position or while on the move, maybe. These could be covered under the "and more" factors in completion probability.

Supposedly protection and separation are accounted for in the XCOMP%. Some factors not accounted for would be drops, tipped passes and the weather, mostly wind effects. At least it is not stated that they are but maybe they are under the "and more" designation. Also, totally out of the mix is the decision made about where the ball went. So, there is a hodgepodge of factors that would effect both the comp% and the XCOMP%, including the accuracy of the throw. Completion Probability The probability of a pass completion, based on numerous factors such as receiver separation from the nearest defender, where the receiver is on the field, the separation the passer had at time of throw from the nearest pass rusher, and more. Expected Completion Percentage (xCOMP) Using a passer’s Completion Probability on every play, determine what a passer’s completion percentage is expected to be.

If you have a RB that is used as the lead guy, "eggs in one basket" threat then this is what happens. They appear to be a major part of the offense, especially if they are an elite in the passing game too, and will want to be paid accordingly. The thing is they are probably correct, they should be paid like they are valuable but the NFL "futures" value of any RB has gotten to be much riskier for return on investment.

I'd guess that he must have some reason to think Cam is now healthy.

His list is not a career projection. It's "If I am an NFL head coach and my job is on the line in 2020, how confident does this QB make me feel about winning enough games to keep my job. Thus, Tua's injury status is a HUGE part of this ranking and it's why other rookies are placed higher. The fact Stidham enters year two in the same offense and did well in the preseason last year gets him bumped up in the rankings over a guy who suffered a hip dislocation and fracture 7 months ago. So, I do not think this in and of itself makes Chris Simms stupid.

I'd like to know how they defined what a checkdown is. I know what I think it is but it's maybe not the same for them. Throwing short of the sticks on certain routes has no chance to make a first down. If there is a likelihood that there will be a 4th down attempt then a checkdown that improves the 4th down chances makes sense but then it may no longer be considered a checkdown. Imo, it should be a pass that whether its completed or not, has no chance to make a first down. It's really frustrating when it is thrown to a stationery target well short of the sticks. Virtually no chance to make a tackler miss. It's an easy completion though and will boost completion %. I think he is approaching 3rd and long situations with the right mindset.

Rivers 17, Brees 16, Brady 15. It appears he does a PFT version and then a different one for his Unbuttoned podcast. He does impersonations of his dad which are pretty funny. He favors strong armed, playmaking QBs but thinks QBs get too much credit and QBs in the 20s could win the Super Bowl. Called the 2015 version of Peyton Manning the worst to ever win one (or maybe that 2015 Manning was the worst starting QB of that year.)