JESSEFEFFER

I thought he looked ok in the FST video. This is solid news for him.

Three worst home games were probably Pats, Eagles and Ravens, only the latter two would have logically been wind affected and all three are pretty good/great defenses. The Bills defense had a comp% against of 59 at home and 66 on the road. The same 7% differential that Josh had for whatever reason(s.) I think all the QBs who play the majority of their games outside will have lower completion % than their Brees, Ryan, Stafford, Watson, Cousins, Wilson, etc. counterparts. Unless the city is like Miami, LA/LV or San Diego.

His completion % will never be near the top. Drops (his passes are inherently tougher to catch) depth of target/lack of checkdown throws, escapablity (extended plays resulting in tougher throws on the move or throwaways) and FOR CRYING OUT LOUD HE DOESN"T PLAY HOME GAMES IN A DOME! Rich/Ralph/New Era/? may be one of the worst outdoor venues to support a passing offense in the entire league. Eagles, Broncos and Ravens games had 20+ mph winds. The Eagles game had gusts over 40 mph and one flame ejecting prop blew over during the pregame. They had them anchored with sandbags the rest of the home games. If you believe that a QB is largely what his stats say he is, then tell me what you make of his road/home split stats for 2019 because it mirrors the Jekyll and Hyde story. The stats say he was a champ on the road, Cam Newton 2015 MVP type numbers. At home he was a chump say the stats. G W L T Cmp Att Inc Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Sk Yds Y/A AY/A A/G Y/G Att Yds Y/A TD A/G Y/G 2PM TD Pts Fmb FL FF FR Yds TD Home 8 4 4 0 117 213 96 54.93 1263 9 5 76.9 20 121 5.93 5.72 26.6 157.9 45 226 5.02 2 5.6 28.3 1 2 14 10 2 0 3 0 0 Road 8 6 2 0 154 248 94 62.1 1826 11 4 92.6 18 116 7.36 7.52 31 228.3 64 284 4.44 7 8 35.5 7 42 4 2 0 1 -1 0 I'd take 12 and 4 with 36 total TDs, 62% completions, 3652 passing yards, a 7.5 AY/A, 568 rushing yards with 8 ints and 2 fumbles lost.

I would add that he had a cycle of success/screwup/success.......... that earned him another look. Red Lion/St. Joe's/Clemson/EMCC-Ol' Miss/Denver/Indy(?) He had some real nice runs against SEC defenses (a TD against Georgia comes to mind) so he can scoot. Without a combine or Pro Day numbers his athletic testing is off the grid but it would have been pretty high for a QB, imo. He was throwing over 70 yards as a 15 year old. The QB situation in Indy will be tough for him with Eason picked in the 4th and without preseason games to show well in. Camp observers did not think he was beating out Lynch or Walker in the practices but on the field in actual game conditions he played very well.

Joe made 2020 season superlative projections in his podcast today. For the "Under the Radar" problem/possible improvement he picked the Bills poor tackling in 2018 and 2019 which is an interesting topic. While the defense has been near the top in fewest points per drive (ppd) they are also #3 in missed tackles in 2019 and they actually had more in 2018. Normally, good defense correlates with good tackling. So there is something different about how the Bills play defense in that regard. The numbers he cited were 132 missed for the Bills @ #2 and and only 66 for the Pats at #1 in ppd. The only team in the top 10 of ppd but top 16 in missed tackles were the Titans at 10th/13th. He cites average as around 110. Some thoughts without really having any data to back it up it might be that: -Good hustling, rally to the ball defenders cover for missed tackles to thereby mitigate the damage. -Missed tackles by the front 7 are covered up by a good tackling secondary. A poor tackling secondary would have to lead to more points, right? -Milano and Edmunds are undersized and/or young and many are missed due to poor pursuit angles that allow runners to rip through arm tackles. -This has to be a big part of why the RZ defense struggled. So we can add this to reasons why defensive regression is less probable. They were not historically great at sacks or takeaways (which makes regression to mean likely as it was for the 2018 Jags and 2019 Bears) not much turnover in personnel/coaching and now add that missed tackles are hopefully going to go down. Or maybe due to lack of preseason games the Bills might only just get better relative to the rest of the league.

But, but that lateral........now that was a sign. I know that seeing Josh run for 20 yards or so to get to + territory with a minute or so to go, spit that ball in the air and then watch it bound around on the turf was the closest I have come to cardiac arrest. Good thing it lasted all of 2 seconds or so. If I had died I'd consider it a definite sign of Josh having plateaued. On a serious note, watch Knox on that play. He hangs near the boundary and lags behind without attempting to get ahead to make a block. It looks to me like that pitch was a poorly executed but planned, likely practiced play. Josh put it where he thought Dawson was but Knox had closed much closer while Josh was being tackled. Even Josh's pitches are over thrown. Hah! Just my hot take.

The defenses they played were not overall weak. The offenses were more so.

Which draft was subpar? The 2020 draft where they traded their #1 to acquire Diggs and the rest of their picks got mostly positive grades? The roster and front office are graded highly but their drafting is below average? Josh's 2019 was a mirage due to QBR? We all watched every play last year and I think the majority of us know what kind of year he had and are expecting/hopeful that he will show more progress in 2020. 400+ points or bust. Maybe the playoff game left a negative impression but I saw a bunch of their roster miss plays that game and generally think that's a good thing for 2020. They can all own a part of that loss.

There are many outside observers whose knee jerk, go to opinion is that the drops the Bills suffered were due to Josh throwing it too hard or having poor ball placement. I do not think we who watched every play of the season would say either of those were a big part of the problem. I tend to give Knox a lot of slack since he was so under targeted as a collegian. When he knows where the defenders are he can make difficult catches. When he does not his concentration lapsed. I think he will get this fixed in year 2. a

Last preseason it seemed all the fringe roster guys looked good, including Cam. It's how they managed to be 4 and 0. They will need many reliable players outside the 53 to navigate this season.

I fear it's going to be Next Man Up this year like it has never been before. These roster bubble guys have to be ready.

This picture is much the point. Josh is ready to launch and the left hand is distant from the torso and the left shoulder is much higher than the the right. If I read the Cover1 story and Jordan Palmer interviews correctly, he should look much different making this type of throw this year. This and Diggs should make a big difference in scoring. 400+ points or bust.

Heard something about a realtor who had copyrighted many Washington nicknames and that it was possibly why a name had not yet been chosen. I say ditch the Washington name and use the initials. "D.C." sounds way cooler and assuming the copyrights were missed all names become available. DC Defenders. DC Redtails. DC Whatevers.

Jim Beoheim's high school alma mater, correct? Fun useless fact: 1982 the Lyons Lions beat the Falconer Golden Falcons in the NYPHSAA Far West Regional basketball game played at St. Bona. I am getting older old. Read it and share what's wrong with the info. Please enlighten us.

For those with an interest in history and its preservation, if not don't bother: Buffalo Bill's 1878 billboard Just read his Wikipedia biography. Very interesting life. This seems to be on point. Philosophy[edit] As a frontier scout, Cody respected Native Americans and supported their civil rights. He employed many Native Americans, as he thought his show offered them good pay with a chance to improve their lives. He described them as "the former foe, present friend, the American" and once said that "every Indian outbreak that I have ever known has resulted from broken promises and broken treaties by the government."[24] Cody supported the rights of women.[24] He said, "What we want to do is give women even more liberty than they have. Let them do any kind of work they see fit, and if they do it as well as men, give them the same pay."[73] In his shows, the Indians were usually depicted attacking stagecoaches and wagon trains and were driven off by cowboys and soldiers. Many family members traveled with the men, and Cody encouraged the wives and children of his Native American performers to set up camp—as they would in their homelands—as part of the show. He wanted the paying public to see the human side of the "fierce warriors" and see that they had families like any others and had their own distinct cultures.[24] Cody was known as a conservationist who spoke out against hide-hunting and advocated the establishment of a hunting season.

This seems ok. i suppose that it is looking at skill positions other than QB. The scope is for 2020 only, weighted toward WRs and front line talent (rather than backup depth.) He says that every player considered is not necessarily mentioned and he does not mention Moss. Also, he does not mention one very important weapon for the Bills and that is Josh Allen as a runner. Most teams do not have a QB run call as a weaponized option and I think it should be considered. Even so, I think 8 is fair. I understand the "no excuses" mantra but I would like to see what it looks like on the field before stating something like that. I am not one to blame Daboll much as he has dealt with limitations well and has tried to take the offense forward while doing enough to win. That's a tough balancing act. Time to take the training wheels off.

Jim Kelly had his own special method to reduce the pregame jitters. I like Josh's more.

Maybe it was sarcasm? Anyways, Booger called Cody Ford out on the bump of blindside block for being "selfish." Someone on another Bills related forum defended that call as proper. I'd say it was not "forcible," it was not a "decleting" hit as the all the plays in the league video demonstrated, the defender saw it coming and had his arms up and took only two steps backward after contact. There was no threat of injury on that block. I've seen legal screens in basketball that were more forcible.

That was so strange. Why take the bunny hop there? Uhg! It's kind of a good thing that so many players on the team can look in the mirror, point their finger and say uhg! about some of the plays they did not make in the game.

IMO, the IR designated to return needs to change to accommodate maintaining the quality of game day rosters. "....the NFL changed the IR with return designation so that you no longer have to designate the player who will get the designation at the time they are placed on the list. Now, teams can bring back any two players they've placed on IR at any time after the eight week mandate to be on the list has been met. Previously, if a team wanted to use the one return designation spot, they had to declare it when the player was placed on IR. Now, they can just see who is getting healthy quickly, and take them off IR after they’ve been on the list for eight weeks (or more). One constraint here is that a player must be on the 53-man roster in Week 1 to be eligible for the IR designation to return. That means, anyone who was placed on IR before roster cuts were made to trim the roster down to 53 players is not eligible." A positive test that runs the course through quarantine and an actual illness would last 4 weeks minimum? Ready to play again in 6 weeks maybe? Let's say this applies to 6 players over the course of 4 months. They should be IR'd and they should be eligible to return to the active roster when ready without restriction. Teams should not have to worry about designating only two for return to the roster on top of players who suffer a more typical physical injury. Reduce the time limit to 6 weeks and allow more than two to return.

Interesting. I should go back and find it. There are nice benefits to taking these shots even when you are struggling to connect on them. The plays are there to make and when they start hitting on them the offense will look much different. 400+ points.

Joe Marino had him ar #3 in the 2018 draft. The Bills were lucky he fell to a spot where they could trade up and get him.

It is a difficult thing to track a ball over one's shoulder while running full speed. For much of its flight the ball can be seen with only one eye. Most of us have a dominant eye as it is. Cole had one hit him in the helmet vs. the Jets and go through his hands vs. the Ravens and I think he has trouble seeing it so he can't really adjust to it. I haven't seen much of the video about Diggs but I suspect he might be elite at seeing it and adjusting to it. Probably far better at it than anyone running with him (the old mantra about DBs that if they could catch they would be WRs.) Once Josh and Stefon get to work, it may become obvious that all Josh has to is put it close, let Diggs track and adjust to it and make the DB look clueless. All of a sudden Josh is a more accurate thrower. PS I think John Brown is very good at it too and Foster seems shaky at it.

AND the one to JB vs. the Broncos and the one to Knox vs. Pats. He was definitely in a slump but showed signs of coming out of it late in the year. My theory is that it was a toxic brew of being conscious of not under throwing it for an int, battling with swirling wind conditions in home games and having too much variation in how he can get a ball 60+ yards down the field. For many their only choice is optimum angle and max velocity but for Josh there is a range of angles and launch velocities that he can use. I do not recall seeing/hearing about this problem at Wyoming, his rookie NFL year or during 2019 training camp reports. So I hope it was just a slump. I did have a suggestion for them. That technology used in the MLB and PGA coverage to track balls in flight would be great to have in a football practice. Give all their QBs immediate feedback on launch angles and velocities vs. time of flight and the ground the receiver covers. Find the variance and self calibrate.

He did that type of breakdown when he made the TT comp. He also said he was likely to be better than him.