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JESSEFEFFER

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Everything posted by JESSEFEFFER

  1. I would take the same circumstances and say that the Bills have their difference makers and are in the midst of extending them into second contracts. Now is the time to flood the roster with younger, cheaper talent on their rookie deals. I think this draft is more about its effect on the 2022 and 2023 team than the 2021 team. Just because Beane has not used this draft move in previous years, there may a shift in focus from trading up for blue chip talent to trading down at the top of the draft and trading up from the bottom of the draft to get more of their picks from the top 100 or 150 to refortify the roster every year. This may become part of their envisioned process to sustain success.
  2. I was suggesting getting 4 in the top 100 and another in the 110 to 140 range via a trade down and some of the lower picks. That doesn't match your statement.
  3. Joe Marino's Locked on Bills Podcast is the best resource for all things Bills at all times of the year and the ramp up to the draft is where he really shines. He has been able to show that his draft evaluations of the Bills picks have often lined up with where the Bills actually took them.
  4. One bias that tends to exist in the mock drafts done in the TBD bubble is our members tend to take players that we have collectively liked/hoped for the Bills to draft. One or more of the edge defenders or CBs off the board in this mock is likely to still be there at 30 when the real thing goes down, imo.
  5. Maybe another pick in the top 100 and a chance to fill in the 93 to 161 gap that lacking a 4th round pick creates. I can't see the Bills war room sitting on their collective butts and 67 players are taken while they watch without a chance to snag one of the guys they targeted.
  6. Elijah Moore, slot candidate to replace Beasley when the time comes and a better version of a gadget guy / KR than McKenzie, maybe. They better have a better plan for KR than just Isaiah. Honestly, this draft board screams trade down, imo.
  7. Players who are hurt/injured are in a tough spot. It's a risk to their careers to not be on the field at every chance and it's a risk to their careers to play poorly when they are out there. Get back on the field too soom and struggle and the entire NFL world will see it. I remember Andre Reed playing out his contract hoping for one last payday (probably for a Florida team) and he got a severe hamstring injury, missed some games and played poorly when he came back. He ended up re-signing with the Bills on a cheaper deal. From the linked story, it sounds like the play that injured him was a horse collar tackle. Andre Reed Injury
  8. He was upset when a false positive caused him to miss a practice last August. I can't imagine he'd risk losing a actual game to COVID.
  9. Moss was better as a pass catcher and blocker. That alone means he gets more snaps, imo. He also got the Gore role of short yardage/goal line and closing games out. The Bills seemed much more successful throwing the ball out of heavy formations than running but I like the tandem and whatever role Breida carves out is ok with me. Both averaged over 4 ypc and much like the reported death of Mark Twain, I think Moss and Singletary's shortcomings have been greatly exaggerated. That is my big takeaway from Erik's breakdown. I loved those clips of Moss stepping into the gap, sticking the blitzer and anchoring. One moment I fear is a RB cutting an oncoming blitzer who then tumbles into Josh's plant leg with his full weight upon it. Yikes!
  10. The only solid opinion I have about Jimmy Garoppolo is that his female doppelganger is QB1.
  11. Chris Simms put him in his top 5. He does not understand why there is not more talk about him but said there were other people in the scouting world that liked him too. So, where is he available? Maybe he's a similar draft value to Gabriel Davis. I like the idea of a trade down that gets them 5 in the first three rounds. It's easier to get good prospects at WR, CB, DE, OT and S or IDL that can make the roster and contribute over the next 4 years after Josh gets his megadeal. Chris Simms' Top 6 2021 Draft WRs
  12. To expand somewhat on this, he has the Bills roster at 6, behind TB, Cle. GB, Dal and Sea. I think he has the Bills too low at RB, OL, DL but these do match much of the consensus thinking about the Bills predraft needs. Cle at #2 is original but I am way too tired of the constant love for all things Cowboys.
  13. He does call it crazy early which makes it self aware but still interesting. I made a post last year about his predraft unit grades which I thought was interesting as well. His assessment was comprehensive, meaningful in terms of draft needs and obviously wrong in terms of the state of the 2020 Bills roster. He had them at ~23 and was way too down on Josh. This does have a Fantasy Football intent as that is his niche as a writer but I think the strength of roster units, version March of 2021, that his strength of schedules are based upon, is the more discussion worthy content. Here is his tweet about the remaining free agents combined with his strength of team units. Mike Clays RFAs and Strength of Team Rosters
  14. When OJ hit 2000, that was Rick on the play by play call and not Van Miller. I am unclear as to why but it's one of his biggest moments in Buffalo sports history.
  15. The Bills lack a physically dominant WR like Evans or Metcalfe. I think that the Bills tendency to use multiple TE sets near the goal line is their answer to that. At all the other parts of the field they are tough to defend and may be the "best."
  16. The gamelog has it as 2nd and 10 at the 20. The highlight shows the first down marker as just shy of the 10. So, the ball was technically not "in" the RZ but who knows what counts as official by NFL standards. I always thought that the RZ was "inside" the 20, cross the 20 and the play by play announcer would say the Bills have entered the "Whoever has paid us" RZ (for ex. Murphy would say Hunt Real Estate?) But it's a classic example of splitting hairs, I suppose. The Chiefs website video claims it was but the overly analytical, too technical, chem nerd part of me wants to take issue with it. Josh intercepted in AFC Championship game. Sorry, you were on top of this before I posted. I agree, not "in" the RZ.
  17. In 2017 he had 21 punt returns, 3 KO returns and 3 passes caught. Those possessions accounted for 6 fumbles. I think they might have all been on the punt returns.
  18. His body of work as a returner (punts mostly) was horrible as a Bronco and it probably got him released. The Bills have not let him do enough returns to make me confident in having him take over as their primary guy.
  19. Warner took some issue to the throw Josh made without resetting his feet. Josh does it often and makes nice throws that way. The release is quicker (no readjustment of his feet) and the open stance, sidearm delivery puts the ball around the oncoming pass rusher with little chance for them to bat the ball. It's the kind of throw a 2nd baseman often makes to start a double play. The quicker release, arm whip throw can still be made accurately. I think that nasty throw Josh made to John Brown at the goal line vs. the LV Raiders (should have been ruled a TD) was made that way. John Brown was running to the sideline and out of time and the throw had to get there quick.
  20. I took it that he heard the stories of others who lost everything of importance in their life to their disease and that it could have soon been his story as well. Not despicable, nor is it saying that he is "above" them. They gave him insight on where his life was headed if he did not face his alcoholism and it has helped him get one year of sobriety. He offered to talk to others about if they wanted.
  21. I'd add a play from Josh's first NFL start. Melvin Ingram attempted to sack Josh but Josh decided to turn it into a rodeo event and took about 10 steps with Ingram wrapped around his waist. So, it was sort of like when he trucked Van Noy but fumbled it at the end (which did not count.) This one ended with an interception which did count but I thought to myself that I'd never seen a QB do that to a DE before. Ingram can't complete the sack.
  22. Given the cities he has played in, the coaches and offensive systems to which he has been exposed, the general good will he has throughout the league and with the NFL media, his sense of humor, strong personality, well developed communication skills and Tony Romo making $17+ million annually, Fitz should really consider seeking a color analyst role. I think he'd kill it.
  23. Brady falling backwards before being hit. Classic duck then chuck.
  24. Why can they challenge? If they returned for a TD could Tampa Bay Challenge?
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