Thurman#1

More, let's look at value. Here are the individual picks. You can see that the Chiefs invested significantly larger values. Chiefs 28, 54, 55, 133, 181 Bills 33, 148, 150, 203, 240 and two more in 2020, 128 (Gabe Davis), 207 (Isaiah Hodgins). The Chiefs didn't draft any that year. So the highest values relate like this. The highest pick for the Chiefs was #28 (Xavier Worthy) and for the Bills #33 (Keon Coleman) The second highest values are the Chiefs at 54 (Skyy Moore) and the Bills at #148 (Khalil Shakir) Third highest? Chiefs at #55 (Rashee Rice) and Bills at 150 Fourth? Chiefs at #133 and Bills at #203 Fifth? Chiefs at #181 and Bills at #240 In every one of those, the Chiefs invested more, and in many they invested a lot more.

We stress it's a 2nd because it's a 2nd. If it were a 1st, we'd call it a 1st. "We ain't talking long division," as Roy McAvoy said. And we don't need to imply that we "invested 'less'". We actually did invest less. No quotation marks needed. Instead of giving up the 28th pick (not the 31st), we were able to get him by giving up only the 33rd. They traded back twice, 28th to 32nd and then 32nd to 33rd. The 33rd pick is factually worth less than the 28th pick. And not one pick less. Five picks less. Allowing us to pick up Sedrick Van Pran Granger and move up two later picks to better ones (133 to 95 and 248 to 221). The main reason they traded back from 28th to 33rd was simply that they were virtually sure that Keon would still be there early in the 2nd when the pick they acquired came up.

Exactly and precisely this. Luck is a factor. But with precision and consistency over time like this, other factors are larger. Never worse than 4th in the league at takeaways five years in a row? Luck isn't a major factor. There's something in our - dare I say it? - our process.

Yeah, every team is committed to it. But things like the amount of practice time dedicated to drills on Peanut Punches, targeting the ball on tackles, confusing QBs on defense can vary wildly. Not to mention stressing (or not) throwing the ball away under pressure, hitting checkdowns and such on offense.

Um, just as much a remarkable testament to the defense's excellent skills at creating turnovers. Just sayin'. I mean, this defense has been amazingly consistent at producing turnovers at a high rate. Here's how the D has ranked at takeaways: 2024 1st 2023 3rd 2022 4th 2021 3rd 2020 3rd 2019 10th 2018 8th 2017 9th 2016 23rd 2015 12th I mean, there's a correlation there, when you look at head coach. Correlation and improvement.

Partly because he's also made some good catches. And partly because it's simply not as black and white as you're painting it. It's not "constantly." And some of those aren't real drops, they're either tough catches or contested. He has zero official drops this year. Check Pro Football Reference. Not that he doesn't need to keep working on it. He does.

IMO they already love the 1-3 formations they're running and are going to love them even more. Running those with three guys who can all block and run routes is going to leave defenses scrambling. It allows them to have eight blockers on some plays, and to force teams to defend them all with guys who can guard the pass also. These guys allow the Bills to be both really tough and really unpredictable. My guess is Knox is here till his contract ends, and maybe signs some kind of extension.

He is a good blocker, Kincaid. He's gotten quite a bit better since last year. Must've worked on it during the offseason.

They've always been good even in the postseason, against everyone except the Chiefs. I guess you could argue the Bengals that one time too but the whole team was emotionally shot. Nobody played well that game. It's the Chiefs. And mostly nobody else stopped them either, which is why they have Lombardis. The Bills need a pass rush. That was what was missing, except for early in Von's first year. So far, Bosa looks good and there are promising signs of one from the rookies and from Hoecht.

Didn't see this till now. "On the hot seat"? It would just be a dumb take. Way way way too early, not just after the Jets game but after the Ravens. It was week one. Could it eventually happen if the defense plays badly over a long period of time? Yeah, absolutely. But it's nowhere near that point now.

Nobody's asking for him to change his style. Or to eliminate all straight-arms. But yeah, when they get to you in the backfield, and it's a DL that's on you, that's not the time for him to be straight-arming. It just isn't. I'm very very sure they will coach him up on that. But it should never have happened. IMO this is partly a result of the fawning he hears when he gets a highlight play from a straight-arm. Heh heh. This. It's not nothing. It's a bad play, a mental mistake. A bad play that probably cost his team the game. Elite players make them too. And then do their best to iron out the problem. Can you point out where I used the word arrogance? I did chuckle at RochesterLifer's joke there. But I wasn't trying to imply arrogance so much as a bit of wanting to see himself on "Angry Runs" again this week, maybe allowing his excitement about the great feedback he usually gets about that tactic to twist his sense of when it's good to use it. And I would argue that "it" doesn't almost always work, if "it" refers to using the straight-arm in the backfield when already in the grip of a DL who's larger than him. I'm sure his coaches won't be telling him never to use the straight-arm again. But almost surely they've already told him there are times when it's just a bad idea, and he's got to better figure out when those times are. Still a terrific runner, though.

I was watching the game again and noticed something on Henry's fumble. He's been getting so much positive feedback on all those straightarms that he used it when he shouldn't have. Those appear on the highlights all season long, and you can bet he knows that, and gets all kinds of hero worship for them. As he should, really, but sometimes there are consequences. Oliver is headed right towards him in the backfield. Henry puts the ball in his left hand and immediately goes for the straight-arm with his right hand. That was a mistake. Oliver's right arm is free. He's got an OL leaning on his left side, but his right hand, the one closest to Henry's ball hand, it's free. Henry's play there is to wrap his right hand around the ball and cover with two hands. He didn't, and Ed made him pay. He should be coached when NOT to use the straight-arm. That was not the time, it was a time to be careful. They should also coach him that the guys he successfully straight-arms are mostly safeties, CBs and an occasional LB. Guys smaller than Henry himself. Oliver may be small for a DT, but he's bigger and stronger than Henry.

Still better than QBR.

They do, actually. Tied for 9th in '24 with 50%. Tied for 10th in '23 with 75%. Tied for 9th in '22 with 66.66% 16th in '21, but that was with a 57.14% rate. You have to go back to '20 to find a season where we were under 50%. That year we were at 0%. I wonder how many we tried. We didn't even try any at home that year. Tied for 1st in '19 with a 100% completion percentage. Tied for 20th in '18 with 33.33%. But since Josh became Josh we've been quite successful with them. https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/two-point-conversion-pct?date=2019-02-04

Yeah, I remember when Kordell threw 46 passes the way Josh did against the Ravens. It was 12/13/97. 48 attempts Once in his whole career he threw that much. That's a ridiculous connection to make. People have been begging ... pleading ... for the Bills to run more to take the pressure off of Allen. They do it, become the #1 offense and make the AFC championship, and now people are complaining they don't throw enough. Jeez. You can't win.