SageAgainstTheMachine

Not to mention 6 more division games of which we've gone 11-1 since 2020.

Singletary ended up with 1,100 yards from scrimmage, 8 TDs and 4.6 YPC. That's a damn good season on a team that mostly passes the ball.

Yep. Win some, lose some. I didn't think the Jets would look THAT pathetic after almost taking it to the Bucs last week.

He looked pretty hobbled after his reception in the 4th quarter. Ankle injuries are one of those things you play through in the moment with adrenaline but later find out you can barely get your shoe off.

We've outgained them 414-53.

How many deep balls have we hit this entire season?

Trust Bass! Dude is a stud.

Heh yeah, I realized that and edited. Definitely taking the over.

On Caesar's - Max $100 bet on rookies Lawrence, Wilson and Jones to each have 2 or more passing TDs. At +3300. I'm also betting confidently on the Jets +16.5 line and the Over on our game at 40.5. Both are likely and it's also a nice hedge because it would be relatively hard for the combined score to be less than 41 with the Jets losing by 17.

Exactly. Same as in poker, you make sure your bankroll is an amount of money that doesn't hurt your personal finances if you lose it all. Entertainment expense with a solid chance of profit.

So here's the fascinating Nash Equilibrium element to this. Let's assume for a second that the Colts and Ravens lose AND that the front offices of the Raiders and Chargers have a clandestine conversation where they decide to tie but make it look good so that the NFL competition committee can't reasonably stick them with any punishment. In this scenario both teams would still have the power to break the agreed upon game script, betray the other one late in the game, and deny them the playoffs. Knowing that the other team could betray you would lead you to wanting to get the drop on them and be the betrayer yourself. According to Nash, if the teams could play out infinite iterations of this scenario they would eventually learn to honor their agreement every time as it's the most mutually beneficial to every person involved. But given just one iteration neither team would trust the other to play cooperatively and it would turn back into a competition.

Beane would do well not to trade for players who touched the ball 400 times in a season then immediately started breaking down.

True and Belichick's regular season achilles heel has always been traveling to Miami for some reason.

I'm saying this as someone who's usually excited about developments in analytics...this is awesome and I get a kick out of the ultimate team player and instinct player being genuinely unaware of the eggheads trying to boil the game down to 1 vs 1 matchups.

I think it would be a pretty big one. Miami just had the ultimate letdown after a big build up and the Pats have a lot to play for. Not saying it can't happen but this is more of an 80/20 matchup than a 60/40 one in my opinion.

I'll get used to it but given what I'm used to I just feel like we went 10-6 this year.

Rule #1 of being a GM in a salary cap league is don't spend capital on productivity that you already have in reserve. Beane is a smart guy and knows that Gabe Davis on his rookie deal will be a 1,000 yard receiver next year.

Great topic. Personally, for me anyway, I'd like it if the Bills won the Super Bowl. There, I said it.

100% nailed it.

Edifying to hear him say that he thinks Josh' leadership has not only grown this season, but specifically in the second half. I wonder if there was something of a "Come to Jesus" moment in the Bills locker room after the bad Colts loss.

"Build a perfectly spherical frictionless stadium inside a vacuum."

Easily explained - week 18 is an abomination.

Much like in baseball where you'll start seeing a bunch of 400 home run hitters denied Cooperstown because we now realize you can be a power hitter and average at everything else, I think Matt Ryan will be the first QB with what used to be considered epic volume stats not make Canton. Really really good career, a career to be proud of, but he doesn't pass the sniff test despite the stats.

Fair enough, but which AFC team has played a clean season without a weird upset loss or two? Someone from this conference is making the SB and they all have head scratchers this year.

Support as in spending actual money and time? No. Support as in saying "Oh, cool" if it happens? No.