SageAgainstTheMachine

So we're now 4 games ahead over the course of 15 games and the Fins have a negative point differential for the season. Is the division still a toss up for years to come?

The track record of RBs who touch the ball as many times as he has this season is really bad. He will very likely get injured next season. There's earnestly nothing wrong with our current RB room. The offense just flows through our all world QB.

Definitely not what I was saying! Just tough.

This throws it into sharp relief just how hard it is to win the big one. Let's assume the following win probabilities... Bengals: 60% Patriots: 85% Divisional round opponent: 75% Championship round opponent: 60% SB opponent: 50% Winning all five = 11.4% Of course there's also the path where we lose one of the regular season games and have to win 4 straight playoff games, probably only one at home, yielding roughly the same chances. So you add those together to get about a 20% chance. And I'm really not pessimistic about this! A bunch of the other playoff teams have like a 3-5% chance. It's just hard.

The official scorer makes a judgment call on whether the QB was intending to run or pass.

I don’t know man. They went to the SB last year and are on a 7 game win streak right now . Trying to rank the Bills, Bengals and Chiefs is really hard.

Colts in 20-21 playoffs.

Ever since I can remember, I always wanted to be a gangster.

I couldn’t tell you how it figures into the NFL’s decision making but it’s a practical roadblock in my opinion. Types of games like Titans/Texans and Browns/Saints today will become even more the norm.

Coincidentally a +1 point differential is what the Dolphins have for the season. Ours is +157. The teams aren’t close, although of course they can beat us “any given Sunday”.

I'm always curious about what people mean by a complete game. A game with no mistakes? Well that happens once in a blue moon. Cincy is tough but not some historic juggernaut. Maybe we'll turn the ball over to them and then they'll cough it up right back. You just need more points at the end of 60 minutes.

Well you don't cough up the ball 18 times and win MVP most of the time. Whether or not it's fair that's a disqualifier. But for my money we're a 12-3 team with Josh and something like a 7-8 team without him so I don't really care about the awards.

I don’t agree with this characterization. The three close losses to the Jets, Dolphins and Vikings are completely balanced by the tight wins against the Lions, Ravens and Chiefs. The way small sample variance goes we could be anywhere between 9-6 and 15-0, so 12-3 represents the team’s accomplishments well.

Ultimately the division was a laugher. The other three teams have been hemorrhaging losses.

If they possess the ball long enough to run 50 plays.

Stop it, he wants to win.

No Milano?

First, thank you. Second, no. I think it's perfectly fine to have a winter sport where winter weather plays a big part. It's a great thing. But when you start hearing things like a pressure system similar to a category 3 hurricane? I think we need to be better about just shutting things down and doing them on a less dangerous day.

Is it better as time marches on to have more respect or less respect for hazardous travel conditions? Speaking as someone with a loved one who's died from it, your assertion that people used to be tougher and better means less than nothing to me.

There's also just a complete lack of respect for what a disaster snow conditions can be. I'm growing frustrated about these stories about holiday travel that don't explicitly say "Just don't go anywhere or you may die."

Man, the Colts are having one of the weirdest saddest seasons ever.

Do you think this is a gotcha?

It's crazy to me that they think they're going to play this game on schedule.

Give me a break.

This thread isn't really about either thing.