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Alphadawg7

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Everything posted by Alphadawg7

  1. How is Samuel “probably WR1 going into the season” when Keon is WR1 and Kincaid is the preseason favorite to lead the team in targets after finishing 2nd in targets last year? You also still have Shakir who is the only WR with any real experience with Allen.
  2. This is not a fair comparison or projection though. Shakir was 5th in targets last year, how are you going to project his yards out over 17 games and then compare that to “top 2” WR expected production when that is based on being 5th in targets not 2nd in targets? Shakir had 38 targets only over those 10 games, that projects to just 65 targets on 17 games. You know any “top 2” WR is gonna get more than just 65 targets in a season. 2023 Kincaid was 2nd in targets with 91. In 2022 it was Gabe Davis with 93. That’s an average here of 92 targets. If you use that as your target base for a “top 2” weapon, his stats last year project to 1,250 yards. Gabe Davis, as WR2, finished 3rd on the team in targets in 2023 with 81 targets. Even if you project his stats at just 81 targets as the third option it would still be 1,100 yards last year.
  3. Just saw an interesting stat comparison on IG from one of the Bills fan pages… Said last 10 Bills games: Shakir - 462 yards Diggs - 422 yards Shakir - 38 targets Diggs - 80 targets Not that we didn’t already know how inefficient Diggs has been, especially back half of the last 2 seasons and postseasons, but that is just a crazy discrepancy to have less yards on more than double the targets. To be fair, I don’t expect Diggs to be as inefficient all year in Houston as he was his last 10 games here, nor do I expect to see Shakir be as hyper-efficient as last year with a lot more target volume. But I do suspect Shakir will still be more efficient with his targets here than Diggs was the last 2 seasons for us.
  4. LMAO, I don’t know what is dumber…this post or the fact you can’t tell the difference of admitting an oversight and citing why, versus denying a mistake. But given it’s you, no surprise you can’t decipher between the two 🤣 Even funnier is how that is coming from you in the first place with your track record and then tagging Badol who comically believes he’s infallible is the icing on the cake lmao. I do love how I live rent free in your head though as usual 😘
  5. Thanks!!! Yeah, it’s been quite the change, and it’s gonna change even more in October when his brother gets here, but it’s definitely the best thing to ever happen to me as well and they should only help keep me young chasing these guys around lol
  6. It wasn’t wrong. Read the follow along. It was accurate, just Statmuse didn’t specify it filtered for passing touchdowns. And we were not a scoring powerhouse his first 2 seasons, so it wasn’t a crazy stat and the actual stat was only 8 games different. So really not that obvious for a 6 year career where the first 2 he was learning on the job with bad rosters. The amount of energy some of you are putting into an oversight by the AI on a website on such a trivial stat is bizarre.
  7. Wrong, I did not say any such thing.. I started saying "Someone posted these stats"...I am not the source nor did I claim to be. And the answer isn't technically wrong, it was just an incomplete description to specify passing touchdowns which is a flaw in the AI, not the original author. Actually the only person who wrote a wrong answer was you, with 4 as the actual answer is 6 according to NFL official statistics. 14 was technically correct above, just Statmuse lacked the context of labeling it "passing" touchdowns.
  8. It's 6 games. That is the correct answer according the NFL statistics of games he played in and scored 0 total touchdowns. If you got this question in a sports trivia game, the answer would be 6. I checked and verified it. You can "excuse" what ever games you want, I am only telling you what the correct factual answer is and nothing more. And yes, one of those games was the final game of the season where he barely played and the other was his first game as a rookie where he came in at halftime. And for the record, its 14 games with 0 total TD's for Lamar (before "excusing" any games).
  9. Lol...a bit dramatic don't you think. One, do you really expect Jonnu to see "this attention" lol. Two, you really think Jonnu said this hoping to get attention on a message board he doesn't read? lol. Third, how do you not know who Jonnu Smith is? Lol
  10. Its actually 6 (see more below). Ok, I found the discrepancy. The original post I got the stats from the author used Statmuse for their source of the data and the post is both wrong and correct at the same time. The original poster said "0 Touchdowns", and if you go to www.statmuse.com and type in "How many times did Josh Allen score 0 touchdowns" and "How many times did Lamar Jackson score 0 touchdowns" the answer Statmuse gives you is 14 for Allen, and 23 for Lamar and lists the dates and games with the majority occurring in his first 2 seasons. So the original poster correctly reported the findings that were given...just turns out the AI is making a mistake. For as good as Statmuse is, there is actually a mistake being made here by the AI. Even though it says "touchdowns" which should be all touchdowns by default given there was no specification for either "rushing" or "passing" in the prompt. Statmuse however is still only searching specifically for passing TD's, probably because its falsely identifying QB's only having passing touchdowns without a more specific prompt. If you type in the same prompt with "total touchdowns" instead, it shows Allen as having 6 games with 0 touchdowns. So the original poster of those stats did correctly report the AI findings, but the AI is flawed and associating what should be the broad term of "touchdowns" to be all TD's with only the ones most closely tied to that positions primary category, in this case, throwing the ball. Allen does have 14 games with no "passing" TD's, but in 8 of them he did score at least 1 rushing TD and has 6 total games where he scored 0 TD's. I will go back and make the adjustment to specify passing TD's now that we know where the discrepancy is.
  11. Literally now what I said. Assuming the stat is accurate, I said I would bet those games mostly accrued in his first 2 seasons. If you have an issue with the stat, then either go check yourself or take it up with the person who published these stats that I just simply shared here.
  12. I would bet (haven't actually checked, just a guess) that the majority of those games for Allen were in his first 2 seasons when the roster was weak and he was ascending still.
  13. Lol, this should go well 😂 https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10128067-dolphins-jonnu-smith-buffalo-is-worst-place-you-could-be-wings-aint-even-good
  14. Someone posted these stat comparisons with Allen and Lamar - And its crazy to think Lamar has 2 MVPs to Allens none. Seasons with 4000 passing yards: Allen - 4 Lamar - 0 Seasons with 8+ rushing TD's Allen - 4 Lamar - 0 Games with 300 yards + 50 rush yards Allen - 25 Lamar - 7 Games with 2 or more TD passes Allen - 54 Lamar - 32 Games with 3 or more TD passes Allen - 23 Lamar - 19 Games with 2 or more rush TD's Allen - 9 Lamar - 6 Games with 1 passing + 1 rushing TD Allen - 44 Lamar -23 300 yard passing games Allen - 25 Lamar - 4 AFC Player of the Week Allen - 12 Lamar - 10 Games they scored 0 passing TD's Allen - 14 Lamar - 23 (Balt still won FIFTEEN of those games)
  15. There are guys in who I don't think were really very good, Joe Namath is one for example. He was like the Jim McMahon of his day, who also wasn't all that good of a QB...but Namath got in because of his flash and calling his shot to win the SB. But people deserving are easily: Steve Tasker - Best ST of all time, its crazy he isn't in. Torry Holt - People forget just how good he was, I think the fact he played on the Rams with another dominant WR in Isaac Bruce I think waters down peoples memory of just how good he really was. Jimmy Smith - This guy never gets any love with the all time great WR's, but ask any corner who had to guard him and they will tell you he was one of the toughest players to cover they ever played against, and many will put him number 1 on who gave them the most trouble. Had he not played for the Jags and instead played for the Cowboys or something, he would have already been in. Mike Alstott - Its hard for FB's to get accolades or stats, but he was one of the best FB's to ever play the game. Somewhere between "Easily" should be in and "Honorable Mentions: Hines Ward - He doesn't have the same gaudy stats as guys like Wayne, Holt, etc or guys coming up like Fitzgerald, but he was one of the best all around WR's of his time and maybe the toughest. He is the definition of a borderline guy, but I think he deserves it and he is the kind of WR I would take on me team any day of the week. Honorable Mentions - London Fletcher, Reggie Wayne, Rodney Harrison, Steve Smith, Darren Woodson, Jared Allen
  16. I agree, Mitch would be a surprise, you don't see a lot of good teams mess with the QB room late in the offseason very often unless they are a team that clearly needs a better backup. That is just because it's the position that takes the most time to learn. Between the playbook, lingo, reps with receivers, etc it's just a tall ask to get a new QB up to speed while you are prepping the team for the start of the season. That is even more true for the Bills since the whole offense is learning a new system as well. So for me, I think it's a low probability (although not impossible by any means) that Mitch is cut for those reasons and also given they know him, resigned him, and he and Allen are tight. I think they would have to really want the other QB to make that change just before the season starts.
  17. Honestly, I don’t think there will be any cuts that will be classified as a “surprise” this year. They made all of those already IMHO when they cut down for cap reasons.
  18. I mean their game ended similar to ours, just like 15 yards closer to the endzone. Aiyuk was wide open in the endone but Chris Jones and the DL obliterarted the SF OL right off the snap and were in Purdy's face before he could even look at Aiyuk. Chiefs did same thing to Dawkins when Chris Jones blew him into Allen as he was attempting the throw to Shakir. It helps a LOT when you got guys on your DL that impact games when it comes to beating KC. Instead, we missed a game tying FG and as you put it had no real hope of winning with KC having 2 timeouts and over a minute left even if we had scored the TD to take a 4 point lead. Why...because we don't have a Chris Jones to go get in Mahomes face to seal games. And on 2nd down you take the points if they are there and you can go up 4, so I don't at all fault Allen for attempting that throw. Its not his fault that the OL got blown up on 3rd down too or that Bass missed his FG, or that the defense can't touch Mahomes.
  19. Agree with all of this, very good follow up post and verbatim how I see it as well. This is why I said leading up to the draft if people just took the time to listen to Beane all offseason in all his PC's and Interviews, they would have understood this was what Beane was looking to do. He mentioned so many times about guys with leadership, guys who play with an edge, toughness. While a lot of our moves had to be done for cap reasons and to get the team younger, the rebuild plan was to bring in guys that had more size, toughness, and an edge to their game. Now this doesn't mean every move is going to prove to work out perfectly, but there is a purpose to how Beane drafted and the guys he looked at in FA. And now we will be going into next offseason with cap flexibility and armed with 2 second round picks and 3 fourth round picks for him to continue building towards being a tougher team and better team. Because Von took a pay cut and not a restructure, we can, and almost certainly will, get out of Vons deal next year. So I expect Beane to be aggressive either in acquiring a premiere edge rusher in FA or trade, or using some of that draft capital to try and get one in the draft. We need our own Chris Jones to be able to make the plays when Allen delivers the defense a lead to protect late in playoff games.
  20. People forget this was a strike to the endzone, this isn't a throw he can just throw further as he keeps running, he has the outbounds line coming. If he pulls his arm back and steps up the window would have been closed. Now if you want to say earlier in the sequence he should have stepped up more, well maybe he could have, but there was also no imminent pressure at that exact moment either to force the step up. And Brady is the GOAT, not many people do it as well as the GOAT, in fact, I would argue no one in NFL history moved in the pocket as well as Brady. And I am not even saying he can't improve on it, because obviously he can. But you and others are harping on one play where it wasn't entirely his fault even if you want to include blame on him. I listed many instances like Diggs drop on that same drive, Davis dropping a winning TD against the Jets, the Bills defense blowing the lead Allen gave them TWICE in the final 2 minutes of the 2021 game and then blundering OT away after as well. So point for me is simple...Allen has made a lot of plays to get this team to the next level just to see other players not do their job and fail to help him out. Mahomes on the other hand has a guy like MVS who couldn't catch a cold making huge tough catches and plays in the postseason, guys like Chris Jones taking over games in crunch time, etc etc. Who has done any of that for Allen though?
  21. I mean our RB's had 81 targets last year with the lions share going to Cook. This year our top 3 RBs are Cook, Davis, and Ty...all 3 are very good at catching the ball and our RB's were much more involved under Brady last year, so I expect over the course of a season those total targets are going to be closer to or exceed 100 total targets. With Keon's size, if he is having any success teams are going to need to cheat coverage towards him. And Kincaid just put up the 4th most receptions in NFL history by a rookie TE and 10th most in history in yards despite missing one game and playing only 63% of the snaps. With Diggs gone, teams are not just going to let Kincaid run wild out there, they will also look to give more help on him too. Teams still have to spy Allen too. And if teams start cheating a guy towards Shakir, that only further opens up stuff for guys like Keon and Kincaid too. So for me, I do not agree with the notion that the only person on the team that could be deserving of extra coverage is MVS.
  22. Didn't say any of the above. I said his teammates need to step up in big moments too and cited many examples of it, like Diggs dropping a 70 yard perfect pass...heck, he didn't even drop it, he let it go right through his hands in one of the most pathetic attempts I have seen at making a catch in the NFL. No QB is perfect, all make mistakes, just like Mahomes who again does NOT win a SB if Chris Jones is not on the Chiefs last year who made multiple game saving plays in mulitple games including the SB when Aiyuk was wide open in the endzone but Jones blew through the line and blew up the play. If you think Allen has been the problem, then we aren't watching the same games. Did Allen let Hill run like 60+ yards on a short crossing pass to retake the lead after Allen gave the Bills the lead with under 2 min to go? What about when Allen again hits Davis for yet another go ahead TD leaving only 13 seconds? Did Allen cause the kick to go out of bounds and let KC drive to force OT and then did Allen let KC march down the field for an easy TD in OT to end the game?
  23. I just listed those plays...the first one he didn't miss, Chris Jones blew Dawkins up into Allen who stepped on his foot on the throw. And the next play the DL blew right threw our OL and blew the play up. It is why people emphasize you "win in the trenches" so much, because it is true. Mahomes doesn't win a SB last year if Chris Jones was not on that team who made multiple game saving plays that post season on final drives. So Allen needs the guys around him to do their jobs in these big moments, and not just on offense, on the defensive side too where he has multiple times given our D a lead late just to see them blow it, and sometimes multiple times in the same game like KC in 2021.
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