Alphadawg7

I picked for the Jets...got both their players right for the first round @NewEra hehehe no cornerback...although I didnt trade up to get AVT in this draft.

I agree on Turner going earlier as I have been hearing the same buzz. I actually wouldn’t be surprised if Beane traded up in the second to land him. I’m not convinced he will go first round yet though, but it does seem like he won’t make it out of the second. As far as Leatherwood goes, I still think he’s a good fit for Titans who have a big need at RT. But if Titans pass, it wouldn’t surprise me to see him fall out of the first.

I made an update you can see the notes in my OP above. Took out Pat in the second and movedTurner up as I am hearing a lot about him going earlier too. Also, I’m not sold Pat is on the board when we pick and we have met with Tommy Tremble. So went Turner in second and Tremble in 3rd...still getting a TE and Edge with out 2nd and 3rd picks, but in opposite order now.

My final edition before the draft: 1) Jacksonville Jaguars - TREVOR LAWERENCE (Duh) 2) New York Jets - ZACH WILSON (Duh) 3) San Francisco 49ers - TREY LANCE (I just think the upside and mobility factor here is too much for them to pass up compared to Mac Jones) 4) Atlanta Falcons - JA'MARR CHASE (Pitts is popular mock here, but I dont see it. They just spent a draft pick trading for Hurst last year who played well for them, and I think its a foregone conclusion Julio will be traded for cap reasons...Chase is too good to pass up here to be the heir apparent to Julio). 5) Cincinnati Bengals - KYLE PITTS (Bengals get their young QB an elite weapon that can only help his development) 6) Miami Dolphins - PENEI SEWELL (They need to protect Tua and rebuild that OL, easy pick here) 7) Detroit Lions - JAYLEN WADDLE (Was tempted to go Slater here, but they need weapons for Goff and Waddle is too good to pass up here) 8) Carolina Panthers - RASHAWN SLATER (Jets ruined any shot at Darnolds development with neglecting the OL, with great weapons in place already they look to protect him) 9) Denver Broncos - JUSTIN FIELDS (I am not sold they take a QB here, but Fields falling into their lap will be hard to pass up given Lock didn't take the step they hoped last year) 10) Dallas Cowboys - PATRICK SURTAIN II (Defense is a major issue for Dallas, and I think this is an easy pick for them) 11) New York Giants - DEVONTA SMITH (They need playmakers and speed and Smith fits right into that giving Jones another weapons) 12) Philadelphia Eagles - MICAH PARSONS (One of the worst rosters IMO currently, they could go a lot of ways, but LB is one of the biggest needs and Parsons is the top LB prospect in the draft) 13) Los Angeles Chargers - CHRISTIAN DARRISHAW (They need to bolster the line, and Darrishaw is a great fit for them) 14) Minnesota Vikings - ALIJAH VERA-TUCKER (One of the worst pass blocking teams in the NFL last year, AVT is an ideal fit with plenty of versatility and a day 1 starter) 15) New England Patriots - MAC JONES (Board falls great for Pats and they get the kind of QB well suited for the system they like to run) 16) Arizona Cardinals - JAYCEE HORN (They have a huge hole to fill at DB and Horn is an easy pick here) 17) Las Vegas Raiders - JEREMIAH OWUSO-KORAMOAH (Going earlier here than a lot of people mock, but his coverage ability, especially in a division with KC and Kelce in it, is too much to pass up for Gruden here) 18) Miami Dolphins - KWITY PAYE (Fins look to replace some of the pass rush they lost this season with their second pick grabbing one of the top edge players in the draft) 19) Washington Football Team - JAMIM DAVIS (Ron Rivera looks to get his anchor at LB like he had in Carolina) 20) Chicago Bears - TEVIN JENKINS (When you got a team full of old vet QB's, you better get them some better protection and with the top QB's already off the board, that is exactly what they do) 21) Indianapolis Colts - RASHOD BOTEMAN (With Wentz in town, and a good OL and run game already in place to go with a solid defense, they look to add some better fire power in the passing game) 22) Tennessee Titans - ALEX LETHERWOOD (Titans look to fill the hole on their right side of the line from this offseason) 23) New York Jets - GREG NEWSOME II (If AVT falls here, its a no brainer pick...but since I have AVT going to Minnesota, Jets go for their other obvious need and take one of the top CB in the draft) 24) Pittsburgh Steelers - NAJEE HARRIS (I think Etienne is the top RB in the draft, but Harris seems to be more the type of back the Steelers like and make him the first RB taken) 25) Jacksonville Jaguars - JAELEN PHILLIPS (That DL needs some help, and they look to add one of the best guys on the line in this draft) 26) Cleveland Browns - ASANTE SAMUEL JR (Browns cornerbacks are good but all of them have struggled to stay healthy. Competing with the likes of KC and Buffalo, they can never have too many corners and Samuel is too tempting for them to pass up here). 27) Baltimore Ravens - AZEEZ OJULARI (This guy is an ideal fit for Baltimore, his style of play is just what they look for) 28) New Orleans Saints - CALEB FARLEY (What a steal here for the Saints who badly need another corner opposite Lattimore and health concerns allow them to nab probably the most talented corner in the draft) 29) Green Bay Packers - ELIJAH MOORE (Everyone expected them to take a WR last year, so they finally get someone to make Rodgers happy this year) 30) Buffalo Bills - TRAVIS ETIENNE (Not everyones favorite pick around here, but this guy would be a major asset and weapon and lots of Buzz about our interest in him and I think we stay put and draft him and I personally would be excited for it) 31) Baltimore Ravens - CREED HUMPHREY (Baltimores style of play requires a strong interior line, and I think Humphrey is too good a fit here even though I see some people mocking Humphrey as a second round pick) 32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers - TREVON MOEHRIG (Board falls great here for TB and grab the top safety in the draft) Bills 7 selections: (I do think its quite possible Beane trades up at least once in this draft, and packaging one of our 5ths, or even both, to move back up into the 4th is something I think could very well happen...but I am just doing this with no mocked trades) RD1 - TRAVIS ETIENNE RB, CLEMSON RD2 - PAYTON TURNER, EDGE HOUSTON RD3 - TOMMY TREMBLE, TE NOTRE DAME RD5A - ROBERT ROCHELLE CB, CENTRAL ARKANSAS RD5B- TEDARREL SLAYTON DT, FLORIDA RD6- DEMETRIC FELTON WR, UCLA RD7- AVERY WILLIAMS CB, BOISE STATE UPDATED 2:48 to PST - Removed Pat Freiermuth TE Penn State as our second round pick and moved Payton Turner from our 3rd round selection to second round selection. In his place, have us taking Tommy Tremble instead in the 3rd. So we still get our edge guy, just a round earlier and get our TE a round later. Reason for the change as I don’t think Pat will be on the board when we pick in the second and lots of talk that Turner is going to go earlier than commonly mocked.

1) Jacksonville Jaguars - TREVOR LAWERENCE 2) New York Jets - ZACH WILSON 3) San Francisco 49ers - TREY LANCE 4) Atlanta Falcons - JA'MARR CHASE 5) Cincinnati Bengals - KYLE PITTS 6) Miami Dolphins - PENEI SEWELL 7) Detroit Lions - JAYLEN WADDLE 8) Carolina Panthers - RASHAWN SLATER 9) Denver Broncos - JUSTIN FIELDS 10) Dallas Cowboys - PATRICK SURTAIN II 11) New York Giants - DEVONTA SMITH 12) Philadelphia Eagles - MICAH PARSONS 13) Los Angeles Chargers - CHRISTIAN DARRISHAW 14) Minnesota Vikings - ALIJAH VERA-TUCKER 15) New England Patriots - MAC JONES 16) Arizona Cardinals - JAYCEE HORN 17) Las Vegas Raiders - JEREMIAH OWUSO-KORAMOAH 18) Miami Dolphins - KWITY PAYE 19) Washington Football Team - ZAVEN COLLINS 20) Chicago Bears - TEVIN JENKINS 21) Indianapolis Colts - RASHOD BOTEMAN 22) Tennessee Titans - ALEX LETHERWOOD 23) New York Jets - GREG NEWSOME II 24) Pittsburgh Steelers - NAJEE HARRIS 25) Jacksonville Jaguars - JAELEN PHILLIPS 26) Cleveland Browns - ASANTE SAMUEL JR 27) Baltimore Ravens - AZEEZ OJULARI 28) New Orleans Saints - CALEB FARLEY 29) Green Bay Packers - ELIJAH MOORE 30) Buffalo Bills - TRAVIS ETIENNE 31) Baltimore Ravens - CREED HUMPHREY 32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers - TREVON MOEHRIG Bills selections: RD1 - TRAVIS ETIENNE RB, CLEMSON RD2 - PAYTON TURNER, EDGE HOUSTON RD3 - TOMMY TREMBLE, TE NOTRE DAME RD5A - ROBERT ROCHELLE CB, CENTRAL ARKANSAS RD5B- TEDARREL SLAYTON DT, FLORIDA RD6- DEMETRIC FELTON WR, UCLA RD7- AVERY WILLIAMS CB , BOISE STATE UPDATED 2:44 PST - Removed Pat Freiermuth TE Penn State as our second round pick and moved Payton Turner from our 3rd round selection to second round selection. In his place, have us taking Tommy Tremble instead in the 3rd. So we still get our edge guy, just a round earlier and get our TE a round later. Reason for the change as I don’t think Pat will be on the board when we pick in the second and lots of talk that Turner is going to go earlier than expected too.

I would love to see us trade for Julio, even for next years 2nd. I get the combo of age, salary, and injury history has some people against this, but we are ready to win right NOW...and a guy like Julio substantially could impact our ability to win the SB not only this year, but for next couple of years easily. I also dont think it will happen, but I would be all for it if it did.

Ah didn’t realize that, thanks for the heads up, I’ll edit that out since yeah, not draft night then due to that. But I still think Baltimore makes a play for him come June 1st.

100% trust this front office, it’s literally without question top 3 in the NFL right now, snd arguably the best FO in football.

Bills will trade up...and still take Etienne. Bills will trade up a second time and get back up into the 4th to get Tommy Tremble.

This ☝️ 3 firsts to go from 12 to 3 shows just how unrealistic it is for the Bills to go up high enough to land Pitts. I’m not convinced you need to go up that high for Pitts as I don’t see Atlanta taking Pitts at all at 4, but it’s gonna need to likely need to be a top 10 pick to land him still and that’s still going to be an immense price to pay from 30. I am all good trading you, but also don’t want to mortgage our future either by giving up multiple firsts we are going to need to keep restocking talent once we have paid Josh Allen.

JP had all the tools and none of coaching or development needed to hone it. I’ve often wondered if he could have had a much better career had he been drafted somewhere else. Glad to see he is doing so well though

I just have this feeling Rochelle is going to be a Buffalo Bill when this draft is over and I am also really hoping he is. This guy has Beane pick written all over him. He’s probably the best small school DB prospect of the last decade and has all the measurable you want in size and speed. He is an athletic beast too. He dominated FCS competition and has great hands having started as a WR snd showed those skills with 10 INTS in 27 games. He also isn’t afraid to get physical and is a good tackler. His measurables and resume would have him a probable first round pick had he gone to a big school with that production. Given, it’s still a small school with lesser competition, but he dominated at that level which is what you want to see. He’s going to need developing and coaching up given he was dependent a lot on his superior athleticism going against lesser competition. But that is another reason why we are an ideal landing spot for him as well, and honestly probably the best landing spot for him. For me, I think he would be an excellent 3rd round pick for us, but I also would not be surprised to see him come off the board earlier given the premium on corners in today’s NFL. Personally I still think he will more likely goes in 3rd or maybe 4th round given how good and deep the CB class is, so snagging him with our 3rd seems like a good spot. Or if there is another player there Beane has higher on BPA and goes another direction, wouldn’t surprise me to see Beane trade back up into the fourth if he’s still there too. I HAVE NO INSIDER INFO ON THIS...just my opinion only based on that he seems like a Beane and McD kind of player and that the fit here is ideal for us and him. I can really see him being our pick in the 3rd.

Question: Why do people keep listing WR as an immediate need? I dont get why thats an immediate need right now

I agree with you...however the one thing I would say is that Josh Allen had some wow moments and started to also shine down the stretch of his rookie year showing great growth. Coming out of year 1 the arrow was pointing way up. This off-season, Tua doesn’t have that kind of optimism as he didn’t really do enough that made anyone feel like this kid is for sure how he future. But like I said, I agree with you, they need to give him time and the a better cast first before anyone starts giving up on the kid. He has a ton of upside for sure

One, if we trade for Ertz it would only be if we reworked his deal. Two, I said the package would include Ertz, not necessarily be just Ertz. They could throw in a late round pick to lower the cost... But lets also look at that word "cost"...we are literally talking about 7 draft slots lower. It doesn't mean we gave up a real third round pick, its literally moving back 7 spots and I am sure Beane would only do so if they were confident there are guys who will be there 7 spots later they would be happy with too. So I have seen this "3rd round" pick cost over and over again when I suggest this, but its not true in that sense. Thats a theoretical value, the real trade is moving down simply 7 spots. Thats it...its not like we actually are giving up a 3rd round pick.

Beane's Cliff Notes: We could trade up, we could trade down, or stay put at 30 where any position outside of QB, K, or Punter are on the table with the 30th pick as long as they are the BPA on his board. So in other words...DUH everything is on the table 🤣 All kidding aside, my thoughts: The only RB I think he would take at 30 is Etienne. There are guys he think could slide into the 20's he might be willing to go get for the right price. And, he sees the 5th year option that comes with the 30th pick as increasing the value for a team to trade up and anticipates offers to be on the table when they approach their pick, assuming we haven't ourselves already traded up. Call me crazy, but I still think a trade back with the Eagles at 37 still makes a lot of sense where the trade package includes Ertz if Beane doesn't covet someone when on the clock at 30.

Well this makes me happy actually because Rams are my second team...a very distant second team compared to my love of the Bills, but definitely my second team. I would have much preferred to see Bojo stay here after the season he had last year though. Then again, prior to last season, he had been wildly inconsistent, so who knows if he will be as good this year or not. But his last season here was pretty great.

With the 86th pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, the New York Jets select: Tay Gowan, CB - UCF Having landed our QB of the future, given him some protection and a new weapon, we stuck true to our board again here and taking what we see as a CB with great potential. With only one year of college football under his belt after sitting out the pandemic, his one year was quite impressive and we feel he will only continue to grow. And we realize we need all the help we can get in our secondary with studs like Allen and Diggs in our division. So we are quite excited to see Gowan still on the board and gave consideration taking him with our previous pick too. @Dont Stop Billeiving and the Steelers are now on the clock!

Valid point as well. But my personal philosophy is take the best player when you are on the clock as you are not sure who will be there when you are next up. So for me, needing to protect the young QB is top priority and I would take the guy I am the most confident in as a prospect. That may very well be a CB for them at that pick, just for my humble opinion AVT is my guy. Yup, and thats why he is one of the best GMs in football

I don't disagree with you, but I also think AVT is that much better than anyone they will get in round 2, so its more to do with how high I am on him than anything.

His market is low now, it’s not going to be any higher next year at 32 after playing out his deal as the #2 TE on a bad team with a developing QB. He wants to win, this is a good deal for him. And I do have some inside info that is exactly what his top priority is, playing for a contender.

I am personally quite high on Vera-Tucker and his versatility. Nothing is more important in developing a you g QB than protecting him. And you can’t fill every hole in one draft, so as a GM you should prioritize the development of that QB. They are going to likely have a top 15 pick again next year, you can always draft a CB then if you didn’t find one this draft. So I think the Jets must invest in making sure they give Wilson the best chance to succeed. And for me, I think Tucker is too good to pass up at 23, if he’s still on the board even. Especially with his versatility. That being said, I definitely fully agree that CB is probably the only other position they look at with the 23rd pick, or at least should be the only other position. So won’t surprise me to see them go your route and go DB there and look at OL after. But, AVT is who I would target based on how the board is expected to fall right now if I was the Jets.

I think a team friendly 2 year deal is worth it personally.

I understand where you are coming from, but the market has proven really low for Ertz. Right now, a reworked multi year deal with a great organization contending for division titles and Super Bowls with a MVP candidate at QB is going to look like a real nice place to be for him. So I think he is going to be very interested to do that.

Well as I said in my post, he would come with a reworked deal, meaning not a one year rental. I can see is taking back a day 3 pick, and I certainly would expect Beane to try and get that as well. However, I’d be comfortable still without it. We are in a SB push this year, I think the reward here outweighs the risk of a simple 7 spot trade back.