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Everything posted by Alphadawg7
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Devin Singletary not scoring a TD with 34 seconds left
Alphadawg7 replied to chongli's topic in The Stadium Wall
It was absolutely the correct call, and it’s not even close. First off, everyone calling it icy are just incorrect. It was not icy conditions, it was fresh snow, big difference. And the snow can be brushed away, which it was. His footing there isn’t in any real jeopardy. Second, giving Dolphins ball back with 34 seconds and the best deep ball receiver in football is a lot riskier than kicking a FG from the 2 yard line. Statistically, the FG is absolutely the mathematically correct play. Always better to control the outcome of the game vs giving them their own shot to control the outcome. The odds we connect on the FG were better than the odds our defense doesn’t allow a TD. That makes it the correct play. -
So, reading the board, we lost again. 3-11. Sigh.
Alphadawg7 replied to ChicagoRic's topic in The Stadium Wall
Totally hear what you are saying, but there has been film study shared on the board showing some of that lack of creativity in the offense this year. Opposing players have made comments on the limited routes guys like Davis run and stuff. Teams like KC scheme guys open, we seem to rely on our receivers having to win every route. Just think its a flaw in Dorsey's first year, something he hopefully continues to learn from and improve on. -
Deebo will be back before the playoffs. Im just saying your assessment was off in your original post, so rather than keep moving the goal post and trying to be right about something you were wrong about, just acknowledge the trade worked out for the 49ers. Its not that big of a deal man, but there is no spinning this, the move worked out well for the Niners and they a tough opponent right now. There is though a big question mark still with the Niners no doubt in Purdy. He has looked good, but this is before teams have any relevant film on him in the Niners offense. We will need to see if he can still hold it together once teams have enough film to try and defend him better. But today, I think the Niners are a lot better team than they were before they got CMC and still had Jimmy G at QB.
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So, reading the board, we lost again. 3-11. Sigh.
Alphadawg7 replied to ChicagoRic's topic in The Stadium Wall
While I agree with your overall premise here, there are still some things to have some legitimate concerns about. But yes, this place often feels like we lost even when we win and that is dumb. Lots of positives right now...we are winning games, even if they are gritty and close, we are finding ways to win. We even won the Vikings game until we fumbled it away. Nice to see Knox getting more involved in the passing game (although he did have 2 back to back drops this week despite having the best catch % on the team), nice to see Josh taking care of the football, and nice to see the defense make plays when it has to. But beyond just the fact we won, we also made them harder and closer than they needed to be in several cases. And the things that led to it are also why some people still have some legitimate concerns for the playoffs. I remain confident in this teams ability to beat anyone, but I also remain realistic that because of these concerns below, we leave the door open for several of these teams who will be in the playoffs to be able to cut our season short and send us home too. Despite the stats, the offense isn't consistent and does a lot of shooting itself in the foot still with bad penalties, drops, and miscues. We lead the NFL in dropped passes. Dorsey still is struggling in the second half after teams make halftime adjustments. This is my biggest concern, we can't keep coming out so bad and flat in the 3rd quarter, better teams like KC, Cincy, or someone like Phi or SF in the SB can certainly exploit that. This is the entire reason games are so close, or why we lost games like the Vikings game for example. Because our point differential in the 2nd half went from being the best in the NFL prior to the GB game, to one of the worst for a while. Dorseys lack of making his own adjustments is slowing the offense down after halftime and letting teams get back into games or take leads. That is a dangerous game to be playing come playoff team. Too much of our offensive production relies solely on Allen extending plays and receivers only getting open when they break off routes to come back to Josh when he is scrambling. Point of this is that we are not seeing our receivers win on their initial route enough, and that has a lot to do with play design by Dorsey. He is not scheming guys open enough and not dictating mismatches. In the Miami game, on a key play they moved Hill inside to specifically get him matched up on Edmunds for an easy first down conversion because Edmunds can't hang with Hills speed. We don't do enough creative things like this to get our guys open. Can our pass rush get enough pressure when we face guys like Mahomes and Burrow without Von? How long is Morse out, and if he doesn't come back, can our already struggling OL hold up well enough in the post season? So yes, totally agree with you about us being 11-3 and to enjoy and appreciate it. But it also does not mean we don't have some things that have been concerns. These concerns above, while we have been winning, have made games much closer than they needed to be...and when you keep teams close who have guys like Mahomes and Burrow on the other side, worse things can happen. I think that is what some of the perspective is. Albeit, too many people are also over exaggerative and dramatic too about a lot of this stuff. -
This whole thing people are saying about Tre "getting beat bad" a couple times is being over exaggerative. This wasn't some JAG he was covering, Hill and Waddle beat guys every week because not only are they talented, they have elite speed. No corner wins every play 100%, its going to happen where great players like Hill and Waddle are going to make some plays too no matter who is covering them. But Tre overall had a very good game and was great to see him playing with more trust and confidence in his leg and movement. He played more aggressive and attacked the ball. So for me, this was a good game for Tre and exactly what I wanted to see from him in his road to regaining his form. He still isn't even all the way there yet, but still had a strong game for the most part. Very encouraging as we gear up to try and win out and enter the post season.
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Elam is definitely the correct answer to this question. BUT...I would like to point out people are over exaggerating Tre "getting beat bad" multiple times. Tre had a good game, and lets not forget we are talking about Hill and Waddle here who beat corners every week because they are exceptionally fast. End of the day, no CB is going to make every play, especially against talented WR's with elite speed. People tend to focus way too much on a play or two rather than the whole game. From start to finish, I was really impressed with what I saw out of Tre White and Elam.
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Here is the issue...yes we need OL help, there is no doubt about that, and no doubt it will be addressed in some way. But...while it easy to look at THIS team right now, with these EXACT players on it and say OL will 100% be the first round pick, the reality is, this team could look much different on draft night with several massive holes to fill. So, my point is, for those expecting there is no option but OL in the first, I think you are premature on that and I expect Beane to do what he always does, stay true to his board and take BPA...and that, might be a defensive player. I am NOT advocating for a defensive player, I am not advocating for anything actually, just looking at the reality of where our holes could be come draft night and realizing Beane has 100% stayed true to his board in the past, and I don't expect him to do anything again but that. There are real questions about whether Hyde or Poyer will be here next year, so we could have a hole at safety. Big decision on Edmunds looming, so could have a big hole at LB. We also have potential DL issues with Von out, and not knowing if Jordan and Shaq can be resigned yet. We also have Devin as a FA, and Cook isn't a 3 down RB IMO, so I don't think he is the answer. He goes down too easy and can't gain the tough yards. Then there is the glaring need for another WR. Now, some of these, including OL, could be addressed in FA. But we don't have a lot to spend either in FA, so a lot of this will come down to who they retain and who they sign. Just saying, big yes OL is an issue that will need to be addressed this year. But come draft night, we could potentially have glaring holes at OL, S, LB, WR, and RB (in no particular order) and I do not under any circumstance believe Beane will reach with that pick, instead he will do what he always does and will take BPA, and that guy could be from any of those positions depending on the decisions made prior to the draft.
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Not to nit pick, but you literally said the Niners remaining schedule was tougher in the post they are quoting you on. Now you’re saying it was a cupcake schedule because your prediction on the trade being bad was so wrong? Come on, just admit the CMC trade not only made sense for their team and offense, but has worked out so much that they are now the favorite or 2nd favorite to win the NFC and reach the SB. And my wife is a Niners fan, and while she’s hoping for a Niners VS Bills SB…this is the team I am most afraid of in the entire NFL as we match up terrible with them. That defense is not something I want to see our OL going up against. And I don’t want to see our D try and defend their YAC short strike offense and screen game with guys like Deebo and CMC. They are a team no one wants to play right now. Best hope is after more tape, teams can exploit Purdy. But if Purdy keeps playing like this, they are actually a better team with him than Jimmy G.
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Interesting Diggs Split Stat from The Athletic
Alphadawg7 replied to inthebuff's topic in The Stadium Wall
Well this is misleading. How many of those 11 snaps did we have a big formation to go for a short yard conversion? The formations and plays called and game situation play so much into this that this stat can’t be relied on to mean anything without that context. -
It’s without question Hurts to lose right now. If they voted today, Hurts would finish first, Mahomes second, and Allen 3rd (even though I do not believe Mahomes should be 2nd over Allen, it is how it would play out today). Now if Allen throttles Chicago and then throttles Cincy, he could, and probably would, move into 2nd. Because he would have beaten Mahomes, then beaten Burrow who also has beaten Mahomes. But to leap frog Hurts, it will at least take Hurts also losing, maybe to Dallas, and not playing well. The problem…Dallas isn’t the better team and it’s weakness on defense is defending the run. I don’t think Allen can win the MVP without at least hurts having a down game and Eagles loss…and even then, Allen will still need to win out, have gaudy stats, and some big wow moments in order to catch Hurts.
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One of the biggest wastes of talent I’ve seen. He had it all except the passion/drive and mental make up to maximize that talent. Could have been a true top number 1 WR - pure talent wise - but he just wasn’t mentally built to become more than a role player. He got paid and was cool after that. He didn’t have the drive to push himself and lead. That being said, I would be fine adding him to the PS as a potential role player if needed here.
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I’m starting to get extremely frustrated with Dorsey.
Alphadawg7 replied to FireChans's topic in The Stadium Wall
Sometimes you need to look a little more deeper into things then just reading a box score. -
I’m starting to get extremely frustrated with Dorsey.
Alphadawg7 replied to FireChans's topic in The Stadium Wall
The issue is teams adjust to Dorsey at halftime and he doesn’t respond. The biggest issue is most of our yards come off Allen improvising because our receivers are not getting open on their routes initially. And a big part of that is play design. Allen is so talented he keeps over coming these play calling short comings, but doesn’t mean they aren’t an issue.- 231 replies
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Fish in Orchard Park - Snow Game ✅
Alphadawg7 replied to WEATHER DOT COM's topic in The Stadium Wall
Rant incoming: I am so sick of hearing about the weather for this game. All the talk about this game is about the stupid weather as if Miami will only lose because of the weather. No one remotely talks about the dangerous weather conditions the Bills faced and all the injuries the first game. But this game is being made out to be Tua and Miami vs the weather instead of the Bills. Miami is coming off two games where they finally played good competition and got exposed. Fins fans I know are already down on Tua again as if he was just a product of an easy schedule. Yet here we are heading into a week where they face the number 1 seed in the AFC that statistically dominated them in Miami but narrowly still lost due to extreme circumstances as if this game is not about facing the top team in the AFC, but just about facing the snow. Im over it. It’s so stupid. Bills offense will be limited too. Enough about the stupid weather. -
I think Purdy looks pretty good considering. I’d argue the Niners have looked better with Purdy than they did with Jimmy G. Jimmy is a statue in the pocket with maybe the worst pocket awareness in the NFL. Purdy’s pocket mobility and ability to extend plays with his legs is a major plus to this offense. Niners, on the back of a vicious defense, are playing like one of the best teams in football right now. This is not a team you want to play in the playoffs right now.
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NFL Rules on Heaters For Sidelines?
Alphadawg7 replied to Warriorspikes51's topic in The Stadium Wall
Agreed! I swear I feel like so many people completely over look this home field cold "advantage" against opponents ALSO affects our team and players too. And our team doesn't play well in the cold either and isn't built for the cold. So why hurt us and what we do well to try and maybe impact the opponent some. And I will say it right now...if it came down to who can run the ball better, I would trust the tandem of Wilson and Mostert more than I would Devin and Cook (who falls down if the wind blows). So lets not try and make this a must run to win game because we will be the ones probably impacted the most. I am not worried about Allens ability to out duel over rated Tua. I am worried about our OL and RB's out rushing the Dolphins if neither team can throw. -
He is closer to elite than just a good starting DE. He is on pace for 12 sacks in just his 2nd season after coming in raw as a rookie, and that is after missing 3 games. He is also excellent against the run, which many of the top pass rushers are not. Having a guy who is very good at rushing the passer and very good at defending the run is not as common as people think. Look at who is regarded as the best pass rusher in the NFL out of the front 7 players...Parsons in Dallas. People drool over an elite pass rusher like Parsons, but he is utterly atrocious against the run and bad teams keep exploiting the Dallas defense to keep games close by running the football. I will put it this way...is Groot tradeable right now? I would say he is as close to as untouchable as Diggs and Allen, and he is probably the only such player on the defense right now that the front office 100% would not trade. And if they were to trade Groot, he would fetch a bounty with his unique build and his growth and production in just his second season. So while I agree, maybe saying he is "elite" right now is a bit premature, but I just think he is a lot closer to elite than you think he is.
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Isaiah Hodgins claimed off waivers by Giants
Alphadawg7 replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
Don’t disagree on the underwhelming part about some of our guys. But I’d honestly still prefer Brown and Beasley to Hodgins still though personally -
What was the furthest you traveled to see the Bills play?
Alphadawg7 replied to Another Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Opening day last year. We got Preggos this year and that changed our plans to go this season -
What was the furthest you traveled to see the Bills play?
Alphadawg7 replied to Another Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yeah that was a direct flight I was referring to -
What was the furthest you traveled to see the Bills play?
Alphadawg7 replied to Another Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think it is around 5 hours or so, it's not too bad. Coming back its always about 30 min quicker than they say though. Every time I have gone east, the flight back has always landed me home at LAX like 30+ min early than scheduled. -
Isaiah Hodgins claimed off waivers by Giants
Alphadawg7 replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
All good bud, and no disrespect what so ever...but there isn't a GM or Coach that would take Hodgins over Davis to be on the football field. So, I am just saying this "fantasy football points" analysis/comparison doesn't really provide accurate context. And it was posted in a thread where certain people are going to take it and run with it to say we made a mistake. The reality is he averages 36 yards a game on a team with no one to throw to and is not the piece this team is missing. I hope he has a good career, sincerely do...but fantasy points or not, he is a bubble WR playing on team decimated at the WR position. This is the same team that is playing David Sills V too who also isn't the one who got away either.