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Alphadawg7

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Everything posted by Alphadawg7

  1. I honestly have no idea what he does or doesn't do for a living or what kind of analysis or posts he has made previously as I can't recall seeing any other posts by him. All I can go on is what he said here, and for no reason he started with unnecessary personal digs from the get go and through his rants managed to say things that not only do I disagree with, but some were just factually wrong. So regardless of what his alleged profession is, all I can go on is what was said here and my replies are solely based on what was said here, and based on that I stand by what I said and disagreed with.
  2. Fair points on Shakir, but the staff has felt Shakir warranted more snaps and has tripled his snap count since week 1 and Davis has not had less time on the field. So that tracks with what you are saying here. But this offense needs more out of a guy on the field 95% of the snaps than 5 games of 1-3 catches and 3.1 rec per game avg. I just think Davis has too many limitations to dominate the snap count that much, and I went to Shakir first because he has shown some nice blocking ability this year, which is one the things people defend Davis with which has been his ability to block. Whatever the answer is, I think Davis having his snap count drop from 95% to 75%-80% would benefit the offense if it means we are getting guys on the field who offer more diversity in the route tree and more consistency in other areas of the field.
  3. Fair points, but that doesn't fully absolve the anemic offense for the last 3 games against the easier part of our schedule.
  4. I mean thats a good start. But you are still focused on there being no boundary WR, which isn't what needs to happen. Shakir and Sherfield can play the boundary on some snaps, it doesn't always have to be Davis. Heck, even Harty can mix in there a few snaps to stretch the D. I just think they need more rotation with Davis because to lead the team in snaps well over 90% and avg just 3 catches a game isn't helping Josh often enough. 2 games with 1 catch while playing opposite a guy like Diggs who is consistently drawing extra attention is just not good enough. We need more production from a guy on the field 95% of the plays or we need to reduce that percentage some to get other guys on the field who may contribute more in other areas of the field.
  5. Here is what I will say about Knox...he gets more heat than he should around here. He has had the highest catch rate on the team, better than Diggs prior to this year. The issue with Knox is sometimes when he doesn't make the play its been one that hurt and those resonate more and leave a bigger impression. But overall, hes been a very good TE and is someone who should have been even more involved in our passing offense the past 2 years, but the poor OL situation didn't help as he is often had to be used as an extra blocker to mask those deficiencies more. So IMHO, I think he deserves a little bit of the benefit of the doubt here as he has shown he has been a more reliable pass catcher prior to this year and this injury.
  6. You don't have to have two traditional boundary WR's on every play. Like I said, its not about replacing Davis, he would still be the primary boundary WR opposite Diggs. But the offense needs guys who can get open in other areas of the field where Davis struggles, and getting some of the other guys more snaps who can help in those areas like Kincaid and Shakir is something I think would help Josh and this offense. Davis has 3 catches or less in 5 of our 7 games despite having the highest % of snaps on the entire Team and Diggs facing frequent double teams. He literally averages 3.1 catches per game on the season. Getting over 90% of the offensive snaps on a pass happy team with Josh Allen should result in better than 3 catches per game (two of which he has just 1). Our rookie TE Kincaid gets over 30% less snaps per game than Davis, and has played one less game and yet still has 3 more catches than Davis who dominates the snap count. The biggest issue with Kincaid is that his yards per catch is a putrid 7.7 ypc, but that is IMHO a Dorsey issue and how they have used Kincaid.
  7. Flawless logic lol...like responding to a headline and not understanding the premise of the post and making up your own narrative instead? Never at any point said to replace Davis with Shakir who is a slot WR. I said that Davis 96% snap share dominance, which has been consistent all year, even more than Diggs, should go down to get other guys more opportunities to get on the field like Shakir who have been making plays when called upon. And the coaches seem to agree since Shakirs snap count has increased every week since week 1.
  8. He is the #2 WR...on most teams that is going to be true. Saying he caught more than McKenzie, Football Jesus, a rookie WR they didn't use, etc doesn't mean a whole lot.
  9. Except I did, but it doesn't land when you don't understand or know as much as you think you do.
  10. Ah, gotcha, my apologies, I misread that and thought it was for all 7 weeks, thanks for clearing that up. Still the scoreboard still doesn't reflect offensive success, especially early in games. So something needs to change and the slow starts the last 3 weeks against weaker competition is an issue with the tough part of our schedule still to come.
  11. You have 1 play...literally one final play from the ONE yard line. No time for more than 1 play, just a single play. You can run or pass in this situation and your starting QB is out. Lets see...maybe put the ball in the hands of your best player in Saquan. Bills were allowing a poor YPC to running backs all season and were missing their best run stuffer in Jones and their all-pro LB in Milano. You also just paid Barkley because he is the most important player on your offense. Not running Barkley there was dumber than the not running Lynch on first down in the SB and throwing it instead for an INT to end the game. And if you are going to pass...why are you not taking advantage of Tyrods ability to run by rolling him out and seeing if he has a throw or maybe can run it in if not? Daboll put the game and the ball in the hands of a backup QB who hasn't played a meaningful game in years and was never a great passer when in his prime and doesn't have great vision to drop back and fire. But Daboll is allergic to doing the smart thing, and prefers the tricky. And it has cost his teams wins in the past just like it cost him a win against the Bills. And as far as the first half goes...again you have a backup QB in who hasn't played a meaningful game in years. The coaches called an option there where the QB had the option to call out of it into a run. They should have made it clear to TT that optioning to the run was not an option, TT isn't a coach, it is not his job to clock manage.
  12. Geezus, no need to be this pompus and dense. I have already answered this question. LMAO...this is a ridiculous reply. You are categorically wrong about what the "purpose" of us running 12 personnel for us is supposed to be...I don't know what else to tell you. They did NOT trade up in the first to draft Kincaid so he and Knox could "draw guys in" to get 1 on 1 matchups on the outside for Diggs who is hardly ever going to see a 1 on 1 regardless and Davis who scares no one and produces 1-3 catches a game in the majority of his games. If you can't understand that Kincaid was drafted...traded up for...to be a receiving weapon then there is no reason to keep talking about this. I mean Beane literally said "he wasn't drafted to block"..."its more like 11.5 personnell" with Kincaid a big slot...etc etc. If you want to reply with this ridiculous comment "Beane isn't a coach" and not even realize that all you are doing is furthering my original point about how Dorsey is NOT utilizing the mismatches and advantages correctly that Kincaid and even Knox provide in that formation, then I don't know what to tell you and no need to keep discussing it. Here we go...the absolute waste of time "Season Total" stats that literally provide NO CONTEXT what so ever of week to week involvement or production. Its comical to see you say watch the tape, when clearly you are not and just trying to use stats to manipulate the stance. if you think Davis is a quality WR2 then I don't know what to tell you. And I was a guy who was once again high on him after his strong camp and contract year. But you don't seem to understand enough about WR's to evaluate them correctly. Because if you did, you would see a guy in Davis who struggles on routes that don't have straight line cuts or rounded routes. I don't care if he is a good blocker, we are NOT a power running team, we are an air it out offense and he isn't doing enough week to week to justify 96% of the snaps, and that is true his whole career. You wan to look at stats...go check is poor career catch rate. Go check how many 100 yard games he has had during his first 3 seasons. Go check how many games he has under 50 yards. Go check how many games he has 3 catches or less. Go check how many games he barely registers an impact. Go check how many games we literally lost where he had a key drop that might have changed the outcome of the game. I could care less about the meaningless end of year totals. He will have one big game, a few decent games and a bunch of duds. That is Davis. His "Big Game Davis" name is not accurate, its ironic because it only happens like once a year. In 7 playoff games he has 2 good games (KC and Miami last year). Disagree. That is rich coming from a guy who thinks we traded up for a TE after signing a TE to $50M contract so we could run 12 personnel to get 1 on 1's on the outside with a guy who still won't get 1 on 1's and a guy who doesn't produce when he gets 1 on 1. LMAO...guess the offense is perfect then. PS: No...No...No it hasn't. We had SEVEN points midway through the 4th quarter against Jags and lowly Giants. We had a terrible 2nd half against the Jets too. That is not in anyway "unstoppable" in the 2nd half. For a guy who keeps telling me I know nothing about football and need to watch the games, you sure seem to have a lot of stuff wrong. Stop. You don't have a clue to what the film shows. To do that, you would have know the play call, the hot read, the order of progression on the play, the coverage, etc. Just because you see a guy open on film does not in anyway equate to "we have designed plays to get Cook the ball in open space in the pass game". You say a lot of disrespectful and smart a** responses in your replies for no reason, but you keep just flat out making claims you can't possibly make and saying things that are just not accurate. Are there plays where Allen had opportunities to get Cook the ball and didn't see him, or the pass pro broke down and forced Allen elsewhere, etc etc...sure...but again, none of that means it was a play design to scheme Cook open and that Cook was the focus of the play but Allen went rogue and ignored it. Other teams make the RB a priority in the pass game, a focal point to get them the ball. We have yet to do that with Cook despite the fact the whole reason we drafted Cook was to be that kind of weapon for us. If you want to discuss things...then great...Im all for it, differing opinions and all. But if you want to pompous with weak attempts to flex your "knowledge" is better than everyone else schtick then try elsewhere cuz it ain't landing here.
  13. It was Oliver and Jones missing though...not just Oliver...and of course Milano too. Jones was at the time of his injury having probably the best season of any DT in football. Losing those guys up front and the captain behind them in Milano (replaced by a rookie who got benched at halftime) was going to force McD to do different things than if he had those 2 at least upfront. Im not saying McD couldn't have made other adjustments, but we didn't lose that game because of the defense. Had the offense been even just 1/4 as productive in the first half as it was in the 2nd half, we are up 2 scores or more and the final drive is irrelevant. The offense gave the Pats 10 quick points early in the game between by giving the Pats good field position. I just can't come away from that game and say the defense is why we lost. Even with the defensive struggles, we had a lead late in the 4th. That should have been at minimum a 2 score lead, if not not more, but our offense was once again putrid for half of this game like he has been the first half of the last 3 games. And if this coaching staff doesn't find a way to get the offense going earlier in games, we won't make the playoffs because this defense is not going to be anywhere near what it was without Tre, Milano, and Jones...and that is before factoring in any additional games any other players on D may miss the rest of the season.
  14. Not FB style runs up the middle. No no no. This is NOT what we traded up for Kincaid to be...he was NOT drafted to pull people in and get 1 on 1 on the outside, nor are we getting that with Diggs who is regularly doubled. From Beanes mouth he was drafted to catch a lot of passes, to be a big slot, to be a weapon...not a decoy. You don't run 12 personnel to "try and get 1 on 1's" on the outside with a doubled WR in Diggs and Davis who has a limited route tree and struggles to get separation. The entire purpose of Kincaid was to run as Beane called it 11.5 personnel and make him a big part of our offense. So again, you do not grasp what we are supposed to be doing with our 12 personnel but instead highlighting why we need to run less of it because its being used improperly. A WR2 is not a TE...his value needs to exceed "run blocking", especially when we don't run a lot. Hines Ward was an excellent run blocker, but he was a dangerous WR too. Davis does not produce as a WR and we are not a power fun team. So he should not be on the field 96% of snaps. This comment here is even MORE puzzling to me based on your comments above where you are trying to sell that the 12 personnel is designed to draw guys in to get 1 on 1's on the outside...well Davis is on the outside, and he is the one getting 1 on 1's and guess what...he isn't producing just like his whole career of a couple decent games a year and a whole bunch of duds. Check the stats. I have already stated why. You are literally describing the definition of predictable. So then every failed OC can labeled as execution being the reason. If the players only better executed what he wanted to do then it would have worked. Literally can be said about every fired OC in NFL history. I hate this excuse. It is the OC's job to literally put the offense in positions to where they do execute, plays they are comfortable with, game plans that can get them into rhythm. The fact the offense has been pathetic, anemic, and flat in the last 3 first half of games against weak opposition says everything about Dorsey and how he scripts the beginning of games. And in 2 of those games, the offense didn't come to life until the 4th quarter where Josh started to do more Superman things and the offense when into hurry up. Why is it taking so long for Dorsey to make these changes and get the offense going every week? I have, this blanket statement does not even remotely address what I said.
  15. Come on gunner, you can’t say it had nothing to do with our front 4 when our 2 penetrating DTs were out of the game that were playing at practically an All-Pro level this year. That absolutely impacts the defense and how McD is going to call the game and game plan. While the depth aren’t bums, they also are not going to impact the game the way Jones and Oliver would have. Not only do they provide much more on the interior, but they change everything for the edge guys too. It’s a night and day level difference to have Oliver and Jones in the middle vs not having them in the middle. And the defensive statistics support that as well between before and after the injuries.
  16. He was 17/17 Sunday when he did that too. This is lacking context. One its heavily skewed by the offensive dominance week 2, 3, and 4. Week 5 and 6 the offense had 7 points midway through the 4th quarter and week 7 the offense was anemic the whole first half. So these season total stats don't mean a whole lot when analyzing the most recent games which have been a steep decline since the week 4 game against Miami.
  17. People need to let this go. Mahomes was no sure thing when drafted, in fact he was a polarizing pick ranging from mid first to 2nd round in most draft rankings. The worry on him was that his mechanics were unconventional and would need to be rebuilt to succeed in the NFL. Trubisky was the consensus top QB in the draft, followed by Watson. And if the Bills had drafted Mahomes, we still would not have won a Super Bowl. This roster was terrible that he would have joined, and he wouldn't have had the same better OL, better weapons, and better offensive system that he has in KC. The trade worked out pretty great for Bills still too landing an All Pro CB and an Elite QB still the next year. I mean you might as well drag every GM in the NFL through the mud the year Brady was drafted, including the Pats, for letting him fall to the 6th round. Hindsight is a waste of time given no one can see the future.
  18. I get what you are saying, but when the coach is missing its starting interior DL and doesn't trust the front 4 to get home anymore, its no surprise he is trying to bring pressure from elsewhere because Mac Jones has proven to be bad under pressure all season and turnover prone. I agree, it didn't work, but I also think it had more to do with the fact that both Oliver and Jones were not playing and the front 4 wasn't going to be able to get home like it was in the Miami game. So I still can't fault the defense, which was also put in bad field positions multiple times because of our offense. And again, had the offense not sucked for an entire half, the defense would have been good enough to win that game still.
  19. Im not sure I follow here...I never said that. I said we need to run more plays with Allen under center (meaning less shotgun plays), I wasn't saying we need to literally "run" the ball more from under center in 12 personnel. I didn't even say we should run more 12 personnel with Allen under center...I said we need to run less 12 personnel overall. I think you just misread what I was saying previously.
  20. Come on, you can't compare the defense before losing Tre, Milano, Jones, and Oliver to the defense that played on Sunday. I am not saying McD couldn't have done a better job, but the offense also gave the Pats a short field multiple times leading to 10 early points.
  21. Still a string of failures by Dorsey though regardless if you want to put any of NE on him or not. I personally think his first half against NE was still bad, the offense looked as flat and anemic as it had the past 2 weeks. And while its never one persons fault, especially when it comes to coaching as players need to execute, it still falls on his shoulders to make adjustments and figure out how to get the offense in rhythm, and he just doesn't have a good track record of doing that. And while the D had some struggles against NE, it was also missing its 4 best players. This game would not have come down to the defense if the offense wasn't so bad in the first half. So I have to disagree, this game wasn't on the defense. The offense in the first half was the bigger issue otherwise, the Pats wouldn't have been within 1 score to win the game on the final drive. I will honestly be stunned if he is still the OC next year unless the offense has some significant turn around the rest of this year.
  22. No disrespect bud, but I mean that sure sounds like its "predictable" when you say "defenses are playing the run more then they see us under center especially in 12 personnel" when you are responding to me saying that we are too predictable and that is why we don't have more success running from under center. This is really where my whole point is. Cook and Kincaid need to be treated as primary weapons more, not just guys to use here and there so we don't throw to Diggs on every play. Even Allen said it himself, Diggs is "often" his first read. Kincaid should be getting at least 7-8 targets a game and Cook should be getting at least 4-5 targets himself to go along with at least 18+ combined touches a game. Every game that should be the min priority for those 2 along with Diggs. They are our next most talented weapons behind Diggs.
  23. Its a 3 game problem, this isn't about the Pats game only. Its actually a 4 game problem if you count the Jets game, but I give that one more of a pass given first game of season and Jets have given most offenses they have faced trouble. This offense has been anemic, it is too easily defended right now, and that starts with Dorsey. Player execution matters too, but the offense needs to have an identity and rhythm, and that is something Dorsey has failed to accomplish last year or this year on any consistent basis. There is no excuse for Cook to have 0 targets against the Giants. There is no excuse for Kincaid and Knox to be averaging 6.9 yards per catch coming into week 7 despite leading the league in 12 personnel snaps. There is no excuse for Davis to lead the offense in snap count every week when he just isn't producing. These are the things that bug me about Dorsey and why it starts with him. He is out coached on almost a weekly basis, and if not for Daboll and the Giants beating themselves, this team would be on a 3 game losing streak all of which would be on the offense.
  24. The site I checked showed 2, but doesn't mean that site is correct as I have found some sites differ on some of the stats tracked. That playoff drop is too harshly criticized IMHO. Diggs just dropped an easier catch to end the game Sunday than the one Shakir didn't make in the playoffs, in fact Diggs has multiple drops this year that were easier catches than the one Shakir didn't complete in the playoffs. And it wasn't even a full drop, the tip of the ball hit the ground on the way down and it had to be overturned on relay. Davis drops easy throws right in his hands. Camp is camp, I don't really care what happened or didn't happen in camp. I mean the camp where Mahomes became the starter, he was throwing INT's all through camp yet he went on to have the best first season of a QB ever. Just like we have guys every year who have big camps that go on to do nothing and don't even make the roster. For me, all that matters is what is he doing in the real games, and so far he is delivering when called upon while Davis musters 1 catch on a 96% snap account. He doesn't have to be the next Beasley, but I am willing to bet if he played 96% of the snaps he would get more than 1 catch. I am not clear why you think he can't track deep ball, its actually something he did very well in college and he hasn't gotten enough reps in the NFL to indicate if he can or can't. But then again, I am not saying he needs to be a deep ball guy, Davis can still fill that role as its about the only route he can run with any success. Allen just needs more help to move the chains so it can open up the downfield attack more. Right now defenses are just taking that away too easily and Dorsey has no answers for it. And Davis just isn't the guy to help Allen do that, but I personally think Shakir can be of more value in that regard than Davis. And look, I am not saying that Shakir will never drop another pass, I am just saying I feel like he is being a bit unfairly labeled as not having good hands based on a rookie year where the sample size was small and he was not used consistently or given a lot of time to develop. NOTE: One thing no one takes into consideration about last year is that Allen throws harder than any QB any of these guys have ever caught passes from, and that is especially true in live games where Allen is firing balls in the heat of the game. Receivers talked all the time about guys like Elway and Marino where it was just harder to catch their passes until you got used to the velocity. Then you add in Shakir was a reserve running with the backups rather than the 1's during practice throughout the season and also not getting many snaps either, its not a surprise he might drop a ball or two as a rookie. But this year, his hands look good and he is delivering so far on the opportunities given to him.
  25. Disagree. You want to run designed runs, then roll him out, not run him like a FB up the middle off the snap. And Josh improvising with his legs is a big part of his game, taking that away isn't making him mature as a passer, its making him work against his instincts. Josh never was a run first QB, he has always looked to throw before running, but now he waits too long for the pass and has missed many opportunities these last 3 weeks where he could have made a positive play by pulling the ball down and taking off and either giving him a better chance for the first down or at least shortening the down to go yardage on the next play. When you run something more than anything, then statistically its going to produce yards because you still have Josh Allen and Diggs. But from an efficiency stand point, its not been good. You can't sit here and say how successful its been when we had 7 points midway through the 4th quarter of weeks 5 and 6 and just 10 points in week 7. There is nothing "successful" about the offense the past 3 weeks and against weak to bad competition to boot. We should be on a 3 game losing streak, but Giants beat themselves. And sorry, I assure you I know plenty about football. And I would say you are actually the one who doesn't understand the mismatches with a 2 TE attack given you just lumped in production that is heavily Diggs and not the TE's. Kincaid was drafted to be a receiving weapon, and coming into this game he was averaging UNDER 7 yards per catch and so was Knox. They are not using our 2 athletic TE's to put pressure anywhere else down field. The offense still produces because we still have Allen and Diggs out there, but that in no way is an indicator that we are using the 2 TE set to an advantage out there, and if you don't believe it, just go rewatch the last 3 games. If Kincaid and Knox are not being used as anything other than short dump offs or decoys, that is NOT taking advantage of mismatches, that is a poor use of the 12 personnel set, poor use of a first round TE we traded up for, and poor use a $50M TE. If we hid the names and looked only at the stat sheet, everyone would say Buffalo needs to draft a TE next year because ours average less than 7 YPC through 6 games and have pathetic production. And this gets magnified when you factor in the only other target out there besides Diggs is Davis who struggles to get separation and it puts a ton of pressure on the Allen to Diggs connection. There is a reason there is so much talk we are too reliant on Diggs offensively. We are not running the ball enough to justify Davis getting 96% of the snaps because he is good at blocking. Still not enough This has more to do with how predictable Dorsey is than anything else. Its wrong IMHO And this is the biggest issue with Dorsey, he just is consistently out coached and is poor to adjust. I don't buy that, lesser QB's and lesser teams throw to their RB's all the time because its part of their game plan. Cook is far too often a check-down often late in the read progression. And when you got an arm talent like Allen, he is more likely to see a throw he feels he can make before he gets back to Cook on the check-down, and that is assuming the OL held long enough to get through his progressions which it hasn't been doing a good job as of late.
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