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WhitewalkerInPhilly

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Everything posted by WhitewalkerInPhilly

  1. I mostly agree, especially with the bolded I expect that with some moves the Bills have enough for a journeyman S and/or DT (injury discount of DaQuan). I also expect that part of cap being freed will be Dawkins getting an extension for a few more years. He's just about to turn 30, so I don't think it's unreasonable to think that he's got a few more years in the tank and in general it's good practice to retain your LT. My philosophy: functional pieces can (and should) be acquired in free agency. Outside of QB, #1CB and outside WR there are usually day 2-3 players who can hold their own and not be a major liability. Sometimes, they turn out better than hoped (DaQuan, Poyer, Hyde) but your goal is plugging a short term hole. The draft is where you look for impact, swing for the fences on a Pass Rusher, dynamic WR, lockdown corner.
  2. 1) I think I am going to vomit 2) I mean, has he watched the last few years of play? Yes, Watson put up big numbers. He also, noticeably, played on teams that were never seen as contenders and their highest water mark was an 11-5 season and then beating the Bills in the wild card in Josh's first playoff game. It's not an accident that those things are related.
  3. Can't listen, can someone sum up? For the accusations of being a predator, or the way that he's wet the bed/ditched teammates over the past 18 months?
  4. I'm not saying that's necessarily wrong, but I feel like I need to keep pointing out: the 6/1 designation does not give the Bills the cap space right away. It becomes available on 6/1 (thus the name) and then the difference of $15.4 M goes onto the cap for 2025. Now, more than Diggs (which people are clamoring for) I think there's a realistic chance that this might happen. If the team sees a visible decline in production following an injury to a guy who will be 35 at season start, maybe they decide that having an open roster spot and the space for in season free agents is worth the impending hit. What I find more likely is that Beane rolls the dice on Miller returning to form for one more year. Also, if Miller is suspended, a bunch of those guarantees go away and the Bills can recoup part of the signing bonus. So I expect this to happen more than a 6/1 cut
  5. I mean, I hope we can maybe stretch one or two of them out for a bit longer. I think it's possible for Knox to bounce back, Diggs to have a little more in the tank and Tre to at least turn in a solid season or two. But it's coming. I hope for 1-2 WRs, and a bunch of young defenders to replenish that corps. We can't get Von off the books this year but we can get a guy in the pipeline. My current wish list this year is WR2>>>>>>S/C>WR4/DL/CB. With 9 current picks in the draft (and possibly a 10th with Edmunds Supplemental) I think it's possible to possible to hit on 3 as immediate starters, and a few that might need a year of seasoning.
  6. No. You can argue about what free agents are worth money or who could have been had for what. That's a debate. Punching yourself in the taint by cutting a player who has had over a thousand yards the last four years straight for negative cap space is only in the head of shock jocks desperate for hot takes and delusional recense bias fans. And would it shock you that 7 receivers in the history of the NFL had more yards their rookie season than Diggs had last year? I get it. We are frustrated. We should be looking to draft a replacement and this draft looks like a great time to do it. But barring Mike Evans holding out for June 1st or a team is willing to throw multiple first rounders I 100% expect Diggs to be on the roster at the start of the league year. And you all better be ready for the very realistic possibility that he gets extended rather than cut.
  7. Remember Doug, don't confuse effort with results
  8. Ok. It's not "impossible". Just "cause for termination" level stupid for some GM. Do you think the Vikings will trade us Justin Jefferson to get Diggs back? Seriously how hard is it to wait one year to actually see a return or some gain? We are almost certainly not seeing Diggs level production out of a rookie
  9. ...I mean, yes but then what's the point? You free up $19 million at the start of summer that the team isn't going to spend to make up for the cap difference you'd have got my just waiting a year and keeping Diggs on the roster and cutting him then. The only way it makes sense is if a god tier WR somehow makes it to June 1st without being signed Nope. Dead cap is money already paid
  10. OK, gonna blow by blow this 1) Yes. It is. However, and I need to make this a point: THE BILLS CANNOT USE THAT CAP SPACE UNTIL JUNE 1ST So, let's say the Bills pull the plug on their #1 receiver, getting back absolutely nothing for him. When free agency opens, the Bills must conduct their contract negotiations as if Diggs was still on the books for the full $27.8 million. The vast majority of free agents sign within the first month. They still must make roster cuts and restructures as if Diggs is getting the full amount. So great, the Bills now have $19 M to get street free agents. Whoopie, who gives a s*** Then they have to swallow the $19 million in 2025, effectively negating any savings from cutting Von or Knox. 2) This is a manufactured drumbeat. We are in silly season. Show me one direct quote where he says he wants out. 3) Sure. Not gonna fight that. Get a #2 who can take over for Diggs a year or two down the road. Stash a 4th rounder for a year. I could buy the idea that Beane is looking at his current roster, the Diggs contract (along with the Miller and Knox ones) and deciding that 2024 is a wash so they should swallow their medicine to cut or deal in 2025. I can maybe see an outside chance that maybe the Bills wait until training camp or midseason and fleece a team for picks. I doubt it, because that means a year of wasting prime Josh Allen, but I can see a logic to it. Cutting Diggs at the start of 2024 makes no sense. End of story. Not going to happen. Not..really? I mean I am not a capologist, and there are people who do this full time but whatever would have been freed for a June 1st release would get rolled over to 2025, so we'd have even *less* cap space to deal with Von, Know and Tre. That is true, like how Rasul Douglas looks like a steal for us. The problem is that the Bills would be taking a massive bath on 2024 cap space if done before the draft and a pretty terrible one in 2025. Are you getting multiple 1st round picks for Diggs? Do you believe he could command that?
  11. Statistically, Dorsey's offense did everything right. It was a Swiss timepiece. The problem is that when a single gear stopped working, the whole thing shut down. I do not hate the system that Dorsey implemented (though it seems like most Daboll's scheme), but I screamed at shotgun draws on 2nd and 3rd and long, whole quarters where the offense just didn't show up. Do we forget the first Jets game? People want to slam Brady for the short passes, WR screens, but Dorsey had Josh throwing the ball behind the line and the Jets were just smacking our players at the line vs Brady who was actually moving the ball vs the Chiefs. Are you forgetting when the Bills didn't score until the 4th quarter against the Giants? Three points in the first half against the Patriots, one of the worst teams in the league? When things didn't go right for Brady (and they went wrong) he would stop trying anything fancy and pound it to see what it got and most of the time it worked. The Bills are a Chris Jones hitting Josh as he throws, and Tyler Bass making a chip shot away from the Bills putting 27 or 31 points on one the best defenses this year. (take the crosser to Diggs Josh) Because he exploited the Chief's run defense, and when they overcompensated to adjust he drew up beautiful blitz beaters. We NEVER saw that from Dorsey this year. When things went wrong, it was a wrench in a GM Assembly plant.
  12. A June 1st designation is not a magic wand that gets rid of dead cap. What it does is carry over the dead cap into 2025. So yay, the Bills STILL need to make the same cuts and restructures to get under the cap, and get the money after the top tier (and medium tier) free agents are gone. So, to recap, a Diggs cut: 1) will absolutely not get us under the cap 2) Removes a 1000 yard receiver from the roster 3) If it happens is a back breaker for bidding on new talent in 2025. Some people are going to need to wake up and smell the coffee. The numbers all but guarantee that Diggs will be on the team in 2024. Odds are, he's probably going to be here in 2025 as well. Make your peace with it.
  13. I mean, I think it makes sense. Note that the report that Roman is not necessarily being given the OC job. But I WILL say that he's been one of the more interesting run game designers I've seen over the last decade. With him, Shady had some career highlights. It's just that the current NFL is so pass focused that even in a run heavy Ravens team a run focus isn't enough. It needs to be a complement, it can't be the main show anymore.
  14. Great? Nah Look, we rag on Tua here. He's a rival team QB. He's not a one read QB. But I don't think there's any denying that he's come up small in December and January the last two years even with a HOF WR, a #2 who could arguably be #1 on most teams in the league and an offensive coach who tailored the offense to maximize Tua's strengths and hide his weaknesses. If I have to build a team from scratch I am taking Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Lamar and Stroud over Tua in a heartbeat. Above average QBs get paid and very recently have been paid stupid money. With the Dolphins in as much or worse cap hell as the Bills I won't knock anyone cheering the Dolphins to lock their budget for the next 8 years. Josh's contact looks ridiculously good right now
  15. The Daniel Jones experiment only goes as far as a compare and contrast. Both were project QBs thrust into rookie roles where they struggled early with completion percentage. The Bills went out and got Daboll early and built a supporting cast. The Giants... didn't. With Daboll in 2022 Jones had his best year ever. But Isaiah Hodgins was a contributor. That's the talent drop off. Josh all day any day
  16. I am excited to see the Patriots have 15 more years of looking for a franchise QB Same. There were multiple times where I thought he deserved more of a shot and never got it. I was hoping he'd join us again but I'm not suddenly terrified
  17. I just thinking of the Bills vs Cowboys. The Bills smashed them in the mouth and didn't stop and Dan Quinn couldn't stop it.
  18. I would not necessarily plan our 2023 starters on rookies, but our depth took a beating and other than a year left of Poyer we have nothing at safety. My philosophy for the modern NFL defense is that you build to baseline with journeyman and hope your draft picks become splash players
  19. I suspect we end the season vs the Jets. We've been rotating and the NFL loves doing division matchups on Week 18
  20. Anything that makes investing in a WR in the first round less sound for 27 others teams is good news for me!
  21. The more I see, the more confident I am that there is an immediate WR2 and potential WR1 to be had at the back end of the 1st round. Especially with an expected run on QB expected
  22. Of course Filthy Beast is repping the Dolphins. Phins are as deep into the cap as the Bills are, only they don't have a built in restructure on their QB like the Bills have. Please let them put big guaranteed money on Tua.
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