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Everything posted by GaryPinC
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I thank God someone like you is not making the call on this also. From the beginnings in China that the hospitals were already overwhelmed and health care workers dying, it was apparent to anyone who took an impartial look at the signs that this virus is super infectious and trouble. It's about saving lives, as in limiting the dead by keeping our healthcare systems from being overwhelmed. This is not your typical recession, I don't expect the suicide, etc. numbers to be typical either. Let us hope and pray. Does your attitude make you a bad person? Certainly not. But what does it make you and the others who see it the same? Most appropriate comparison: Covid-19 is Trump and the underlying reasons that got him elected and supported. You are the far left/deep stater who has no idea the depth and reasons why Trump is here while clinging to the familiar in echo chambers and emotionally clinging to numbers that ignore the reality of the current unique and unfolding situation. What does that make you? -
It seems to me very important the fact that the flu statistics are taken from a full year's worth of stats of an endemic virus compared to a novel one which is only now spreading across the world and has not completely peaked. It's why the comparisons make me bristle. Let alone the extreme measures being taken to control covid-19 compared to the flu. Hapless, thanks for doing all this and you are doing a yeoman's job at it. Great info and discussion. ? ?
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Bills trade for Diggs - jw no discussions on a restructure
GaryPinC replied to Reed83HOF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Looking at the way Diggs goes about his work, I think the guy is Uber-competitive and wants to win. I think he shares that with Allen and thus they should get along great, especially with McDermott's culture and that should take care of the negatives with Diggs. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
It's not odd to me at all. It's precisely why DeWine was proactive and closed down public gatherings. It's early enough with few enough people infected. I don't know where the 100k number comes from, and it's an estimate, it doesn't sound right to me but there's all kinds of info and misinfo out there. Dear God, do you pull your head out of your rectum ever? -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
No, everything won't work out. It's about getting the virus to extinguish from the population as quickly as possible and that doesn't happen if all the younger people take no precautions and continue to pass the virus between them. This virus is still very much emergent. The steps that have been taken are in hopes of avoiding a total shut down of the country where everyone is stuck at home 30-40 days. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
To the shortsighted. Those who try and compare it to the flu and ignore how quickly it can overwhelm health systems in other countries and the only effective way to stop it has been total lockdown. Here, the smart states like my Ohio will try partial lockdown in hopes of avoiding a full lockdown to flatten the infection curve. Proud of DeWine for leading the way on this. Not sure it's enough but it's early in the infection curve, so it will hopefully work. My ER docs haven't seen an influx of Covid patients, so that's really good considering most times (H1N1, etc) they're treating for a couple weeks before it makes the papers. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
To be clear, I am not a physician and do not work in the ER. I do cardiovascular research, 2 of the investigators in our group are ER docs. No, I do not curtail my parents activities due to the flu, but I am now as this is different. This is not the flu virus where worst case you're looking at an extreme immune reaction with pneumonia and sepsis. Covid-19 in the lungs will directly attack and possibly permanently damage your lung tissue. If you survive, it will be a most painful experience. I think a very important thing to mention is while you quote similarities to flu statistics, Covid-19 is just ramping up and is most likely more infectious than the flu. So statistical comparisons at this point are truly not valid. Covid-19 will undoubtedly be more infectious than the flu and probably more lethal also. But we won't know until it's all said and done. I understand where you're coming from with all the previous viruses, and they have helped prepare us for this one. Isolation and quarantine was what stamped out all those others, especially SARS. The most important problem here is that infected people can be asymptomatic and still spread it. That is a big problem and why for the first time large events are being cancelled and people like Nunes are self-quarantining. We have a novel virus with currently little way of fighting those with severe infections. It's not about an apocalypse it's about limiting or slowing its spread to keep deaths to a minimum while medical science addresses the problem. Hiding? I'll be steelhead fishing, hiking, running, working, doing as much as I can while limiting exposure to others. But if I need to "hide" for two to three weeks to squash the spread of this virus? Damn right I will and I pray you see the sense in that also. It's the intelligent way to be in this case. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
And what would that be? We have a new virus. It spreads quite readily from someone who is mildly or asymptomatic. That's going to be impossible to stop. Only in the last week or so has some hard info become available about it's etiology. Until South Korea it was hard to say if the 3-4% lethality rate was real. It may still be and the Korea data an outlier, predicated on the less lethal form of the virus or a uniqueness in the Korean population. Now we know it tends to target the older population, especially immuno-compromised, hypertension, cardiac disease, diabetes. Got a colleague in her 20's with celiac disease. What's it mean for her? Should be ok, but she is immuno-compromised. I work in MetroHealth hospitals, Cleveland. Primary level-1 trauma ER in the city. They get the worst of the worst and will be slammed now that a few people have tested positive in Cleveland. 2 of my bosses are ER docs and working, just discussed with one of them this morning maybe staying away from research and managing from a distance in case they get infected and I get quarantined at home, stopping our research. I'm a very rational person, but if my parents are infected I may lose them with their health issues. I doubt I'm alone. And I'm going to have to keep on top of them to curtail their social habits as they go out a lot. It's a virus, given the spread in the middle east, I doubt the weather's going to help stop the spread of it. Viruses also can mutate easily, they're funny that way. I am not panicked but I understand there are and will continue to be many people panicked about this virus. I don't blame them, we still don't know that much about it. The panic, and stoking of it, is due to fear of the continuing unknown about the virus. At least among everyone I know and come into contact with. Exactly what alternative reason for the panic do you feel there is? -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Sure. The SARS/AIDs hybrid statement was declared after examining one deceased 85 year old patient. Regarding "permanent" lung fibrosis, I have seen pigs reabsorb a tremendous amount of fibrosis around their heart and pacemakers I've implanted. "Permanent" may mean 1-2 months. This virus is unique in that it's infectious before the host shows significant symptoms. That's virtually impossible to stop IMO. Our isolation bought us some time, but be prepared. On the good side S. Korea has an excellent health system and large scale rigorous testing indicates a fatality rate of 0.6% which is a good bit better than the 3% estimates. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
One 85 year old patient, other mention of apparent fibrosis in some other patients, unsure if permanent fibrosis or not. In my cardiac research I've seen some nasty fibrosis in pigs due to pericarditis resolve itself almost completely in about 2 months. We're talking disgusting thick, white, huge fibers adhering between the epicardial surface and pericardial membrane. -
It just depends on what the customer values. You do your thing and someone else feels more comfortable paying the extra $. The airlines just have to understand they have a complex customer base and how to exploit it for some extra profit. But I doubt they'll hit a cash cow on any of it, they just have to be content to play small ball.
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Hey, I understand what you're saying. And obviously plenty of people stare at the numbers and draw the same generalities. Flying is expensive, so many people are obsessed with keeping the cost as low as possible so it's certainly a difficult customer base and good market research with creativity are required. But it's really about creating value for both the company and customer. United has a row or two of economy plus because enough of its target customers will pay extra for that option allowing them to make a little money at it. They may not sell them all out each flight, be able to do an entire plane with that kind of seating (as was attempted in the past), but they've offered it since about 2017 so they must turn some kind of profit from it. But from the Forbes article: For example, in 2008 US Airways decided to follow in the footsteps of Spirit Airlines and charge for drinks onboard instead of offering them for free. Customer reaction, in the form of booking away from US Airways was swift, and they dropped the policy within seven months. Conversely, American launched its “More Room Throughout Coach” concept in 2000, taking seats out of its airplane (improving comfort) to dry and draw premium yields. The initiative fell apart by 2004 in the face of heavy competition from low cost carriers (LCCs). At every turn, whether by shifting to an a-la-carte pricing model, or investing resources into improving reliability and on-time performance, US airlines have grown adept at giving customers exactly what they’ll pay for. You can argue customers leaving Us Air over drink charging was all about money but for me it was about diminishing the value of what the ticket offered. And unless all the major airlines make the same change people get pissed off and leave. Glad it works for you, I did this one time about 15 years ago and we almost got bumped off the flight as it was overbooked and we didn't have assigned seats.
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https://www.united.com/ual/en/us/fly/travel/inflight/cabin/economy.html Hey, look there. United Economy Plus. 6 inches more legroom in economy. Those insane idiots! It's so impossible! And I can tell you from personal experience they've been sold out quickly on longer flights. But you keep on pretending you're some kind of authority.
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Again, you are shortsighted with your definition of price and value. Value certainly has to align for both the airlines and the consumer, price will always be a large factor in deciding value. If a seat changes by $1 and 20% of people move, you seem to be ignoring the other 80%. If an airline ticket costs $1 extra dollar for extra legroom and that is properly advertised, taller people would snap those tickets up. I certainly would. If the extra legroom costs, $20,$30,$40 or more, less people will be interested at each higher price bracket. Would I be willing to pay $20 extra legroom from Cleveland to Chicago for a 45 minute flight? No. Would I be willing to pay it for Cleveland to LA? Absolutely. It's about the value. And let's be real. The airlines I've researched to buy tickets from all charge different prices for window/aisle/middle seat. It never used to be like that. How is that working out? Seems to be doing ok... You are correct, I don't know the cost of WIFI and meals and the breakdown of everything. I just know that the airline has to offer a convenience at a price people find reasonable for them to take advantage. If CEO's misjudge the value, well, then they failed at their job. I'm not someone who's against the airlines, I'm just calling it as I see it as a consumer. And yes, part of the consumer market is all about lowest dollar. Just like with gasoline for the car, it's kind of a contest. Spirit Airlines is the perfect example of this. They're all about the bait and switch. Lowest ticket prices until you actually go through their reservation nickel-and-diming process then it costs as much or more than the major carriers, and they bet you're too lazy to double check or restart the reservation process somewhere else. And you can brag to people the original "bargain" price. I definitely see people take advantage of the WIFI and I did it once on a long flight because of my kids. The value was there for me, hopefully it is for the airlines as well to continue offering it.
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This statement means nothing. I will always pay some extra money to take a direct flight instead of one or more layovers. But I have my limits on how much more. What attempts at comfort, food, convenience have the airlines attempted that you feel are reasonably priced? Because I don't see too many. You can argue price but it's about value. That's what the airlines have failed at. One example I have seen that has value is wifi for long flights. Definitely a solid number of people pay for this and will until they make it too expensive.
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Up to 70% alcohol can be with you in carry-on in 3.4 oz containers
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Yeah, I imagine most flight crews will warn first as most people don't fully know the rules. From FAA rules, it seems Jet Blue is right on point, rules don't say the airline has to provide the alcohol, just they have to serve it and any alcohol above 24% is considered a hazardous chemical, which I'm sure entails other rules.
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Thanks, I was having trouble picturing it because laptops are pretty flexible. Seems pretty unlucky. But I will make sure I ask the person behind me from now on!
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https://melmagazine.com/en-us/story/can-you-bring-your-own-booze-on-a-plane-and-make-drinks Up to $11,000 fine. Fly Jet Blue, they allow it if under 24% and you let their flight staff serve it to you!
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It's been over 10 years, but the Air Canada planes had significantly more leg room than the US planes. I'm about 6'1 and it felt like a luxury! I can't sit with my legs straight on most US flights, AC plane I could with space to boot! How did it get crushed? Did it fall off the tray?
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My last few flights have been on United and seems like they cut the amount of recline to like one inch from two. It seems much less than before and more tolerable. Anyone else notice this? I only recline if I intend to rest and straighten it up when I'm not. Only thing that I dislike is the person that keeps it reclined every possible moment like it's their right to monopolize that extra space.
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I don't agree we had a commanding lead, but our coaches shared your opinion. I agree that he choked a bit but I think he started pressing too much to try and get momentum back after our conservative playcalling, trying to sit on our small lead, gave it away. I give him credit for realizing and stepping up to attempt that. With time I think his efforts will be wiser and more effective.
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I don't argue that we should have won and a portion of that was on Josh. Daboll called some great plays to take advantage of the coverage, open up parts of the field and bring a receiver through on a delayed pattern. I saw more than one occasion of this and Josh had enough time to set up a mid/deep throw while the delayed underneath route was open with all kinds of YAC. Definitely was obvious Allen had/has more developing to do. Watching the game unfold, while not perfect I felt Daboll did a good job of trying to scheme against them. For me, it was a lack of execution.
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Jerry Rice is a great example. Catch rate dropped his last 2 years when their quarterbacking was a mess in SFO then climbed back up in Oakland for a couple years with Rich Gannon. Catch rate is also a factor of the receiver's ability to get open, role in the offense and the QB's ability to deliver him a catchable ball, to name just a few. It's not a simple measure of ability to catch the ball. I'm fine with believing Lofton's drop rate went up but you watching and charting drops in several years of games would be more meaningful than a one year catch percent. There's no context and therefore makes a weak argument. TO's another example, was lower catch rate hand-eye coordination, ability to get open or playing with marginal QB'S has last couple years?