
JujuFish
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Everything posted by JujuFish
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Ravens vs Chargers MNF game thread (no Bills talk please)
JujuFish replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall
If you're down 14 late, it makes mathematical sense. 2 pointers are successful about 47.5% of the time. 1 pointers 95%. If you score a TD and go for 2: 47.5% of the time, you'll have 8 points. Now a TD+PAT (95%) will win the game. 52.5% of the time, you'll have 6 points. Now a TD+2pt (47.5%) will tie the game. Calculating out: Make XP on first TD: 14 points: (95*.95) 90.25% 13 points: (.95*.05) 4.75% Miss XP and forced to go for 2 on second TD: 14 points (.05*.475) 2.375% 12 points (.05*.525) 2.625% Tie game: 92.625% Lost game: 7.275% Make 2PT on first TD and therefore kick PAT for the win: 15 points: (.475*.95) 45.125% 14 points: (.475*.05) 2.375% Miss 2PT and go for 2 on second TD to tie: 14 points: (.525 * .475) 24.9375% 12 points: (.525 * .525) 27.5625% Won game: 45.125% Tie game: 27.3125% Lost game: 27.5625% Going for PATs will at best tie the game for you. Going for 2 gives you a greater than 45% chance to outright win and greater than 72% chance to do no worse than kicking PATs. Is a ~45% chance to win worth risking an extra ~20% chance to lose? Yes, yes it is. -
Cards sign Marvin Harrison Jr 4-yrs 35.3M with 22.5 guaranteed
JujuFish replied to Gregg's topic in The Stadium Wall
If overthecap.com is right, his dad made almost that exact amount through his first 9 seasons ($35,304,765). He added another $31.6 million in his final 4 seasons. -
If the Browns win, then KC for sure. That'll send Cleveland to Baltimore for what might be the best game of the playoffs and will take out at least one of the two (IMO) biggest threats to Buffalo out of the conference. Otherwise? Who cares. Just win.
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Allen makes history again- this is a big 1
JujuFish replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
I didn't argue that he didn't play his first season. In fact, my numbers include every single game he played in his first season, just like they do Allen's. Removing Allen's games doesn't make anything sense. Try again. -
Allen makes history again- this is a big 1
JujuFish replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
Mahomes after 80 games: 204. Allen after 80 games: 182 Mahomes after 88 games: 219. Allen after 88 games: 206 Mahomes in games 81-88: 15. Allen in games 81-88: 24 I have no idea what point you're trying to make. By the end of the season, Allen will have played, barring injury, 14 more games than Mahomes in his first six seasons. And why would you take away Allen's first X games? What's the argument there? -
I agree. 34 points to Cinci's 17.
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11/21/21 Colts@Bills First Half Thread
JujuFish replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Can't address the argument, can only try to put words in my mouth. Yes, that's what a child does who can't support their side. -
11/21/21 Colts@Bills First Half Thread
JujuFish replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm not holding a gun to your head and shoving the vaccine in your arm, therefore I already care about bodily autonomy. Try again, child. -
11/21/21 Colts@Bills First Half Thread
JujuFish replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Myocarditis has a significantly lower incidence rate in the vaccine than from COVID. And it's temporary. COVID kills. Grow up. -
Article: Will Josh Allen regress in 2021?
JujuFish replied to JohnNord's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I'm surprised by the number of people who think it's an impossibility that Allen could regress. That's just absurdly blind faith and not couched in any sort of logic or reason. -
Questions for those of us who endured the drought
JujuFish replied to BillsFan619's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Battered Buffalo Fan Syndrome -
Official Bills/Raven's Game day post
JujuFish replied to Mike in Syracuse's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Good thing timeouts are only good for stopping the clock and not, you know, preparing a play properly. -
Official Bills/Raven's Game day post
JujuFish replied to Mike in Syracuse's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Not only that, but had he turned around he would have had a great shot at intercepting that ball. Stupid, stupid move. -
The Patriots will not win the East.
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I'd be willing to bet the Fish haven't even been to a Super Bowl in your lifetime.
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New Nickname for Trent Edwards
JujuFish replied to Williams+Williams+Williams's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
5-0 when Edwards plays more than 1 drive. -
Considering I don't support either presidential nominee, this choice is easy.
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Shirley, you can't be serious.
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Don't you know? The Bills have subscribed to ieatcrayonz's newsletter.
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(5:57) (Shotgun) 5-K.Collins pass incomplete deep right to 19-J.McCareins. PENALTY on BAL-55-T.Suggs, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at TEN 20 - No Play. Penalty on TEN-71-M.Roos, False Start, superseded. If there's a false start, isn't the play supposed to be blown dead? It doesn't seem to me that the penalty on Suggs should even have happened (which didn't even look like a penalty to me).
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Hasselbeck down for Seattle vs NYG
JujuFish replied to Albany,n.y.'s topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Looked to me like one of the Giants guys that got to Hasselbeck was offside on that play. -
Ch 4 may get dropped from Time Warner?
JujuFish replied to Beerball's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
You wouldn't be looking for HD channels unless you already had an HDTV. It would be ridiculous to argue that as part of the cost.