I'd go with this but picking the Russel Wilson pick next year (in the 3rd, don't wait til the 4th) and the person that talked about how long it takes a QB to develop that was the past, the game is different now. Competition is good, trade bait is good. In today's NFL, you want 2 Pass rushers, a MLB, a shut down corner, WRs (or TEs), LTs, Center and QBs high in the draft others can come after. You have to consider the draft year as well, EJ was over drafted...yada yada yada.
BTW, I do think it is too early to tell much. But as has been said over and over next year's draft is like last years. If there is a QB you like, take him but not 1st or second.