HardyBoy

The bogus claim rate is actually only 0.24 bogus per claim (bpc), but that does jump up to 1.3 bpc in the five hours after a loss. I was surprised, but the advanced metric bSpc supports this too.

Well he's #25 in rush yds this season...and his 3.2 yd avg isn't even close to top 50...wow! Crazy and that's really rough for that % of cap!

Lol, well I was trying to go for a top 10 mental gymnastic post of 2019, so glad I was at least in the ballpark.

Well...I would imagine he didn't have the flu when he was bowling...those things go 0-60 in a matter of hours. Also, if he has a bunch of people who came in for the game from all around the country, is it really that crazy he would hang out with them the night before (assuming he wasn't hanging out with people he could see every day). 1am is a bit late the night before a game for sure, but if it comes out that he can never sleep before games (no clue this is true), is there any real difference if he was sitting awake in his hotel room by himself or sitting in a bowling alley with friends (assuming he wasn't drinking alcohol so close to a game)? Not apologising for him at all, just think there is some missing info. Oh and how about the rumors about the Bills players partying with serious substances way later the night before the giants super bowl? Glass houses...

Because you don't let a top 50 rb go in the middle of the season. Likely wouldn't make it that far through waivers, but can you imagine if the Pats got him right now.

There was more going on with RG3 than being a running qb and getting hit. Honestly I'm shocked he was taken so high. Not sure if you've seen this (I hadn't until recently), but it's pretty crazy. Zion Williamson has similar mechanical issues in his form (though different) and already had to get part of his meniscus removed, which could lead to bad things long term.

Yeah, this weather is absolutely amazing right now. I'm working from home today and am smoking an 8 lb pork picnic for some pulled pork on my Akorn Jr. Sitting outside right now waiting for the temp to settle in somewhere between 225-250 and it's so nice out, I really just want to say f it, get a beer and sit by the smoker all day...alas too much to do...plus it's 9:30 am lol

Lol and we get Dolphins vs Jets down here in South Florida...don't feel too bad for us though...it's 75, not at all humid and sunny with a light breeze, dropping into the upper 50s at night recently...we'll be ok

Ugh, is this confirmed?

If the ravens were an nfc team I'd be on board, but this is just nuts

A bit of a scheduling bummer to have both non-predetermined games scheduled back to back for the pats I guess...might be one of the few times I've seen it really matter where a team finishes...hou and kc are tough back to back.

Pretty sure it's just lose to hou or kc, not both...that gets the pats to two loses, losing to the bills would be three, and with the season series split, I read the next tie breaker is conference record, which if the bills win out, the bills would own that tie breaker. The Bills win next week, and it's legit on for the top seed. That said, Bills also could lose against Bal and the Pats lose to the chiefs, and the division is still up for grabs (I'm assuming the hou game doesn't get crazy).

Didn't he not play the 4th quarter of a bunch of games though recently? I think you might be using total yards per game, but there is a lot that goes into that (running out clocks once you get a huge lead for example, which if the falcons did, they would have a super bowl, or not playing entire 4th quarters is another)...maybe only look at number of yards in the first half, or as others have suggested yards per attempt.

Here's the problem...Jackson is ranked super high in yards per attempt, and below avg in yards after catch. You are basing your opinion on him saying he only completes short passes. Well, that is completely impossible given those two stats. Your opinion, or at least part of it, is factually wrong (like if I said tomorrow the sun will come up green). You can admit you based a part of your opinion on false info/facts (try it sometime it's liberating to admit you were wrong...perfection is the enemy of progress and all), but regardless of that piece, it doesn't matter because you still think he is going to get hurt running, which is the most important thing for your opinion by far, and you are saying that because of that he will not maintain this level for his career...that's a solid opinion. That said, the come back there is Donavan McNabb, who was able to change his game and become a pocket passer. Jackson has shown the potential to do that already if you look at the stats. The comeback to that is, well that's because defenses have to play the run, so those passing lanes are open, and if he loses the run, then he gets complex coverages and will not be able to maintain those passing stats. You get to that point you can say well, we're just going to have to agree to disagree, but these are the facts I am basing my opinion on. You seem to have stalled in the process of the full process and melted a bit when someone provided solid facts to challenge your opinion. Let me guess, you hate snowflakes? The irony...

I do think you can extend the window though, both through keeping draft capital to maintain the flexibility to get players with the flexibilty to play in the system, but even more by carrying over cap space. The cap space carry over is really the key in my opinion. Reason is that let's say JA's cap hit is $50m/yr with the new deal over the 3 years before they restructure (making up the numbers). However, you carried over $120m in cap that was built up during the time when you had qb savings. That cap hit, if you spend all the savings over that three years suddenly goes down to $10m per year. You are still technically paying your qb rookie deal money. (Sorry my reply isn't better written or ackowledges more of your points, I only had a few minutes to write on my phone before heading out to do some stuff with the family. Let's keep this convo going though because I'm super curious to see how it plays out, because I think it's pretty clear that Beane has a plan (not saying it has to be the right one necessarily) and really excited to see what that ends up being).

I agree if Josh and the offesne stay hot they have a real shot this year at doing something great. That said I have loved this regime from the start, and did not think this year was going to be the year. The (first) window for this team to me always really started next year, and the primary goal of this year was seeing growth in JA. If they have a hope of extending that window, they must keep those assets though and not add through trades unless they are for quality players on cost controlled long term contracts, which you really aren't seeing available on the trade market (yes comp picks for one year rentals potential, but this team is bringing in too many FAs next year most likely to qualify). I would much rather have had a down year this year, and see JA struggle to start and then improve in the short/intermediate game than to just stay in his comfort zone and succeed, but not jump levels and be pushed to really grow (basically what happened). That leap, fingers crossed, seems to have happened, and the easy early schedule and elite defense has allowed this team to win games while that development happened. I believe the window truly opens next year, like multi year super bowl contender window, but it might have opened a crack now. So I love the regime, did not think, or expect this year to be the year, and personally happy they didn't cash in any future assets to improve the team this year, because you need those to maintain extended success after paying a qb. I appreciate your post a lot, agree they could have made this year better. That said they didn't, which almost makes me think Foster's injury was worse than we knew to start the year and he is about to be the piece you were hoping they would have added...on the roster the whole time.

I think he is : )

How many people in this thread actually know what is happening on the field, has watched every one of his plays on A22 and aren't just basing things off the stat sheet? Just need to know who to actually listen to.

How many blocked PATs are there in a season?

All while the nfl was sending the military a bill so they can recruit minors in the disguise of patriotism.

I really hate Cox Oops, I think that came out wrong Not any better...

Great, you're grading them on a curve then. The fact that the callers suck, doesn't mean they don't suck as well. One of them admitted on the post game last game that he just takes other people's takes and repeats them if they align with how he "feels." Know nothing gas bags imo. They are the definition of Stugotz from the Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz, except he is a parody of those gas bag sports radio host, and these guys are his model. Tick, tick, tick until Geary and co take the post game, which is the only time I listen to those two. I find them horribly insufferable, with low knowledge. They literally add nothing to my understanding of what I saw amd just aim to elicit emotional reactions in people.

Because I wouldn't have gone into a many page long thread most likely, and certainly wouldn't have posted in it. New threads make it more engaging for people who aren't posting all the time...what is a slight annoyance for you, makes it significantly more fun and engaging for a lot of other people. I understand there is a line of having a lot of threads clogging things up and being repetitive, however, a thread based on an interesting stat, with a solid point that can be debated with other interesting stats is not one of those threads...let some other people have some fun too. Of course you're probably trolling to get this response, so crap

Aren't they 2-3?! So early still.

Must run a lot of flood routes