Luntz thinks Kerry is going to win. Turnout overall has been as much about economic security as about national security vote. Kerry is winning economic voters 4 to 1. (Bush wins on national security vote.) Kerry could be headed to 310 or 320 electoral vote. But if Bush carries Fla. or Ohio, Bush can still win. (Networks aren't likely to make a call early because of tight races in Fla. and Ohio.) But . . .
Way too close to call/BUT leaning Kerry by 1 percent in Fla. and Ohio
Pa.: 54 percent for Kerry
Wisc: 3 point lead for Kerry
Iowa.: 1 point lead for Kerry (Bush supposed to win)
NM: Kerry plus 2
Nev: Bush plus 1
NH: Kerry by 3
NJ: 8 points for Kerry
Colo: Bush plus 2
Mich: Kerry plus 4
When all is said and done: "Kerry's people must be feeling very confident." Election not over. But based on initial data, Luntz's educated judgment is that Kerry is headed to victory. Unless something happens with late voting. Right now, Kerry is doing about 2 points better in states where expected to be closer.
Looks like economy security more important than Bush knew.
Senate: Looks like GOP picks up 3. Dems pick up 1, for net up 2 for GOP Thune over Daschle by 4 points. Likely enough to sustain Indian reservations numbers coming in later for Daschle.
GOP picking up N.C. and S.C.
Bunning in Ky.
Oklahoma goes GOP (Coburn)
Plus 3 for GOP.
Castor in Fla. is looking good.
Salazar up in Colo.
Internal Democratic numbers. Yeah, I know, they're wrong . . .
OH
52 / 47 - Kerry projected to win by 4 points
FL
52/48 - Kerry projected to win by 1 point
PA
58/42
IA
50/48
WI
53/47
MN
57/42
NV
48/49
MI
51/45
NM
49/49
Your partisan translator is working fine, you refused to read what he wrote.
"I keep hearing about Kerry's record for the last 20 years. I'd love to know what GW was doing 20 years ago."
Don't suppose you want to answer that question.
-- in the unrelated note: You can't possibly proud of Bush's policy education and medicare policy disasters. Each is an embarrassment. Hence, they barely register as Bush campaign issues. Very few Rs who voted for those absurd bills will even discuss them.
Kind of fits the theme of: Firm, resolute and astonishingly wrong.
Obviously, as usual, you just don't get it.
It's pathetic how you waste your time typing up irrelevant crap just so you can (again) tell someone how stupid they are, when in fact you have no idea what you're talking about.
Next time, take a breather and try to imagine you're not as clever as you think.
Ah, Met fans hate the Yankees almost as much as a Red Sox fan, it's likely Met fans were buying the beer and still rejoicing in the Yankees' embarrassment.
Yeah, yeah, I know, everyone is stupid. They can't reason, they don't know why they don't like Bush, it's just what "the Man" and the liberal, communist press tell them to think.
Wow. You REALLY, REALLY don't get it. God I hope Kerry wins.
(Not that you'll address it, but I'd love to hear you explain the black part. Is it not "pro-black" or is it anti-black? What does it mean to be either one? Also didn't you mean pro-abortion? Is Pro-gay marriage mean you promote or encourage gay marriage; does it mean your also anti-straight marriage?)
Shameless. Yeah, that's right, Democrats will party with the terrorists. You just don't get it. You still have no idea why Bush is not cruising to re-election.