SDS

peter, Joseph and Mary.... for the love of God please get this straight… It does not matter when you do not convert the two-point conversion. If you don’t make it you have to go for a field goal at some point. Is that understood? Do you understand that once you missed the two point conversion that you have to get the ball back and score again? Do you understand that has to happen regardless of when you missed the two point conversion? Is this in someway not clear to you?

I was the one citing 538 and Brian Burke's win probability algorithm. This quoted statement is incorrect however. Making what is most likely an inconsequential decision with faulty logic, doesn't make it defensible. The only defense for going for 1 is that current win probability algorithms (well, at least one) says the effect is small (in favor of going for 2) and may be within the margin of error of the algorithm.

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you cannot say you understand the math and then claim it was the riskier option. You literally are not willing to accept the math or having bother to look it up. Either way you’re just defending an incorrect opinion. Which is your prerogative.

I miss read the 538 charts. They actually say it is slightly better to go for two but the effect is small and maybe not there at all.

correct call. https://www.google.com/amp/s/fivethirtyeight.com/features/when-to-go-for-2-for-real/amp/

lol. Ok champ. Sorry to hurt your feelings. There were multiple times he took sacks while in field goal range today. It was discussed on the broadcast. Sorry you missed them.

you may wanna go back and review a bunch of those sacks.

lol. Where should I send my sternly written letter to?

But he was the guy who took sack after sack putting us out of field-goal range when he had plenty of time to make a decision.

maybe attend to your own business?

Thanks. I’ve got everyone telling me they know exactly what happened because I posted a screenshot when clearly I would have had to have watched the video in order to make that assessment and take the screen grab. You would think anyone disagreeing with this would actually go back and watch the video however they can find it before they make a counter argument.

The problem with your scenario is that there was no one there to tackle him short. It’s sort of key to your argument.

1. That’s what I was trying to show. The defender missed the ball completely. It hit Brown right in the hand. 2. I half a second earlier Cole was moving left to right and he stopped, cut and went the other direction and dropped that guys jockstrap onto the field

it is not BS. That defender is one yard away from him running in the wrong direction desperately trying to stop and change directions. 1/2 second later there’s a 5 yard separation.

you have to go back and watch. That was really the only guy on him and he got juked.

Reposting.

I was saying that the cornerback missed the ball and it hit Brown in the hands.

no worries. I thought 4 and 3 were flipped until about 20 minutes ago.

lol. Exactly. Why is this so hard to understand?