'Billick sees the statistic as a tell-tale sign of how a team balances the risks and rewards of attempting and preventing big plays. He maintains that statistically teams that have a plus-two edge in turnover differential in a game have an 80 percent chance of winning. Likewise if a team has a plus-two edge in big plays they also have an 80 percent chance of winning. Billick claims if a team has both in the same game they have a 95 percent chance of winning.'